Wkd Box Office - 5•17-19•19 - Wick burns bright, The Sun flames out as Avatar passes torch to Endgame
- Thread starter hodayathink
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THREE-DAY WEEKEND FORECAST
- Aladdin - $60.0 M
- John Wick: Chapter 3 - Parabellum (3,862 theaters) - $23.9 M
- Avengers: Endgame - $17.4 M
- Pokemon Detective Pikachu (4,168 theaters) - $14.1 M
- Brightburn (2,607 theaters) - $13.0 M
- Booksmart (2,505 theaters) - $11.0 M
- A Dog's Journey (3,274 theaters) - $4.6 M
- The Hustle (2,377 theaters) - $3.6 M
- The Intruder (1,612 theaters) - $2.6 M
- Long Shot (1,602 theaters) - $1.7 M
FOUR-DAY WEEKEND FORECAST
- Aladdin - $75.3 M
- John Wick: Chapter 3 - Parabellum (3,862 theaters) - $30.6 M
- Avengers: Endgame - $22.2 M
- Pokemon Detective Pikachu (4,168 theaters) - $17.8 M
- Brightburn (2,607 theaters) - $15.0 M
- Booksmart (2,505 theaters) - $13.0 M
- A Dog's Journey (3,274 theaters) - $6.3 M
- The Hustle (2,377 theaters) - $4.5 M
- The Intruder (1,612 theaters) - $3.3 M
- Long Shot (1,602 theaters) - $2.2 M
As for Endgame:
Thanks, it really means a lot.
For sure. I don't think you should change how you post. You're on topic, not violating ToS, friendly. Seems all good to me.
John Connor still listens to "You could be mine" by GnR in Salvation.
Thank you ZattMurdock. Keep updating Endgame numbers please.
Great, now apparently I'm the asshole for posting the tiniest little criticism.
Only one so far, I haven't been frequenting these threads as much as others
Endgame stabilized a bit with Infinity War this past week, gonna be curious to see if it stays stable with losing some of the higher theater count advantage. This past week it had a 218 theater advantage over IW. But starting Friday it will only have 42 more screens than IW on the same weekend.
The fact that Aladdin probably won't even get near Solo numbers will help it probably stay stable.
Also, John Wick 3 is even better on the second viewing. SOOOOOO fucking good.
The fact that Aladdin probably won't even get near Solo numbers will help it probably stay stable.
Also, John Wick 3 is even better on the second viewing. SOOOOOO fucking good.
Beauty and the Beast made over $1.26bil. This would be lucky to get past $1bil. Lion King, now that one might be a contender to beat BatB
Once again fam, thank you all for your kind words. I do it because other than loving Endgame, I truly love following box office and I think this one is a special one. Endgame is behaving like the opposite of Avatar and it's all about the Sprint and how well it can marathon its way up to Avatar. So far, it's doing everything right to achieve just that.
You are not an asshole, and I appreciate the criticism and I do take it in consideration. But just so you understand: it's a lot easier for me to do this daily because then I don't forget of keeping doing it. It takes me literally like 2 min for those.
Shit from other forums should stay in other forums, just like twitter or other social media drama should stay there. Let this be its own thing. Please, for the love of all that is holy.
Nothing that I post here is "shit from the other forums". I post numbers, data, and my projections. I use BOT not differently than Kswiston would. That's it.
If anything, I barely talk about anything other than box office stuff here on this thread.
Pretty hilarious how quiet ResetEra has been about John Wick 3 outgrossing Pokemeon opening weekend in the states lol then blaming Avengers for the interest not being as high as it could be.
John Wick 3 DOUBLED the opening weekend of 2, Avengers literally did nothing to that movies opening weekend haha.
John Wick 3 DOUBLED the opening weekend of 2, Avengers literally did nothing to that movies opening weekend haha.
There's no comparison on popularity of both animated movies. That alone will give Aladdin a higher success rate but doesn't mean it'll do gangbusters
If it does similar numbers it will be a worse disaster. Higher budget, prime real estate release date too.
Disney is now 4/4 for shit released on Memorial day in last 4 years. Although Pirates 5 is the outlier with grossing near $800m worldwide, but still a big step down from part 4.
You could jokingly argue that Wick is more powerful than Deadpool. Wick opened to less than half what Deadpool 2 did on same weekend but the Avengers movies both fell the same amount.
Interestingly enough, this is now two summers in a row where a movie from a John Wick 1 director has opened on the fourth weekend of an Avengers movie and Avengers has near the same gross.
It definitely won't be another Jungle Book, I think the ceiling for this movie is around Cinderella if all goes well (reviews aren't doing so hot).
Endgame is heading to this weekend with 3810 theaters. That number is still above Infinity War in the same period of time. Aladdin is getting a wide release of 4476 theaters.
Source: https://www.boxofficemojo.com/counts/chart/?yr=2019&wk=21&p=.htm
Source: https://www.boxofficemojo.com/counts/chart/?yr=2019&wk=21&p=.htm
200 something domestic seems about right.
I think audience will like this more then that and Beauty and the Beast.
Pretty wild how high those two are on RT. Checks didn't clear in time for this one
Crazy how I used to question paying for Dolby, IMAX and or 3D as it was always the most expensive movie theater experience. Now I strictly choose Dolby and IMAX as a second option if Dolby isn't available. Digital is a thing of the past. I've been spoiled!
Endgame passing Avatar means more talks about Endgame And Avatar. That's the reason.
If they do push Endgame the morning after it passed Avatar will be the most awkward work day ever at JC office lol
He will just laugh and say he set the record twice and it is about time someone other than himself set the record in the last 22 years.
IMAX over Dolby always. And I love Dolby. IMAX is just in another level, especially among blockbusters. Even more so with blockbusters that use IMAX cameras.
After watching Aladdin last night and having a giant smile on my face the entire time, it really makes me wonder if cheques r for real...n if disney spent it all on endgame already
I saw you ask that yesterday. It wasn't that it was ignored, it was that I genuinely think most of us don't know the answer either. I've never seen that info discerned/explained either for example
It's a mix of social media interest, advance tickets sales and pure guesstimate, imo. There is also a shitload of practice involved, and regardless how much time you dedicate to it, you will always get something wrong and keep learning as the time goes by.
The cold hard truth is that regardless how much you predict this stuff, when it is something as big as Endgame, Avatar, Titanic, TFA and etc it is incredibly hard to predict. It gets easier when the box office run goes further, but it is always hard. Stuff like John Wick 3 and Detective Pokemon is easier to predict: normal weekend and regular size blockbuster. I got bullseye with JW3 just over $55m, but I couldn't possibly predict stuff like Endgame or TFA opening weekends.
I think Aladdin will flop, and I'll throw my hat to the prediction game right now: $65m 4-days dom.
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Dolby has true blacks, HDR, dual 4K projection, and object-based atmos surround. There is no comparison between Dolby and IMAX Xenon.
I'm not sure if that's true to my personal experience here in Brazil. Not entirely up to date with how movie theaters are in the USA, but here Dolby is basically 2nd best. We don't have true IMAX here either.
Biggest entertainment brand!
All kidding aside, it is doing decently. Could be better, could be worse. But it is not anywhere near the levels many people on the site hyped it up to.
It is also going to fuck so many of us in the box office wager because so many of us expected better after the trailer views.
4. For comparison last year Solo did 103m over the 4 day.
Over $170mil away from $500mil, with Aladdin out tonight, Godzilla next week, Dark Phoenix and Secret Life of Pets 2 the week after, and Toy Story later that month? I don't think it's making it, and if it does it's barely and out of steam very very very soon after. Certainly nowhere near the billion a surprising amount of people here sincerely bet on
I hate those kids. And I don't particularly care about Pokemon either.
When Venom 2 outgrosses Pikachu 2(if there is one in the end), there's gonna be Carnage.
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