It would begin as some sort of series of sabotages and maybe a "revolutionary separatist faction" that suddenly wants to be one with Russia, at least in the case of Narva, similar to what happened in Ukraine since 2014 (?)
In no world can Russia combat NATO air power, which would have supremacy within days of any NATO counter, so Russia would not be able to hold any "test" areas. If Putin wanted to test NATO, it isn't to win or hold any location, it would be just to see what they do.
In Bulgaria, reporters found out about a russian funded paramilitary organisation in one of the port cities. They've basically "bought" a small village there.
Fully funded by russia, hiding with the help of the conservative parties.
I suspect there are similar things happening in other eastern europe countries.
The main issue is in most places if 50 or so masked people show up at a city hall to proclaim a "people's Republic", the police and military show up very quickly and it soon becomes apparent that this isn't some sort of popular uprising.
Destroy more refineries. Really seems like the US backed off or never really cared about them attacking refineries.
The Kharkiv offensive was assumed with the build up of 50,000 troops. We'll see how hard Russia pushes this week, because they have about a month or so before artillery shells should be coming in significant amounts into Ukraine from the US and Czech purchase.
So far the recon groups got smashed, with significant casualties relatively. I still don't know what they plan to do though as 50,000 troops is not enough to take Kharkiv. Maybe they try to semi-isolate and push east.
So far the recon groups got smashed, with significant casualties relatively. I still don't know what they plan to do though as 50,000 troops is not enough to take Kharkiv. Maybe they try to semi-isolate and push east.
Yeah, once oil prices were proven to go DOWN from attacks, they basically stopped complaining. Plus Russia continued to escalate attacking power plants so that excuse was also off the table.
Chinese exports decreasing again to Russia, though how much is dual use and how much is normal trade out of that decrease is unknown.
View: https://twitter.com/delfoo/status/1788849673773392300
View: https://twitter.com/delfoo/status/1788849673773392300
I would assume they are probing right now to see if there are any weaknesses in Ukrainian defense, similar to what Ukraine did during their offensive.
Personally I doubt the goal for the Russians is to take Kharkiv (the city); but to create a new front in the North to spread the Ukrainian army thin. Expect a ton of casualties from the Russian side in the coming days, like significantly more casualties. Ukraine must be really dug in deep along that front by now (one would hope).
Yeah, it's something that needs to be cooked up, 2-5 years timeframe, spread propaganda campaigns, start with a few 100's and steadly increase the numbers to cause trouble and test progressively NATO's humour, it's what is happening in Ukraine since 2014. Everyone knew that both separatist groups in dotnetsk and luhansk were just Russian soldiers.
Do you have a source for this? I don't doubt you, but my gf is Bulgarian and I'd like to share this with her and can't find it through Google.
Looks like the Russians are trying to cross the border near Kharkiv:
Russia-Ukraine war live: Kyiv sends reinforcements to Kharkiv and evacuates civilians as Russian forces advance
Head of the town of Vovchansk’s military administration said transport was being organised for those without carswww.theguardian.com
If this is the famed and expected "Russian Summer Offensive" then I hope it's as mild as it sounds and no progress is made by Russians.
Here you go
This is the original, but half of it's locked behind a registration.
Ветринска народна република: "Исторически парк" се въоръжава
След превземането на община Ветрино култът на Ивелин Михайлов създава свои силови институции, които да налагат ред в отцепената територия
www.capital.bg
Fortunately, the first 48 hours of an article don't have any walls and you can read them properly here:
Ветринска народна република: "Исторически парк" се въоръжава
След превземането на община Ветрино култът на Ивелин Михайлов създава свои силови институции, които да налагат ред в отцепената територия
web.archive.org
The situation is dire
Edit: I think the google english translation is good enough if you want to read it on your own as well.
Here you go
This is the original, but half of it's locked behind a registration.
Ветринска народна република: "Исторически парк" се въоръжава
След превземането на община Ветрино култът на Ивелин Михайлов създава свои силови институции, които да налагат ред в отцепената територия
Fortunately, the first 48 hours of an article don't have any walls and you can read them properly here:
Ветринска народна република: "Исторически парк" се въоръжава
След превземането на община Ветрино култът на Ивелин Михайлов създава свои силови институции, които да налагат ред в отцепената територия
The situation is dire
Edit: I think the google english translation is good enough if you want to read it on your own as well.
Legend, thank you
View: https://x.com/brianemfinger/status/1789015073861648559?s=46&t=zmlNC97WauosZt7jmwO0Ag
We should see some of this action later tonight in the US.
seems like damage even more bigger that it looked
May destroyed the crops
Май уничтожил урожай
Как последствия заморозков отразятся на сельхозпроизводителях
www.kommersant.ru
Russia may lose up to a third of its fruit crop due to frosts
and thanks to Patrushev's son - there's seed shortage as well
https://www.kommersant.ru/doc/6464671
Logistics wins wars. Keep hammering those power and oil facilities.
Feels like we've been getting ATACMS strikes every few days or so
Really curious if cruise missiles are included with those f16s
this is the main difference between drone attack and ATACMS
View: https://twitter.com/NOELreports/status/1789030638089060415
area of destruction and effectiveness are much bigger
ie, after drone attack – oil refinery temporarily stops work, after ATACMS – permanently
View: https://twitter.com/NOELreports/status/1789030638089060415
area of destruction and effectiveness are much bigger
ie, after drone attack – oil refinery temporarily stops work, after ATACMS – permanently
Reminder the USSR attempted to "force" the west to capitulate on improving the economic situation of West Berlin by blockading all land routes heading in. The West responses by spending almost a full year airdropping supplies to West Berlin. Eventually the Soviets gave in and removed the blockades.
Berlin Blockade - Wikipedia
The USSR attempted to starve 250k people for geopolitics, and when the West doesn't have their fingers up their own ass, they have tremendous power they can leverage as seen by that example.
View: https://twitter.com/wartranslated/status/1789068763851059216
Would be nice if these strikes are the first Storm Shadows used against targets within Russia.
Btw, my first thought about Cameron's remark was potential russian attack from Belgorod direction. It's a shared border after all, and most of the targets will be on russian territory anyway, so it would make sense to allow AFU strike back.
They appear ballistic, so not Storm Shadows. But I don't think the US has given permission for Ukraine to use their supplied weapons on Russian soil. Could be Ukrainian tactical ballistic missiles of some kind.
Remember that Storm Shadows are British and French, not American. And the UK's Foreign Secretary David Cameron said Ukraine is allowed to use British weapons to hit targets within Russia. But you could still be right that these aren't Storm Shadows.
Impacts of cruise missiles look like ballistic missiles
Tbh, i would love to hear those are Ukrainian produced ballistic missiles.
I hope Ukraine will once produce missiles in masses on their own.
Again?
Considering the orcs were pushing towards Vovchans'k, it's probably their attempt to cut it off from supply across the Oskil river reservoir
I'm curious too. Last I read they were still working on Hrim-2. But apparently it's been in development for a long time now, and I don't think we even have a timeframe when it'll be in operational useImpacts of cruise missiles look like ballistic missiles
Tbh, i would love to hear those are Ukrainian produced ballistic missiles.
I hope Ukraine will once produce missiles in masses on their own.
UA will almost assuredly be supplied a stream of JASSM which is the U.S. Storm Shadow equivalent (but with about twice the range) which can be dropped from F-16s.
EUs 27 member states seem to have agreed on an Security Assurance Agreement for Ukraine.
The draft reportedly pledges weapons and nonlethal supplies and training and other assistance.
Welt am Sonntag per Radio Free Europe
Surely it will not be as detailed as other bilateral Security Agreements, but an agreement on Security with the whole EU bloc is a big thing.
I wouldn't have thought it is possible with countries like Orban's Hungary in the EU.
The draft reportedly pledges weapons and nonlethal supplies and training and other assistance.
Welt am Sonntag per Radio Free Europe
Surely it will not be as detailed as other bilateral Security Agreements, but an agreement on Security with the whole EU bloc is a big thing.
I wouldn't have thought it is possible with countries like Orban's Hungary in the EU.
