duckroll

Member
Oct 25, 2017
11,838
Singapore
Is it a dying market?
Tales of Arise did well, so does Persona, Yakuza (Like a Dragon) is doing well, etc...

Maybe it is dying in Japan but most companies are chasing the growing global market.
They are only doing well for their publishers because none of those are expected to be AAA games. FF outsells all of those and is making a loss for S-E now.

As far as AAA goes, it is a dying market for sure.
 

CenaToon

Member
Oct 25, 2017
4,441
They are also F2P games that capitalise on low barrier of entry and a business model built around character appeal and gambling. Things that core traditional JRPG fans and developers tend to be against. Nothing sign of an incompatibility between what the traditional JRPG market is, and the market that leads to top tier earners today.

"core traditional rpg fans" also said that FF16 will be a disaster, and ther we have it, probably still selling better than Rebirth. Honestly the term "core rpg fans" every day sounds more like "core star wars fans" for me.

My point is. The term "JRPG" is no longer a term for just rpgs made in japan, even if the definition says so. A developer of any country can make a JRPG in the same level or even better than a japanese developer.
 

Abrasion Test

Member
Oct 27, 2017
1,849
a change in strategy doesn't seem like a clear indication that existing contracts will be voided because of underperformance. You have to assume that Part 3 will also be exclusive to PS5 because Sony probably has dibs on the whole trilogy. I don't know how SE could overturn that unless they bought the contract out for a multiplatform release which sounds like something that never happens.
No one knows if Sony actually locked it up long term. Based on the changing exclusivity terms and timelines from game to game it sounds like they go from game to game rather than a deal that was set in stone 10 years ago.

Aside from that Square has had no interest or urgency in getting ports out since PC isn't ready when the contract is up. That's the actual part internally that has to change.
 

Sabin

Member
Oct 25, 2017
4,719
It is bad news because it somewhat degrades the appeal of PlayStation as a lucrative platform for third parties which is the whole point of the entire operation, first party games are nice and all but your main goal is to profit from third party game sale commissions.
It's not Squares Job to make PlayStation a lucrative platform. Thats on Sony.
 

FrostweaveBandage

Unshakable Resolve
Member
Sep 27, 2019
6,979
Is it a dying market?
Tales of Arise did well, so does Persona, Yakuza (Like a Dragon) is doing well, etc...

Maybe it is dying in Japan but most companies are chasing the growing global market.

People aren't buying FF but they are buying other JRPGs and now you have a new generation that hasn't even been raised by the old JRPGs for you to attract and grow.
"Doing well" when it comes to JRPGs may have a different definition than some think. P3R likely hasn't hit 2M sold yet. Same with LAD and Granblue. And there's a lot of overlap between the owners of these games.

People like to point out Persona 5 but forget that it took them six games on multiple platforms and genres to get that series to 10M in sales, not to mention that there's lots of overlap in that series too (if you bought P5S, you probably own either P5 or P5R as well).

The number of humans that actually play these games I think would be shockingly small relative to other genres.
 
Oct 25, 2017
3,773
It isn't that weird when you consider that they are simultaneously the two big cases of Square doing major exclusives and also two big cases of Square having some high profile games underperforming (more 7Re than 16, but even 16's PR has to try and couch things to cover up it not doing great).

Yeah but an entire publisher making such a decision off of two games doesn't sound right. Hasn't square released other games that have also underperformed? Weren't there also studios they gave up? I mean......two blockbuster hits is not the only issue I think is happening with square if this is what they are boldly saying.
 

Lord Fanny

Member
Apr 25, 2020
26,256
I mean Squeenix themselves state that Xbox is a platform going forward, right in the OT text - and in your example of DQ11 the DE did come Day 1, and with this announcement, it'd only make sense to continue doing so considering the dire state that both of these companies are in.

They would be shooting themselves in the foot (heh) if they didn't release their big multiplatform games Day 1 - all the momentum is at release and your odds of success/profitability taper off significantly the more delayed your release is - this entire announcement is to state that basically...BUT it is Squeenix, so I assume it will be implemented terribly.

…As I said

No where does it say that every single game they publish in every single region will be on all that platforms day 1 lol. It's possible obviously, but will every game come to Switch 2 day 1, for instance? That's doubtful unless they plan to never chase high fidelity again. Either way, I said DQ12 was going to be multiplatform and probably was going to be even before this. The rest is just needless obtuseness

All of this because I said DQ11 was already multiplatform so 12 was probably going to be multiplatform already even before this coming to at least PS5 and Switch 2. My god
 

duckroll

Member
Oct 25, 2017
11,838
Singapore
Yeah but an entire publisher making such a decision off of two games doesn't sound right. Hasn't square released other games that have also underperformed? Weren't there also studios they gave up? I mean......two blockbuster hits is not the only issue I think is happening with square if this is what they are boldly saying.
They have a new CEO coming off the back of a CEO who got fired. He needs to answer to shareholders and show he's not a lame duck.
 

burgerdog

Member
Oct 27, 2017
9,625
a change in strategy doesn't seem like a clear indication that existing contracts will be voided because of underperformance. You have to assume that Part 3 will also be exclusive to PS5 because Sony probably has dibs on the whole trilogy. I don't know how SE could overturn that unless they bought the contract out for a multiplatform release which sounds like something that never happens.

Of course, we also don't know if there's a deal in place for it either. We'll just have to see.
 

GhostTrick

Member
Oct 25, 2017
11,514
Yeah but an entire publisher making such a decision off of two games doesn't sound right. Hasn't square released other games that have also underperformed? Weren't there also studios they gave up? I mean......two blockbuster hits is not the only issue I think is happening with square if this is what they are boldly saying.


Their two biggest games. From their biggest IP.
When your biggest brand is suffering from 3 successive drop in sales, there is an issue.
 

TheRealTalker

Member
Oct 25, 2017
21,840
They are only doing well for their publishers because none of those are expected to be AAA games. FF outsells all of those and is making a loss for S-E now.

As far as AAA goes, it is a dying market for sure.
those games are AAA though

if you're talking about sales I get they aren't FF levels but FF is dropping off/shrinking while those are growing

do you not think eventually they will swap or is the market too small for that?

consumers are fickle, something isn't absolute and maybe there is more growth for those franchises in the future
 

IronFalcon1997

One Winged Slayer
Member
Jun 11, 2018
1,804
FFVII Remake trilogy, FFXVI and FFXVII on Switch 2 let's go!!!!

Also for anyone saying they won't work on that console, they absolutely will. Switch 2 is looking like a beast
 

TheRealTalker

Member
Oct 25, 2017
21,840
"Doing well" when it comes to JRPGs may have a different definition than some think. P3R likely hasn't hit 2M sold yet. Same with LAD and Granblue. And there's a lot of overlap between the owners of these games.

People like to point out Persona 5 but forget that it took them six games on multiple platforms and genres to get that series to 10M in sales, not to mention that there's lots of overlap in that series too (if you bought P5S, you probably own either P5 or P5R as well).

The number of humans that actually play these games I think would be shockingly small relative to other genres.
got it,

wonder if they should market these games, especially the more action orientated ones as just games and not niche JRPGs?

for example even FF16 had more newcomers then FF7
 

duckroll

Member
Oct 25, 2017
11,838
Singapore
those games are AAA though

if you're talking about sales I get they aren't FF levels but FF is dropping off/shrinking while those are growing

do you not think eventually they will swap or is the market too small for that?

consumers are fickle, something isn't absolute and maybe there is more growth for those franchises in the future
Dude, Tales Of, Persona, and Yakuza games are absolutely not AAA games. They do not have a fraction of development or marketing budget that classifies an AAA game for a modern publisher.
 

grand

Member
Oct 25, 2017
25,383
I agree with you it seems very unlikely, I feel like (before today) I had still seen discussion of the possibility. Or if exclusivity ending after the trilogy finished was the "best case" scenario

People are speculating about Part 3, but I wouldn't be surprised if there was a clause in whatever contract currently exists that give's SE a way out for the third game. Whether that be a trigger like certain sales targets not being met with Rebirth or simply a condition allowing SE to buy their way out of it.
There's always a way out. When I say no contract is in perpetuity, I meant that literally. Perpetuity contracts aren't allowed under common law systems and is almost always disallowed under civil law systems like Japan. Sony & Square wouldn't have made a contract that would be held up as invalid in a US court.
 

TheRealTalker

Member
Oct 25, 2017
21,840
Dude, Tales Of, Persona, and Yakuza games are absolutely not AAA games. They do not have a fraction of development or marketing budget that classifies an AAA game for a modern publisher.
they are considered AAA, idk what you're talking about lol

Tales of Arise is AAA

the latest Like a Dragon is AAA

even Granblue Relink is AAA

AAA's range/scope is larger then you think, these companies call these games AAA too
 

GhostTrick

Member
Oct 25, 2017
11,514
Well, let's see how that plays out. I can't see a single situation in which Square is turning down money from anyone...whether that be Sony, Nintendo or Microsoft.

In the situation where taking money in exchange of lower sales means each time, the compensation is lower, since lower sales means a devaluation of your brand, to the point it's not appealing anymore, neither to the customers or the companies who used to gave you money for that.
 

bloopland33

Member
Mar 4, 2020
2,317
There's always a way out. When I say no contract is in perpetuity, I meant that literally. Perpetuity contracts aren't allowed under common law systems and is almost always disallowed under civil law systems like Japan. Sony & Square wouldn't have made a contract that would be held up as invalid in a US court.
Interesting, didn't know that part about perpetuity contracts!

I'm sure something's been signed for Part 3 already but here's hoping SE dissolves it and launches the game on every major platform. Would be very hype.
 

Yuntu

Prophet of Regret Corrupted by Vengeance
Member
Nov 7, 2019
10,911
Germany
they are considered AAA, idk what you're talking about lol

Tales of Arise is AAA

the latest Like a Dragon is AAA

even Granblue Relink is AAA

AAA's range/scope is larger then you think, these companies call these games AAA too

Have never seen Bandai, Cygames or Atlus call those games AAA and they have dont have that kinda budget otherwise their sales would be rly bad for the publishers behind them.

They are simply well produced games, don't need to be AAA for that.
 
Oct 25, 2017
3,773
Their two biggest games. From their biggest IP.
When your biggest brand is suffering from 3 successive drop in sales, there is an issue.

I'm calling BS. Was the Avengers not taking into consideration? Losing Edios and Crystal Dynamics? Epic store? I mean, Octopath Traveler, DQ, Triangle Strategy all being on specific platforms exclusively themselves...etc etc...Long dev times between projects....You're telling me that none of those are also issues? This is all because of a Playstation exclusivity to 2 FF games?...... Yeah, no I'm not buying that.

If you said Forspoken and or Foamstars...that would me a ton more sense. Especially considering, neither, if not all Square games, didn't need to be exclusive anyways.
 

duckroll

Member
Oct 25, 2017
11,838
Singapore
they are considered AAA, idk what you're talking about lol

Tales of Arise is AAA

the latest Like a Dragon is AAA

even Granblue Relink is AAA

AAA's range/scope is larger then you think, these companies call these games AAA too
I don't know how to respond to this other than to say this is absolutely wrong. Would love to see even a single example of Sega or Bandai Namco as a publisher actually calling those games AAA.
 
Mar 6, 2021
3,875
Saint Louis
The devs themselves said so.

Rebirth's quality was only possible thanks to developing for one sku.

That is and always will be, nonsense. We arent talking about developing for cross gen games. If you are to say what they are saying is true, you are basically saying that game lit cant exist on other platforms. And the OG poster I was talking too even said they are ok with later ports..... which lit means the original statement of scope being effected by # of platforms, is nonsense.

# of platforms doesnt matter. What those platforms are matters. The only thing one could argue is that the "polish" of the game may be effected. Even then, not by much
 
Oct 25, 2017
3,773
In the situation where taking money in exchange of lower sales means each time, the compensation is lower, since lower sales means a devaluation of your brand, to the point it's not appealing anymore, neither to the customers or the companies who used to gave you money for that.

I'm gonna bookmark this for future reference. I'm sure we will revisit this when they decide to create yet, another, exclusive.
 

Hamchan

The Fallen
Oct 25, 2017
5,071
they are considered AAA, idk what you're talking about lol

Tales of Arise is AAA

the latest Like a Dragon is AAA

even Granblue Relink is AAA

AAA's range/scope is larger then you think, these companies call these games AAA too

Can't comment on Granblue but Tales and Yakuza have always been a much lower budget series compared to something like Final Fantasy.

Yakuza especially reuses so many assets to be able to come out nearly annually. That low budget charm is part of why I like the series honestly. Basically prepare yourself for Yagami to somehow be in Hawaii for Judgment 3.
 

GhostTrick

Member
Oct 25, 2017
11,514
I'm calling BS. Was the Avengers not taking into consideration? Losing Edios and Crystal Dynamics? Epic store? I mean, Octopath Traveler, DQ, Triangle Strategy all being on specific platforms exclusively themselves...etc etc...Long dev times between projects....You're telling me that none of those are also issues? This is all because of a Playstation exclusivity to 2 FF games?...... Yeah, no I'm not buying that.

If you said Forspoken and or Foamstars...that would me a ton more sense. Especially considering, neither, if not all Square games, didn't need to be exclusive anyways.


Have you missed the part where FFVII Rebirth's budget likely is ten times bigger than the one of Octopath and Triangle Strategy altogether ?

Or that, as I said, Final Fantasy is their biggest historic IP and that this IP in particular, combined with the fact that these 2 releases are likely their biggest titles in history, underperformed and keeps performing worse each time ?


I'm gonna bookmark this for future reference. I'm sure we will revisit this when they decide to create yet, another, exclusive.


They might. I mean, they likely still have on-going deals. And if they make new ones, it doesn't mean they'd be right. Then again, it's SE's who's talking about going multiplatform for AAA titles.
 

Cappy

Member
Feb 5, 2018
146
Yeah but an entire publisher making such a decision off of two games doesn't sound right. Hasn't square released other games that have also underperformed? Weren't there also studios they gave up? I mean......two blockbuster hits is not the only issue I think is happening with square if this is what they are boldly saying.
Well, part of this seemingly involves a greater strategy shift to lessening the number of overall games they develop, focusing on making fewer, "higher quality" games, and then expanding them to reach to as many people as possible by hitting all the main platforms. What prompted the shift, I mean you could look at how FF16 and FF7 Rebirth have done comparatively, but I believe the new CEO has talked about this before FF7 Rebirth even came out. People aren't wrong about SE already releasing games on multiple platforms, but specifically, they seem to indicate they want their big AAA games to be everywhere so they can reach more people, including and maybe especially Final Fantasy.
 

Mephissto

Member
Mar 8, 2024
609
That is and always will be, nonsense. We arent talking about developing for cross gen games. If you are to say what they are saying is true, you are basically saying that game lit cant exist on other platforms. And the OG poster I was talking too even said they are ok with later ports..... which lit means the original statement of scope being effected by # of platforms, is nonsense.

# of platforms doesnt matter. What those platforms are matters. The only thing one could argue is that the "polish" of the game may be effected. Even then, not by much

I mean I also think it is overblown but lets say CBU1/CS has a deadline of 3-4 years to get the game out then porting can definitely result in having to cut back in other areas.
 

Chippewa Barr

Powered by Friendship™
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Aug 8, 2020
4,088
…As I said



All of this because I said DQ11 was already multiplatform so 12 was probably going to be multiplatform already even before this coming to at least PS5 and Switch 2. My god
...yes, the class is aware of what you said.

I was more talking about when you said
Zero chance for Xbox
which I feel is incorrect.

Xbox is struggling and needs games. Squeenix is struggling and wants to sell games. DQ11 DE was Day 1 on Xbox. DQ12 Day 1 on Xbox makes sense.

But you say that it's not possible - why is it zero chance?
 

asd202

Enlightened
Member
Oct 27, 2017
9,754
Getting games on PC in good state should be a priority, Switch 2 can wait a bit as it will take time to build up install base. Getting games on it in it's second year+ should be fine. Knowing SE they already got some exclusive signed with Nintendo for launch anyway lol.
 

TheRealTalker

Member
Oct 25, 2017
21,840
I don't know how to respond to this other than to say this is absolutely wrong. Would love to see even a single example of Sega or Bandai Namco as a publisher actually calling those games AAA.
Have never seen Bandai, Cygames or Atlus call those games AAA and they have dont have that kinda budget otherwise their sales would be rly bad for the publishers behind them.

They are simply well produced games, don't need to be AAA for that.
this is the first time I heard people say those games aren't AAA

I wonder if I can find some fiscal slides or something about them...
 

mrtanooki

Member
May 9, 2024
21
Getting games on PC in good state should be a priority, Switch 2 can wait a bit as it will take time to build up install base. Getting games on it it's second year+ should be fine.
Yep. I really think skipping day one release on PC for XVI and Rebirth was a mistake. Bandai Namco, SEGA and especially Capcom have show PC releases are well worth the effort.
 

Cappy

Member
Feb 5, 2018
146
I don't know how to respond to this other than to say this is absolutely wrong. Would love to see even a single example of Sega or Bandai Namco as a publisher actually calling those games AAA.
Yeah, I'm not sure I'm putting Final Fantasy 16 and Tales of Arise in the same category of "AAA" here. Or, like, Elden Ring and Tales of Arise both being considered two AAA titles from Namco. Nothing against ToA!
 

Desma

"This guy are sick"
Member
Oct 27, 2017
5,363
they are considered AAA, idk what you're talking about lol

Tales of Arise is AAA

the latest Like a Dragon is AAA

even Granblue Relink is AAA

AAA's range/scope is larger then you think, these companies call these games AAA too
Those aren't AAA, lol. No way Arise is

Granblue maaaaybe, but it's more of a Monster Hunter like game than a proper JRPG.
 

PshycoNinja

Game Developer
Verified
Oct 25, 2017
3,278
Los Angeles
This is honestly a really weird thread to read with a lot of narratives being interwoven with the data, hedging on some of the facts while ignoring others.
 

silentq15

Member
Aug 15, 2022
545
There's no reason to laugh about it. Odds are quite high that it's happening. Their recent financials seem to indicate they expected more of their recent titles and Switch 2 is going to be right there, following up on the absolutely monstrous (and soon to be record brealing) Switch. They clearly want that money, which means they are gonna have to release their biggest titles there. Repeatedly. Not just spinoffs and late ports after the fact. Nintendo is very clearly labeled as a big part of their plans like every other platform.
I am laughing because the expectation that Switch 2 will be powerful enough to support the next mainline Final Fantasy is silly. The TDP is just not there on any chip on the market and is still far away. I doubt even FSR/DLSS can make up for it. Just look at the Ally or the Deck for frame of reference where the tech is.
 

LaytonWright

Unshakable Resolve
Member
Oct 27, 2017
2,185
They are only doing well for their publishers because none of those are expected to be AAA games. FF outsells all of those and is making a loss for S-E now.

As far as AAA goes, it is a dying market for sure.

Japan as a market is more leaning to mobile and switch. playsation 5s in japan are still seen as Luxury Items over there and are still quite expensive and the stock situation for ps5s only got better around xvis release.

I fully expect playstation, switch 2 and mobile the focus in japan. Xbox in japan lets be honest post hifi rush closure.

the next few years are going to be interesting in the console market-

playstation is doing well but alot of their projects are in first or second year of dev at best
switch 2 soon - will it be another switch or another wii u
xbox - will the current team even be around by the time the next console is around i.e phil sarah bond etc.//- xbox to me is the most uncertain, if i was obsidain or hellblade devs id be might worried, the only studios safe there was ppl working on elder scrolls 6, the next fallout and playground games. Microsoft itself is now looking to look at xbox under the magnifying glass.

Alot of studios made a stupid assumption in thinking covid time sales would continue with people buying stuff as being stuck inside and it would continue and it just didnt.. but they hired and created and spent money based on that fact.
 

Nairume

SaGa Sage
Member
Oct 25, 2017
7,078
Yeah but an entire publisher making such a decision off of two games doesn't sound right. Hasn't square released other games that have also underperformed? Weren't there also studios they gave up? I mean......two blockbuster hits is not the only issue I think is happening with square if this is what they are boldly saying.
You are really underselling things by acting like it is "only" two games that they are making this decision based off of.

One of the games in question is the next numbered entry in what was one of the most prominent gaming franchises that had no issues doing numbers and the release of each entry was treated like an event. It did fine, but it's one where they had to highlight that they got a lot of new players as a means of making up for how their old playerbase did not turn up for the game. Also there's the absolutely embarrassing reality that the game specifically performed worse in their home territory than a number of other games that it should absolutely not have underperformed against.

The other game is a highly anticipated second part of a remake of THE best selling and most highly regarded game in that same franchise, and was following up a first part that sold extremely well. It also got ridiculously high reviews and should have been an event, but instead Square won't even make any comment about how it is performing because there seemingly is no way to spin the game's sales in a way that could be considered positive.

That may "only" be two games, but it's two big fucking games to be underperforming and it's not like they have anything else big coming out any time soon. That's a big deal.
 

Yuntu

Prophet of Regret Corrupted by Vengeance
Member
Nov 7, 2019
10,911
Germany
Yeah but an entire publisher making such a decision off of two games doesn't sound right. Hasn't square released other games that have also underperformed? Weren't there also studios they gave up? I mean......two blockbuster hits is not the only issue I think is happening with square if this is what they are boldly saying.

I think its the easiest and most obvious thing to point towards.

I can't think of any AAA game from this console gen from SE that isn't tied to a single platform (in this gens case that being Playstation). And well AAA are the most important titles for big publishers.
 

LaytonWright

Unshakable Resolve
Member
Oct 27, 2017
2,185
This is honestly a really weird thread to read with a lot of narratives being interwoven with the data, hedging on some of the facts while ignoring others.

this ^ screams of just looking at the tweet/headline... hell ive seen journalists at forbes.... wrote an sensationalist and clickbaity article.
 

TheCed

Member
Oct 27, 2017
2,436
This is honestly a really weird thread to read with a lot of narratives being interwoven with the data, hedging on some of the facts while ignoring others.
You've been here long enough to know that's just your typical SE thread.

The way people talk about Square (and gaming in general too, I'd say) changed a lot since the XV days.

A bit or a shame, I find myself enjoying gaming discussion a lot less than I used to.