Fantomas Dr. Monkey sorry it took this long. I didn't present it this way, but my thoughts N2 and the start of D3 were mostly like this;
Lean town
CoolestSpot
Kyonna
AbsolutFat
Pirate Malus
Verollo: since I don't want to mislead; my last post said "light town-lean" but my read list "town-read", I misremembered there. Apologies.
Raxander
Natforce
TheSkyChugger: to be fair I didn't commit to a read at that time.
FlatearthStan
Dr. Stuart
BrawaveZ: mostly due to FluxWaveZ' style.
Funky Dude Geno: for the defense of Zippedpinhead, and as a consequence of my Fantomas read.
Fantomas: for what I read as a poorly backed vote (not that I haven't been guilty myself) and an overreaction. With the caveat of a Sorian town flip.
Lean mafia
What's the problem here? My mafia reads were a disaster. Both BrawaveZ and more recently Funky Dude Geno flipped town. The last one in particular proved that a strong defense of a supposed slip is NAI. Thank you, that was obvious from the start! But at the time it seemed like such a convincing argument to me...
Well, I was super wrong. And since that's the case, I needed to find another angle to theorize about the mafia team.
Regarding Verelios; in the short exchanges with Fantomas, I was open in saying that (gosh I hate to quote myself);
I've been willing to re-read them since the start. Especially in light of Apollo's contributions.
Then there's the "divorced feeling" explanation. As Verelios said, he wasn't feeling good about TheSkyChugger due to them looking like they weren't really engaged with the EoD at which S-Dubs were lunched. I thought, how weird, since that could be said of other couples too, including us. The answer wasn't really satisfactory.
Now, as you all know, Verelios EoD was... weird. Basically avoiding voting for what looked like a confirmed mafia slip. At some point floating the idea of a bomb (not even sure if he was serious or just joking). That obviously deducts points.
Now, maybe I expressed myself in the wrong way, but Verollo isn't a strong mafia read. That's why it has like three or four spaces before the "Lean mafia" tag. That's why, as said to Fantomas, I want to look at how do they play today.
I am. Because after that flip I have nothing solid. But as crazy as it could sound, right now following my partner is the only thing I can bet on. And making some deals with some of you, since there seems to be quite a few mafia-reads on us but just one vote.
I made some points against you yesterday, and agreed with SkyOdin's post. I'm way more unsure of that today though.
In regards to Monkey, I'm following my partner and wondering how is she alive in D4. If I was mafia I would have pushed for her night-kill waaaay earlier. She's such a good town leader - with both her and Stu turning the odds against them more than once this game - that she'd be right after any powerful known PR in the list. That way the mafia team would have an easier time controlling discussion in late-game.
This is how I explained it D3;
Now, does that hold weight after the Pirate malus flip? Maybe not, and you're right.