Maxim726x

Avenger
Oct 27, 2017
13,142


This is stupid.

Maybe he's immovable, but you're not gonna know unless you try.

There may be a larger strategy here to exert pressure when the inevitable filibuster vote comes up. Might be saving their ammo.

I don't think this is the fight. There is far too much at stake to risk pissing off Manchin for this... VRA, DC Statehood, Immigration reform. Dems shouldn't prematurely ejaculate.
 

maxxpower

Attempted to circumvent ban with alt account
Banned
Oct 25, 2017
8,950
California
If Dems don't think that nuking the filibuster to give people a livable fucking wage then they can piss off. Stop beating around the bush and bring the filibuster issue to the floor and vote on it. If Sinema and Manchin vote nay then there we have it, at least we don't have to pretend like it might happen.
 
Oct 26, 2017
3,946
I'd rather get the stimulus/relief package out first and then have the fight over minimum wage and the ultimately the filibuster. The relief package has been delayed enough as is.
 

Kill3r7

Member
Oct 25, 2017
24,753
I'd rather get the stimulus/relief package out first and then have the fight over minimum wage and the ultimately the filibuster. The relief package has been delayed enough as is.

Yep. The wage increase not going into effect until 2025 makes this a battle to be had later. Take the easy wins now and push for harder stuff later.
 

iareharSon

Member
Oct 30, 2017
8,981


I have a hard time believing this. Not because I doubt the Biden administration would do this, because this is certainly in line with Moderate Dem bullshit, but because the reporter was railing against the administration/Manchin/Sinema all day regarding minimum wage, and then conveniently finds the smoking gun to tie it all together that same day? I also find it hard to believe that a TYT contributor would have a pipeline to Manchin allies for behind the scenes information Lol.
 

Zombegoast

Member
Oct 30, 2017
14,288


I will work with the Senate

Just not with Democrats

90
 

KingKong

Member
Oct 27, 2017
2,527
I have a hard time believing this. Not because I doubt the Biden administration would do this, because this is certainly in line with Moderate Dem bullshit, but because the reporter was railing against the administration/Manchin/Sinema all day regarding minimum wage, and then conveniently finds the smoking gun to tie it all together that same day? I also find it hard to believe that a TYT contributor would have a pipeline to Manchin allies for behind the scenes information Lol.

oh yeah it's probably fake news. hey that sounds familiar...
 

SpaceCrystal

Banned
Apr 1, 2019
7,714
Bernie continues to be the fuckin best. Its bullshit that so early into Biden's presidency there's already such pushback among dems for such an easy win.

Bernie out here fighting tooth and nail for people who don't even know who he is. Broken record, but we need more people like him.

I agree. There's a reason why Bernie has such a high approval/favorable rating.

You just gotta love Bernie and Warren having to be the ones to fight for Biden's own campaign promises.

We need more progressives like them in charge of this country.
 
Oct 27, 2017
3,050
That guy has a check mark,im putting all my eggs in his basket and not even thinking about possible outcomes where he is wrong or inaccurate.
 

Damaniel

The Fallen
Oct 27, 2017
6,548
Portland, OR
Rather than fighting a losing battle where you definitely don't have the votes, just get the stimulus checks out and then push for the minimum wage hike in separate legislation. People were explicitly promised those checks - dragging them out for months out over something you can't win will just piss people off.
 

Dyle

One Winged Slayer
The Fallen
Oct 25, 2017
30,225
I have a hard time believing this. Not because I doubt the Biden administration would do this, because this is certainly in line with Moderate Dem bullshit, but because the reporter was railing against the administration/Manchin/Sinema all day regarding minimum wage, and then conveniently finds the smoking gun to tie it all together that same day? I also find it hard to believe that a TYT contributor would have a pipeline to Manchin allies for behind the scenes information Lol.
In addition, if it is accurate, Manchin's position has been so well established and consistent that it probably isn't worth the time to lobby Manchin from Biden's team since the effort is almost certainly doomed to fail. If you have a limited amount of time and energy with which to address all of the various problems you're facing does it make sense to put much time towards a futile effort?
 

Maxim726x

Avenger
Oct 27, 2017
13,142
A lot of Dems want to make that self-fulfilling by not bringing things to a vote that Manchin won't go for.

There is an argument that there are bigger battles to fight...

The ultimate battle being the filibuster. You've got to build up some good will, because he has *vehemently* come out against abolishing it. Gotta play this intelligently.
 

dabig2

Member
Oct 29, 2017
5,116
Insane how much of a fight has to be put up to whip 2 senators for what is already a compromise that is a decade late. Their seats aren't up until 2024, so I really don't buy their whole electoralism excuse, especially for Sinema who is to the right of her own state at this point.

But there are about 30+ seats up in 2022 where a lot of those absolutely depend on legislation being done, done quick, and done often. Also have to consider that the House seats also depend on stuff being done.

Manchin/Sinema are ruining it for the rest of the party as long as they're allowed to continue wasting our times and playing games.

I will work with the Senate

Just not with Democrats

90

lmao, it was a pretty funny meeting all things considered.


/ Susan Collins dishes on Biden-GOP meeting: "He was very attentive, gracious, into the details. It was a great discussion. And Ron [Klain] was shaking his head in the back of the room the whole time, which is not exactly an encouraging sign. And I thought that was unfortunate."

/ Sen. Collins tells reporters Biden is "doing a good job at outreach" to Republicans but suggested that he is being "countermanded" by Schumer and his own chief of staff.

We are all Ron Klain.
 

maxxpower

Attempted to circumvent ban with alt account
Banned
Oct 25, 2017
8,950
California
Even more interesting, apparently, is that the Senate can just completely ignore the Parliamentarian if they want.

There is no binding order that needs to be adhered to. It's just tradition and decorum, basically.
Decorum is like crack for the Democrats. They'll claim that they can't do anything because of decorum, healing and whatever other bullshit.
 
Oct 27, 2017
828
There is an argument that there are bigger battles to fight...

The ultimate battle being the filibuster. You've got to build up some good will, because he has *vehemently* come out against abolishing it. Gotta play this intelligently.

Yeah there is an argument, just not a good one.

Insane how much of a fight has to be put up to whip 2 senators for what is already a compromise that is a decade late. Their seats aren't up until 2024, so I really don't buy their whole electoralism excuse, especially for Sinema who is to the right of her own state at this point.

But there are about 30+ seats up in 2022 where a lot of those absolutely depend on legislation being done, done quick, and done often. Also have to consider that the House seats also depend on stuff being done.

Manchin/Sinema are ruining it for the rest of the party as long as they're allowed to continue wasting our times and playing games.

Couldn't agree more.
 
Oct 27, 2017
828
It is a good argument. It is *the* argument.

If the filibuster remains, there is no VRA. There is no DC statehood. There is no Immigration reform.

That matters more than increasing the minimum wage right this instant.

The filibuster will remain. I will gladly eat crow when pigs fly and Manchin votes to get rid of the filibuster.
 

Surfinn

Banned
Oct 25, 2017
28,590
USA
Insane how much of a fight has to be put up to whip 2 senators for what is already a compromise that is a decade late. Their seats aren't up until 2024, so I really don't buy their whole electoralism excuse, especially for Sinema who is to the right of her own state at this point.

But there are about 30+ seats up in 2022 where a lot of those absolutely depend on legislation being done, done quick, and done often. Also have to consider that the House seats also depend on stuff being done.

Manchin/Sinema are ruining it for the rest of the party as long as they're allowed to continue wasting our times and playing games.



lmao, it was a pretty funny meeting all things considered.




We are all Ron Klain.

Sen. Collins tells reporters Biden is "doing a good job at outreach" to Republicans but suggested that he is being "countermanded" by Schumer and his own chief of staff.
I know this is a little old, from the 23rd of last month, but lmao what an endorsement
 
Aug 12, 2019
5,159
Even with the whole electoral arguments people make for Manchin and Sinema, I'd argue keeping the much more reliable votes of Kelly and especially Warnock are far more important than Sinema or Manchin losing their seats in 2024 since they're up next year and could really use showing that they got some things done to electorates that narrowly elected them in the past few months. Plus 2022 has two vacated seats in North Carolina and Pennsylvania that can either outright replace Sinema and Manchin if they were to both go down in 2024, or make them essentially safe to do whatever nonsense they want to since they're no longer deciding votes.

OR they could just break the filibuster for adding a State and add DC as a state and they can take turns not voting on important legislation that improves people's lives.

Because at the end of the day if you're terrified that Sinema and Manchin are going to defect over an immensely popular and bipartisan idea such as a minimum wage increase that even Florida went all in electorally speaking then you already kind of have two Republicans who just happened to caucus with Dems.
 

crimsonred

Member
Oct 27, 2017
205
...

Do you guys hear yourselves?

Manchin is a no.

It's over. It's not Biden's fault, it's not Kamala's fault. Unless his vote (and perhaps a few more) to support a 15 dollar minimum wage are reversed, it's done.

Is he though? Make him vote. God forbid we hold a democrats feet to the fire on a position.
 

julian

Member
Oct 27, 2017
16,927
You may very well be right.

The party will get decimated in 2022 and beyond if they don't pass any meaningful legislation. Biden and his administration knows this.
Right.....which is an argument for forcing Manchin and Sinema to join Dems on the $15 minimum wage. Voting for Covid relief and a minimum wage that people will feel even if they think they don't want it, will benefit them. Pushing off the fight between these two and the rest of the party is just making drama and dragging shit out. Literally nobody will make an effective ad about going against the parliamentarian.

This pushback against the $15 to appear moderate is frankly stupid and I have trouble believing that their voters will look back and think what a great job they did at this moment by doing that. There will be a lot more fights where they can appear moderate. Just because you can make an argument that this could help them, it doesn't mean it's a good argument and everybody should accept it.
 

saint

Member
Oct 27, 2017
709
...

Do you guys hear yourselves?

Manchin is a no.

It's over. It's not Biden's fault, it's not Kamala's fault. Unless his vote (and perhaps a few more) to support a 15 dollar minimum wage are reversed, it's done.
kamala can literally overrule through the parliamentarian but chooses not to
 

Maxim726x

Avenger
Oct 27, 2017
13,142
kamala can literally overrule through the parliamentarian but chooses not to

Right, because it's pointless if there aren't enough votes.

If anything, it makes the Dems look horrible. There is no reason to overrule the Parliamentarian if it isn't going to pass.

Right.....which is an argument for forcing Manchin and Sinema to join Dems on the $15 minimum wage. Voting for Covid relief and a minimum wage that people will feel even if they think they don't want it, will benefit them. Pushing off the fight between these two and the rest of the party is just making drama and dragging shit out. Literally nobody will make an effective ad about going against the parliamentarian.

This pushback against the $15 to appear moderate is frankly stupid and I have trouble believing that their voters will look back and think what a great job they did at this moment by doing that. There will be a lot more fights where they can appear moderate. Just because you can make an argument that this could help them, it doesn't mean it's a good argument and everybody should accept it.

How is Manchin going to be 'forced'? I read this often, and honestly I'd like to discuss how this will get done.

You can't threaten him with a primary. You can't threaten him with some position that will be taken away. You can't threaten him with cutting off funding a re-election campaign, he may not even run again and his campaign is a political lifetime away.

And I would argue that the bigger fights are in the future, and the Dems need to kinda walk on eggshells to placate him and Sinema. It's just the reality of the situation as it stands right now.
 

Moppeh

Member
Oct 28, 2017
3,542
Right, because it's pointless if there aren't enough votes.

If anything, it makes the Dems look horrible. There is no reason to overrule the Parliamentarian if it isn't going to pass.

If I was one of the 30 million Americans that would benefit from a drastic increase in the minimum wage, I would be ecstatic to see some Democrats fight tooth and nail to give me a living wage.

Not fighting just makes the Democrats look like elitists without values.
 

Cipherr

Member
Oct 26, 2017
13,504
Man, I hope this ain't true.


The man was literally just complaining ABOUT them pressuring him on it a few weeks ago:

www.salon.com

Manchin snipes at Harris for pressuring him on coronavirus relief

"I couldn’t believe it. No one called me," Manchin complained after Harris highlighted the crisis facing his state.

Just write the story both ways and let people latch on to whichever narrative feeds their cognitive dissonance while you collect the clicks and follows I guess.
 

julian

Member
Oct 27, 2017
16,927
Right, because it's pointless if there aren't enough votes.

If anything, it makes the Dems look horrible. There is no reason to overrule the Parliamentarian if it isn't going to pass.



How is Manchin going to be 'forced'? I read this often, and honestly I'd like to discuss how this will get done.

You can't threaten him with a primary. You can't threaten him with some position that will be taken away. You can't threaten him with cutting off funding a re-election campaign, he may not even run again and his campaign is a political lifetime away.

And I would argue that the bigger fights are in the future, and the Dems need to kinda walk on eggshells to placate him and Sinema. It's just the reality of the situation as it stands right now.
Because him not voting for this would delay Covid relief. He was already attacked and caved on the relief checks, so you're obviously wrong that he can't be pressured. And stop saying people aren't explaining this when they have repeatedly you're just choosing to ignore it. It's fine if you don't find it convincing, I don't find your arguments convincing.
 

dabig2

Member
Oct 29, 2017
5,116
Never forget that WV's governor is seriously to the left of Manchin on stimulus. Let that sink in.


GOP West Virginia Gov. Jim Justice calls for a big stimulus, saying "We can't hold back" "Trying to be per se fiscally responsible at this point in time with what we've got going on in this country. If we actually throw away some money right now, so what?" to
@PoppyHarlowCNN

GOP West Virginia Governor Justice says of Democratic Sen Manchin's preference for the next round of checks to be more targeted that "I don't really know exactly what the thinking could possibly be there. I mean, we got people that are really hurting"

Pathetic that Manchin is given every excuse in the book to be a regressive asshole along with all the benefit of the doubt.

If I was one of the 30 million Americans that would benefit from a drastic increase in the minimum wage, I would be ecstatic to see some Democrats fight tooth and nail to give me a living wage.

Not fighting just makes the Democrats look like elitists without values.

Right. Even if Manchin can't get forced, the Democrats need to have those fights out in the public. They need to make it clear that it's Manchin/Sinema and Repubs that are preventing legislation or being obstacles, and that it's not the Democrats as a party themselves.

So the Dems shouldn't slink back into their corner with their tails between their legs when Manchin opens his fool mouth. It's not enough to explain that they just don't have 50 for a vote, Dems need to explain every single no vote and then get the public to challenge those people. If Manchin/Sinema catch feelings over it, good! Fuck em, and keep that strategy going for every potential bill.
 

lmcfigs

Banned
Oct 25, 2017
12,091
Right, because it's pointless if there aren't enough votes.

If anything, it makes the Dems look horrible. There is no reason to overrule the Parliamentarian if it isn't going to pass.



How is Manchin going to be 'forced'? I read this often, and honestly I'd like to discuss how this will get done.

You can't threaten him with a primary. You can't threaten him with some position that will be taken away. You can't threaten him with cutting off funding a re-election campaign, he may not even run again and his campaign is a political lifetime away.

And I would argue that the bigger fights are in the future, and the Dems need to kinda walk on eggshells to placate him and Sinema. It's just the reality of the situation as it stands right now.
i mean you can force him to vote down the covid relief bill and see how that affects his re-election chances. If Manchin is really against the 15 dollar minimum wage that much, leave it in the bill and let him show it to everyone.
 

lmcfigs

Banned
Oct 25, 2017
12,091
Right.....which is an argument for forcing Manchin and Sinema to join Dems on the $15 minimum wage. Voting for Covid relief and a minimum wage that people will feel even if they think they don't want it, will benefit them. Pushing off the fight between these two and the rest of the party is just making drama and dragging shit out. Literally nobody will make an effective ad about going against the parliamentarian.

This pushback against the $15 to appear moderate is frankly stupid and I have trouble believing that their voters will look back and think what a great job they did at this moment by doing that. There will be a lot more fights where they can appear moderate. Just because you can make an argument that this could help them, it doesn't mean it's a good argument and everybody should accept it.
I know republicans unironically believe this garbage, but that democrats think there are any voters in W.V. thanking Joe Manchin for keeping them in poverty is ridiculous.
 

Surfinn

Banned
Oct 25, 2017
28,590
USA
The man was literally just complaining ABOUT them pressuring him on it a few weeks ago:

www.salon.com

Manchin snipes at Harris for pressuring him on coronavirus relief

"I couldn’t believe it. No one called me," Manchin complained after Harris highlighted the crisis facing his state.

Just write the story both ways and let people latch on to whichever narrative feeds their cognitive dissonance while you collect the clicks and follows I guess.
Last Thursday, Harris gave interviews to local news outlets in West Virginia and Arizona, seemingly as a way of ramping up the pressure on the two lawmakers to back the proposal, which infuriated Manchin.

"I saw [the Harris interview], I couldn't believe it. No one called me," Manchin told local news outlet WSAZ on Friday. "We're going to try to find a bipartisan pathway forward, I think we need to do. But we need to work together. That's not a way of working together."
This doesn't sounds like a good way of pressuring to me if this is how it unfolded. Manchin describes being blindsided by it and says he wasn't contacted
 

Cipherr

Member
Oct 26, 2017
13,504
This doesn't sounds like a good way of pressuring to me if this is how it unfolded. Manchin describes being blindsided by it and says he wasn't contacted

It sounds exactly like what they should be doing to pressure him. He's already been spoken to, that's why we know his position. In fact in another thread here on ERA, pressuring him through his constituency was exactly one of the things requested. It was floated as a way of pressuring him to change his mind, and suggested as an alternative to simply "having a phone call with him that changes nothing and giving up on the issue".

He was unhappy with this approach because of the questions he ended up getting from people locally. The more he cries the better.
 
Nov 2, 2017
2,256
This doesn't sounds like a good way of pressuring to me if this is how it unfolded. Manchin describes being blindsided by it and says he wasn't contacted

Actually, it's exactly how you pressure him.

He's crying about it because that's the sort of pressure that actually works. In fact, if you think you're applying pressure but it doesn't get him to react like that, you're not using effective pressure.