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Russia has begun a full-scale invasion in Ukraine [READ STAFF POSTS]

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maabus1999

maabus1999

Member
Oct 26, 2017
9,149
Maquiladora said:

View: https://twitter.com/TetyanaUkrainka/status/1784985690951848441?t=47EZuJtVbJVoAmkxgmxTRg&s=19

There is graphic footage being posted on Twitter of the people who were killed walking their dog, be aware.
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Hopefully Odessa gets a patriot battery (on top of Kharkiv), as it seems Ballistics have been used more consistently there (on top of the anti ship missiles which are another problem). Using cluster munitions on civilian centers continues to show how barbaric they are, but hey, they helped Assad create the barrel bombs.
 
Mentalist

Mentalist

Member
Mar 14, 2019
18,226
Maquiladora said:

View: https://twitter.com/TetyanaUkrainka/status/1784985690951848441?t=47EZuJtVbJVoAmkxgmxTRg&s=19

There is graphic footage being posted on Twitter of the people who were killed walking their dog, be aware.
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fun fact: Kivalov was a pro-Russian head of the Central Electoral Commitee that tried to to falsify the 2004 election in Yanukovych's favour.
He was also a dean of a private law schoool on Odessa and multiple times Rada deputee for the Pro-Russian Party of Regions and then Opposition Block.

The fact his mansion is being demolished by a Russian missile is all kinds of delicious irony.

EDIT: Apparently, Kivalov was hospitalized with a shell fragment wound.
 
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Pankratous

Pankratous

Member
Oct 26, 2017
9,322
Every day I wake up and wonder if I'll check the thread and find out the Crimean bridge is down

One day soon hopefully...
 
KastuśKalinoŭski

KastuśKalinoŭski

Member
Nov 23, 2019
7,636
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KastuśKalinoŭski

KastuśKalinoŭski

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Nov 23, 2019
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View: https://twitter.com/shashj/status/1785214361771835439


View: https://twitter.com/Sam_Cranny/status/1785213400164778352
... the attacking force into the teeth of the arrayed fires. So, of Ukraine has properly constructed and resourced strong points with overlapping fields of fire, it may be an effective defence and the only possible solution given manpower constraints. The big question is on Russian capacity to organise movements at scale. If they are some how able to get a division together, protect it from HIMARS and ATACMS and push it into the Ukrainian lines, then there will be a big problem. But, as long as their operations stay at company scale, Ukraine can hold.
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KastuśKalinoŭski

KastuśKalinoŭski

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Nov 23, 2019
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so here it is, confirmed by UN experts

UN experts say North Korea missile landed in Ukraine's Kharkiv
The debris from a missile that landed in the Ukrainian city of Kharkiv on Jan. 2 was from a North Korean Hwasong-11 series ballistic missile, United Nations sanctions monitors told a Security Council committee in a report seen by Reuters on Monday.

In the 32-page report, the U.N. sanctions monitors concluded that "debris recovered from a missile that landed in Kharkiv, Ukraine, on 2 January 2024 derives from a DPRK Hwasong-11 series missile" and is in violation of the arms embargo on North Korea.
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it's a direct violation of UN sanctions. Would Guterres make some statement or just ignore it like he usually does?
 
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KastuśKalinoŭski

KastuśKalinoŭski

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Nov 23, 2019
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View: https://twitter.com/MassDara/status/1784993312014778690


View: https://twitter.com/MassDara/status/1784993314812428321


View: https://twitter.com/MassDara/status/1784993317710712893
In the last ten days, Russian forces committed 3 critical brigade elements forward – the 74th, 35th, and 30th (from 41st CAA). These forces were used in final stages of the battle of Avdiivka and have been recovering for the last month.

These experienced brigade elements are supported by various DPR and reserve units. Concentrating them in the salient is indicative of the priority of this effort. Also, if Ukrainian forces can target them, they could degrade some of the most skilled brigades there.
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View: https://twitter.com/MassDara/status/1784993326304813128




threadreaderapp.com

Thread by @MassDara on Thread Reader App

@MassDara: The U.S. supplemental has passed and aid is on the way to Ukrainian frontlines. But months of delay for ammo and manpower have come at a cost. Problems cannot easily be undone, especially in Donetsk. A...…
threadreaderapp.com threadreaderapp.com
 
KastuśKalinoŭski

KastuśKalinoŭski

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Nov 23, 2019
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View: https://twitter.com/konrad_muzyka/status/1785224435974250953

Y4i6AEL.png



Maybe low-cost autonomous terminal guidance at scale solves this problem in the future. But for the foreseeable future, it suggests that electric warfare presents a serious challenge to precision-guided munitions & quantities required to deliver a given effect.
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KastuśKalinoŭski

KastuśKalinoŭski

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Nov 23, 2019
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www.atlanticcouncil.org

Bombs and disinformation: Russia's campaign to depopulate Kharkiv

Russia is deploying disinformation alongside bombs as it seeks to demoralize Kharkiv residents and depopulate Ukraine's second city, writes Maria Avdeeva.
www.atlanticcouncil.org www.atlanticcouncil.org
The role of social media in Russia's information offensive against Kharkiv cannot be overstated. Platforms like Telegram, TikTok, and X (formerly known as Twitter) have become battlegrounds for competing narratives and serve as platforms for carefully choreographed Russian propaganda. Groups of pro-Kremlin accounts frequently engage in the intensive promotion of key propaganda messages. These include the alleged hopelessness of Ukraine's military position, the inability of the Ukrainian state to protect its citizens, and the likelihood of Kharkiv suffering the same fate as Mariupol, a Ukrainian port city with a prewar population of around half a million that was largely destroyed by the invading Russian army during the first months of the war.

Russia's information offensive features a strong disinformation component. This includes the distribution of fake statements supposedly released by the Ukrainian authorities. On one occasion, Kremlin accounts spread disinformation that the Ukrainian government was calling on residents to leave Kharkiv urgently in order to avoid imminent Russian encirclement. In a separate incident, Russian sources pushed fake Ukrainian government reports stating that Kharkiv was on the brink of a humanitarian collapse.
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These elaborate fakes are typically presented in a convincing manner and closely resemble official Ukrainian government communications. They have even been accompanied by detailed information about "safe evacuation routes." Inevitably, many Kharkiv residents are fooled by this disinformation and become unwitting accomplices in the dissemination of weaponized Russian fakes.

Russian accounts have also taken genuine news reports and distorted them in ways designed to mislead the public and maximize panic. For example, a series of planned evacuations from specific front line settlements was repackaged by Kremlin trolls as a complete evacuation of entire Kharkiv region districts.
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In addition to fake government announcements and deliberate distortions, Kremlin-linked social media accounts are also actively spreading misleading video footage. One widely shared recent video purported to show long lines of cars evacuating Kharkiv while proclaiming that an "exodus" of the "ruined" city was underway. However, this video was later debunked as archive footage shot during the early days of the invasion in spring 2022.
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KastuśKalinoŭski

KastuśKalinoŭski

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smh

www.dw.com

German army captain admits spying for Russia – DW – 04/29/2024

The officer, with ties to the far-right AfD party, said he provided information to a Russian intelligence service out of fear of a nuclear escalation in Moscow's war in Ukraine.
www.dw.com www.dw.com
The officer, with ties to the far-right AfD party, said he provided information to a Russian intelligence service out of fear of a nuclear escalation in Moscow's war in Ukraine.
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Content he saw "presumably on TikTok" had prompted him to contact the Russian consulate. He said he had followed on TikTok a pro-Russian influencer affiliated with the far-right party Alternative for Germany (AfD), although he wasn't sure which content it was.
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According to his account, he was concerned about his family's safety in the event of a nuclear attack. The officer said he therefore sought contact with Russian authorities to get a heads up on "when it was going to go off."
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The man, with a rank of captain, had worked at the Bundeswehr's equipment, technology and in-service support facility in Koblenz.

The facility is responsible for equipping Germany's armed forces, as well as for developing, testing and procuring new equipment and technology.
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Zip

Zip

Member
Oct 28, 2017
4,040
Russia seems to have developed good anti-gps EW so I wonder if the whole ATACMS delays have just created yet another fiasco where the west needlessly allowed russia ample time to adapt before putting on more pressure.
 
maabus1999

maabus1999

Member
Oct 26, 2017
9,149
Zip said:
Russia seems to have developed good anti-gps EW so I wonder if the whole ATACMS delays have just created yet another fiasco where the west needlessly allowed russia ample time to adapt before putting on more pressure.
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Russia has had capable anti-GPS prior to this war kicking off so that wouldn't have been a factor. Main difference is that Russia was probably forced to deploy the systems in larger amounts to provide more coverage near the front lines but takes the risk of being targeted as well. These aren't the cheapest or easiest units to replace, and they've been losing a bunch of late.
 
KastuśKalinoŭski

KastuśKalinoŭski

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Nov 23, 2019
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www.businessinsider.com

How China and Russia are reportedly using 'underground' channels to get around sanctions

Chinese firms that trade with Russia are seeking alternatives to official finance channels, as the threat of US sanctions looms, Reuters reports.
www.businessinsider.com www.businessinsider.com
  • Chinese exporters are reportedly going "underground" as domestic banks pullback from transaction business with Russia, Reuters reported.
  • Many lenders have restricted transactions with Moscow, curbing payment options for Chinese firms.
  • Alternative channels include money brokers, and the possible use of cryptocurrencies.
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... one unnamed Chinese manufacturer told the outlet that it may have to turn to currency brokers operating on the border with Russia, as they could potentially help settle payments
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maabus1999

maabus1999

Member
Oct 26, 2017
9,149
KastuśKalinoŭski said:
www.businessinsider.com

How China and Russia are reportedly using 'underground' channels to get around sanctions

Chinese firms that trade with Russia are seeking alternatives to official finance channels, as the threat of US sanctions looms, Reuters reports.
www.businessinsider.com www.businessinsider.com
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Can't stop all trade, but you can make it extremely expensive for whatever remains. Those who stay committed to trying to find ways to do business with Russia are obviously going to ask for huge mark ups, which Russia appears willing to pay.
 
CoolOff

CoolOff

Avenger
Oct 26, 2017
3,456
I'm really curious how many pilots are being trained, and in what sequence. It's a very tricky calculation with how many jets they get + the long training period.
 
horkrux

horkrux

Member
Oct 27, 2017
4,797
in some parallel universe, Western leaders were so swift and decisive in helping Ukraine, Putin is driving around downtown Kyiv, begging (thru text) Selenskyy to let him keep Crimea after he got pushed out of the rest of the country
 
Mentalist

Mentalist

Member
Mar 14, 2019
18,226
poklane said:
Hopefully they can overthrow their government like Ukraine did in 2014.
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That would require a portion of the Georgian Dream party to switch sides in order to create a new, pro-Western majority.

The situation is different, b/c the president is de-facto with the protesters, but her veto power can be overturned by GD's majority in the parliament.
 
Prokofiev

Prokofiev

Member
Jun 30, 2022
709
KillerMan91 said:
if only this had happened way earlier in the war. Imagine if the training had already started since like april 2022....
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I remember thinking April of 2022, surely they must be. I remember thinking the same for tanks, HIMARS and the rest. The West would recognize this would be a long war and begin planning appropriately. However this doesn't seem to entirely be the case. Training timelines instead seem to have followed publically announced initiatives. Shocking really, but it just shows you there are those in the West, the Jake Sullivan's of the world, who view Russia's threats of nuclear escalation as credible. A more cynical take, is it just wasn't worth it and the best course of action for the West was to drag it out at the expense of Russia (and Ukraine)
 
AzorAhai

AzorAhai

Member
Oct 29, 2017
6,735
I can't blame any NATO country avoiding avoidable escalation. Some parties and online posters seem eager to speedrun a bigger war.

I blame the slow, disorganized aid to Ukraine though. A stronger, faster, more coherent collective response from the West could have contained the war roght at the beginning. Now it's looking like a long war, sadly.
 
KastuśKalinoŭski

KastuśKalinoŭski

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Nov 23, 2019
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View: https://twitter.com/olliecarroll/status/1785524372356071738



www.politico.eu

Putin’s fuel problem: How Ukraine is sapping Russia’s diesel and gasoline

Ukraine is taking out oil refineries inside Russia, cratering Moscow’s supplies and sending local prices soaring.
www.politico.eu www.politico.eu
Diesel prices for Russian consumers have skyrocketed, rising almost 10 percent in the past week alone, according to the government's figures. Petrol costs have also hit a six-month high, up more than 20 percent from the start of the year as supply tightens and more and more facilities are forced to suspend production.
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As a result, Moscow has scaled back its fuel exports to near-historic lows, shipping just over 712,000 tons of diesel and gasoil last week, compared to more than 844,000 during the same week in 2023.
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While most Western countries have stopped importing refined Russian fuel like petrol and diesel, the United Arab Emirates, along with a handful of South American and North African nations, have continued to buy it either to take advantage of low prices or re-export it. Now, Moscow will have to choose between maximizing the cash flow filling its war chest or ensuring its soldiers and civilians can fill up their tanks.
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Speaking to local media this week, Igor Yushkov, an analyst with Russia's National Energy Security Fund, said prices were unlikely to go down anytime soon — and the country may even need to import gasoline from reserves stored in neighboring Belarus.
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KastuśKalinoŭski

KastuśKalinoŭski

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Nov 23, 2019
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