Agreed. People complain about the $30 premier access, but it's actually cheaper for me and my family.
Yeah, I think a part of it is that it's ultimately easier for families to just pay a $30 premiere access fee to watch a movie at home, than take the family out to an expensive theater.
I don't have kids myself, but my best friend is a family of six: him, his wife, and their four children. We live in LA, and the cost of theater tickets is anywhere from $20-25 a ticket, with children prices being not much lower than that. Like he's told me, a trip to the theater would cost him anywhere between $100-200, and while, sure, he could spend that, but getting his kids to settle down in a theater is like herding cats.
He also has a 70" 8k television, and an amazing sound system, so him and his wife would rather pay the $30 to see the movie on Disney+, and they don't have to worry when their kids get rowdy or antsy, as they can just pause the film, or let the kids run around or whatever.
Ultimately, it saves them a bunch of money.
The last time we saw something in the theater, it was me, my best friend, and three of his kids to see Sonic the Hedgehog, and at least with that it was free, because I worked for Disney at the time, and got tickets to a free screening for it, and was able to bring guests. So all we had to pay for was popcorn and sodas, which, for my friend, was way cheaper than having to buy tickets for himself and his 3 kids, on top of concession snacks.
I imagine a lot of families are going to opt to just watch films at home day and date if possible, simply because it's more convenient, and with money being tight due to the pandemic, they aren't eager to take a "family trip to the theater" like they may have in the past.
Personally, for me, as a newly single guy with no kids, I don't have a desire to watch things in the theater, especially with vaccine rollout still being far from widespread