So here's an observation I've made regarding the confirmed cases and the death toll.
So of course the majority of confirmed cases and deaths is within Wuhan and Hubei province. Makes sense, its the supposed epicenter and the quarantined zone.
But looking at the second highest province Zhejiang, we have a whopping 829 cases, yet no deaths so far. Same with Guangdong at 725, and only 2 deaths out of Henan's 675 cases. In perspective, When Wuhan was reporting 800 plus cases, they had around 30 plus deaths. if you were to combine the number of the Guangdong, Zhejiang, and Henan, you have 2229 infected people with 2 deaths. At that number Wuhan already had around 80 deaths and was quarantined shortly after.
If you look at every province outside Hubei, you can find cities and provinces with hundreds of reported cases, but at most 2 deaths per area. Hainen is the only area with less than 100 cases that has a death so far. (Unless we count Hong Kong and it's recent death)
Now there are many reasons why Hubei is experiencing higher numbers and deaths compared to other provinces.The region may have been the epicenter, The case was suppressed in it's early stages, hospitals became overwhelmed after things got bad, the goverment response was slow and poor, and the entire province was eventually cut off from the rest of the world.
But what I'm wondering is how many of the fatalities are being caused by the actual virus taking it's toll on the patients, versus how much are the logistical issues within Hubei playing into the deaths of these victims. How many patients are being taken care of, versus how many are being confirmed yet untreated? You are more likely to bounce back from an illness if you're well nourished, and in a warm sanitary environment as well.
If we removed Hubei and Wuhan from the statistics, that leaves 7104 cases worldwide with only 12 deaths. Far less serious sounding than when you include the numbers from Hubei. I wish there was more information on the 632 recoveries in China, it would be interesting to know how many of those account for Wubei vs. regions outside the quarantine zone.
So my point is how much do the fatalities have to do with the virus itself vs. the circumstances of the patients within the effected areas? Because so far it seems the most likely indicator of you dying of New Corona virus is whether or not you live and are being treated in Hubei.
Forgive me if any of my numbers are outdated or off, or if my research is faulty.
