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Joeytj

Member
Oct 30, 2017
3,678
I wonder if China's influence will prop up Mexico's economy if we decide to start trading more with them than the Americans.

Perhaps, but it wouldn't do us much good in the long run. It could help to make the U.S. worried about Chinese influence and counter them with more investment in Mexico, which isn't far from what the Mexican government is doing in the NAFTA negotiations, probably.

It would take years and decades for Mexico to stop depending on the U.S. for exports and imports and even then, there's not other feasible partner to replace them with. The most Mexico can do is diversify their trade partners, like maybe 20% European Union, then another 15% Asia, 15% South America? and then 40% U.S. and Canada (with Canada representing a small part of that).

A big chunk of our "trade" with the U.S. is simply all of the economic activity that happens along the border, between Mexicans and U.S. citizens living there or remittances from Mexicans in the U.S.
 

Slayven

Never read a comic in his life
Moderator
Oct 25, 2017
93,315
Sales.png
 

cameron

The Fallen
Oct 26, 2017
23,838

>
The Wall Street Journal @WSJ

China's countermeasures include levies targeting U.S. agricultural exports from Farm Belt states


WSJ: China to Target Trump's Base in Tariff Response

Plans for the retaliatory measures were laid out at a meeting last month convened by China's Commerce Ministry with Chinese importers of U.S. farm products, including China National Cereals, Oils and Foodstuffs Corp., a state-owned food-processing giant. These measures were prepared in anticipation of Trump administration moves.

At the meeting, Commerce Ministry officials sought the companies' views on the effects of scaling back U.S. agricultural imports, the people said. Since then the companies have been lining up alternatives sources—for soybeans, for instance, countries including Brazil, Argentina and Poland.

The potential retaliation is calibrated to hit states that helped elect Mr. Trump in 2016, the people said. Mr. Trump won eight of the top 10 soy and hog-producing states, and seven of the top 10 sorghum states.
a4lqfp.png
 

jayu26

Member
Oct 25, 2017
4,600
Ugh, I just realized that we are in Phantom Menace "Trade War" bullshit. We still have to go through the entirety of Attack of the Clones.
 

Deleted member 11157

User requested account closure
Banned
Oct 27, 2017
3,880
Cue the leaked phone call of Trump telling Chinese president he's not actually going to raise tariff and asking him to tone it down because this is just a big show ala Mexican president phone call.
 

Musubi

Unshakable Resolve - Prophet of Truth
Member
Oct 25, 2017
23,651
I can't handle all this winning Trump is doing.
 

Quazar

Member
Oct 27, 2017
177
Cue the leaked phone call of Trump telling Chinese president he's not actually going to raise tariff and asking him to tone it down because this is just a big show ala Mexican president phone call.

Sadly, it seems more like propaganda. Start a trade war and when others react point the fingers at their reaction and drum applause by the base. Creating an enemy more vicious that presided before.
 

Rayne

Member
Oct 25, 2017
3,634
Pork.

:(

So.. my pepperoni gonna cost more?

Nah should be cheaper for us since there should be a surplus since they won't sell as much in China. We'll win the people selling the pork'll lose.

Edit: my bad should've posted at first I'm aware the lower prices will be temporary :P
 
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Daria

Member
Oct 25, 2017
1,881
The Twilight Zone
Pig farming is big business around here. See plenty of Trump stickers around here. Whoops.

Add this to the drop in agricultural workers due to the crackdown on immigration, people are going to get an Econ 101 lesson on supply & demand and how prices fluctuate due to it. Trump is shooting himself in the foot with these tariffs, and both his base and administration, has no ability to critically think long-term about his actions
 

Firemind

Member
Oct 25, 2017
15,558
Nah should be cheaper for us since there should be a surplus since they won't sell as much in China. We'll win the people selling the pork'll lose.
Well, it's not as cut and dry, since the Chinese likes to import what you consider waste products: organs, ear, snout, feet. You're right that the pig farmers will lose the most from this though.
 
Oct 31, 2017
683
Nah should be cheaper for us since there should be a surplus since they won't sell as much in China. We'll win the people selling the pork'll lose.

That's not how this works. They're not going to flood the market with pork to drive the price down on their own. They cut back production, which means less labor, which means fewer jobs.
 

clay_ghost

Member
Oct 25, 2017
3,371
Well, it's not as cut and dry, since the Chinese likes to import what you consider waste products: organs, ear, snout, feet. You're right that the pig farmers will lose the most from this though.
Wait, I know US don't eat those parts but they just let it go to waste? I actually though that they will be turned into meat paste or something.

Also just realised that prices will likily drop for others countries due to oversupply, guess I will have cheaper bacon soon.
 

Rayne

Member
Oct 25, 2017
3,634
That's not how this works. They're not going to flood the market with pork to drive the price down on their own. They cut back production, which means less labor, which means fewer jobs.

I'm talking about the supply they already have. Unless they're gonna let that rot outta spite.

Later on yeah they'll cut down on production of course.

Well, it's not as cut and dry, since the Chinese likes to import what you consider waste products: organs, ear, snout, feet. You're right that the pig farmers will lose the most from this though.

True.
 

smurfx

Member
Oct 25, 2017
10,587
Wait, I know US don't eat those parts but they just let it go to waste? I actually though that they will be turned into meat paste or something.

Also just realised that prices will likily drop for others countries due to oversupply, guess I will have cheaper bacon soon.
none of that stuff goes to waste but china was buying in big numbers which allowed them to raise prices. if china drops out they will have to lower the prices and make less money off of each pig now.
 

Madness

Member
Oct 25, 2017
791
Hell yeah getting in a trade war with the country that makes all the shit we buy, no way this can go wrong for us

Getting in a trade war against the country that also is directly responsible for financing and investing and paying those workers to make that shit can also go wrong for them. What I don't get is how anyone is thinking the US as still the de facto largest world economy and with the largest corporations would lose in a trade war with China. Apple can go and get Vietnam and India and Mexico to make iPhones. Can China survive without US direct investment etc. Can they survive countries like Japan and South Korea who can't risk losing the US market abandoning China. For a lot of countries China is a bigger trade partner than the US. But that is why this is a lose lose scenario. Both China and the US will create trade war and recession but China is far more vulnerable here especially if the US plays some shenanigans with their dollar which China holds a lot of as foreign reserves.
 

Inugami

Member
Oct 25, 2017
14,995
"How else can we screw the lower class workers in America... Let's piss off our trading partners so they raise the import costs of their goods!"

Another 'win' for the Trump administration...
 

4Tran

Member
Nov 4, 2017
1,531
Chinese tariffs are just going to be more effective than Trump's because they are carefully weighed out and are designed to hit Trump where it hurts politically. This is something that Trump's administration is incapable of doing so while both sides are going to hurt, it's going to be more painful for one of them.

Getting in a trade war against the country that also is directly responsible for financing and investing and paying those workers to make that shit can also go wrong for them. What I don't get is how anyone is thinking the US as still the de facto largest world economy and with the largest corporations would lose in a trade war with China. Apple can go and get Vietnam and India and Mexico to make iPhones. Can China survive without US direct investment etc. Can they survive countries like Japan and South Korea who can't risk losing the US market abandoning China. For a lot of countries China is a bigger trade partner than the US. But that is why this is a lose lose scenario. Both China and the US will create trade war and recession but China is far more vulnerable here especially if the US plays some shenanigans with their dollar which China holds a lot of as foreign reserves.
Nothing works the way it's posited in this post. China has had expensive labor over tons of other countries in the region for a long time now. The reason the production stays there is because either the supply chain is there or that's where a huge portion of the end customers or both.