They said summer, so it could be in June, but more likely second half.
They could also push it further back.
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They could also push it further back.
Man I did my H1 prediction already and I'm predicting H2 to be up by a lot. Still early but software releases looking good.
Is this correct???
Q2
Story of Seasons (May?)
Rune Factory (May?)
MHS2 (June Rumor)
NPS (Apr 30)
Am I missing any big games? (Like 200k+ sellers)
I forgot about Pokken.
New Pokemon Snap looks still better than the mainline Pokemon games.
I think it was July from the leak.
In the 2020 vs 2021 fight I think COVID will continue to be a main factor, cases are spiking as never before in Japan.
Switch doing Switch things it seems right from the beginning of the new year.
Holy shit, I had to check myself and found these for example:
This is just class A trolling. I seriously have to up my game. But yeah, I think the old/sad place is right for him.
Story of Seasons is in February (in Japan, March in the West).
Thanks, so W9. Looking good
W7: SM3DW
W9: SOS
W10: BD2
W13: MHR
W3-W6 could be decent with MHR demo and Anticipation for 3Dworld
I don't know if it's blinded optimism or you are just clueless but you should take a deep breath and think/search/study about... a lot of things regarding videogames and sales before dropping random thoughts/predictions like that.
It's like your 33M prediction for Switch, you're basically throwing a number out of nowhere and then thinking backwards or how that prediction could make sense with yearly sales prediction, it should be the opposite, trying to guess how it will fare year after year with varying degree of confidence (which will be lower as you get further into the future) and only predict a final range from there.
Of course guess should be based on assumptions (line-up, new models, pricedrop, successor release...) and also by looking how things already happened in the past, because no matter how "different" it is this time, trends are bound to be similar one way or another
PokeSmash - 6986k vs ACNH - 6517k
Gap Currently - 469k
Updated Week
W1: 2603k - 1880k
W2: 827k - 728k
W3: 700k - 423k
W4: 456k - 293k
W5: 498k - 286k
W6: 351k - 284k
W7: 289k - 260k
W8: 234k - 195k
W9: 105k - 130k
W10: 84k - 102k
W11: 66k - 102k
W12: 50k - 98k
W13: 47k - 77k
W14: 48k - 74k
W15: 38k - 70k
W16: 45k - 53k
W17: 40k - 56k
W18: 33k - 72k
W19: 29k - 94k
W20: 26k - 57k
W21: 25k - 108k
W22: 33k - 106k
W23: 18k - 43k
W24: 17k - 34k
W25: 16k - 32k
W26: 17k - 31k
W27: 12k- 32k
W28: 14k - 30k
W29: 14k - 36k
W30: 16k - 37k
W31: 16k - 23k
W32: 18k - 24k
W33: 18k - 32k
W34: 16k - 32k
W35: 18k - 37k
W36: 20k - 35k
W37: 26k - 57k
W38: 17k - 71k
W39: 19k - 95k
W40: 24k - 108k
W41: 18k - 94k
W42: 20k - 45k
W43: 20k
W44: 15k
W45: 14k
Gap Currently - 469k
Updated Week
W1: 2603k - 1880k
W2: 827k - 728k
W3: 700k - 423k
W4: 456k - 293k
W5: 498k - 286k
W6: 351k - 284k
W7: 289k - 260k
W8: 234k - 195k
W9: 105k - 130k
W10: 84k - 102k
W11: 66k - 102k
W12: 50k - 98k
W13: 47k - 77k
W14: 48k - 74k
W15: 38k - 70k
W16: 45k - 53k
W17: 40k - 56k
W18: 33k - 72k
W19: 29k - 94k
W20: 26k - 57k
W21: 25k - 108k
W22: 33k - 106k
W23: 18k - 43k
W24: 17k - 34k
W25: 16k - 32k
W26: 17k - 31k
W27: 12k- 32k
W28: 14k - 30k
W29: 14k - 36k
W30: 16k - 37k
W31: 16k - 23k
W32: 18k - 24k
W33: 18k - 32k
W34: 16k - 32k
W35: 18k - 37k
W36: 20k - 35k
W37: 26k - 57k
W38: 17k - 71k
W39: 19k - 95k
W40: 24k - 108k
W41: 18k - 94k
W42: 20k - 45k
W43: 20k
W44: 15k
W45: 14k
Great week for Switch hardware. A softer drop than usual was expected, due to Week 2 falling earlier in the year this year, but 167k is higher than I expected. Very good.
Yeah, February is a safe bet.
In the Instagram age, a Pokémon photography game has large potential IMO. I don't think this game will appeal only to nostalgic fans of the original. If it's good, it should outperform the original.
Hahahaha!
Edited, nothing crazy but a good lineup. There is also that BOND game.... is this one gonna be big? I think it's W5 release (end of Jan)
maybe not big, but every little bit to even up when the craziness arrives lol.
Redemption or salvation ( pick the more suited word) path starts for PS5 starts on January 21st with REVII
W#: RFA Y1 — RFA Y2
W01: 68.5k — 27.3k
W02: 64.1k — 23.1k
W03: 51.2k — 29.1k
W04: 52.2k — 37.2k
W05: 28.0k — 24.1k
W06: 26.2k — 36.0k
W07: 22.3k — 40.2k
W08: 16.1k — 49.8k
W09: 57.8k - 58.6k
W10: 56.9k - 70.7k
W11: 52.5k - 44.3k
W12: 30.4k
W13: 21.5k
Cur: 495.7k — 440.4k
Tot: 547.6k —
⭐ Bonus ⭐
RFA Year 1
(W01-13) 547.6k [Weekly 42.1k]
(W14-26) 215.3k [Weekly 16.6k]
(W27-39) 374.2k [Weekly 28.8k]
(W40-52) 531.8k [Weekly 40.9k]
W01: 68.5k — 27.3k
W02: 64.1k — 23.1k
W03: 51.2k — 29.1k
W04: 52.2k — 37.2k
W05: 28.0k — 24.1k
W06: 26.2k — 36.0k
W07: 22.3k — 40.2k
W08: 16.1k — 49.8k
W09: 57.8k - 58.6k
W10: 56.9k - 70.7k
W11: 52.5k - 44.3k
W12: 30.4k
W13: 21.5k
Cur: 495.7k — 440.4k
Tot: 547.6k —
⭐ Bonus ⭐
RFA Year 1
(W01-13) 547.6k [Weekly 42.1k]
(W14-26) 215.3k [Weekly 16.6k]
(W27-39) 374.2k [Weekly 28.8k]
(W40-52) 531.8k [Weekly 40.9k]
Unless REVIII cloud version on Switch happens at the same time and sucks some of the energy from it.
I don't know when it's supposed to launch though. I guess we'll find out in a week (also find out if it actually exists yet).
Capcom has fast release dates with their RE games, I think the latest would be May, if Covid hit them hard enough.
I didn't just throw out the 33mil number and then thought backwards, that number was already the result I got when adding yearly numbers I thought were realistic and then just posted the endresult.
REVII Cloud version for Switch already exists in Japan IIRC.
I agree with this but think they could surpass 2020 with the right combo of hard core and mainstream games.
Hardcore:
Metroid Prime Trilogy - happening
New 2D Metroid- rumored
BOTW 2 - if not delayed
Mainstream:
Mario 3D World/BF - 10 mill plus seller I'd guess.
Pokemon Snap- has the potential to be huge with casuals.
Rumored DK game - hit or miss but strong fan base.
Wildcard - New 2D Mario- this can go punch for punch with AC.
You gotta follow the rule of thumb ILikeFeet came up with: the correct name is the one that feels the least correct. It's Balan Wonderworld.
Is it possible that the Switch outsells the DS?
Doing a very brief historical analysis, I'd say it actually is if the Switch has the same length in terms of lifecycle.
The DS was available for 6 years and 3 months before the 3DS went on the market. It sold 33 million.
If the Switch has the same amount of time, it's lifecycle would extend through June of 2023. If it can maintain 6 million yearly total the next two years, it would be at roughly 30 million by January 2023.
The DSi came out roughly 4 years into the DS lifecycle. It didn't set the market on fire like the DS Lite did, but it did sell 6 million units. We are coming up on the 4-year mark with the Switch, so if the pro actually comes to fruition, it really should be soon. If it is soon, then the Switch has a really shot at outselling the DS.
I know there are a million unknown factors and it is unlikely, but I feel like Nintendo also almost needs the Switch to do that well because they are, for the first time in over 30 years, down to one console.
Doing a very brief historical analysis, I'd say it actually is if the Switch has the same length in terms of lifecycle.
The DS was available for 6 years and 3 months before the 3DS went on the market. It sold 33 million.
If the Switch has the same amount of time, it's lifecycle would extend through June of 2023. If it can maintain 6 million yearly total the next two years, it would be at roughly 30 million by January 2023.
The DSi came out roughly 4 years into the DS lifecycle. It didn't set the market on fire like the DS Lite did, but it did sell 6 million units. We are coming up on the 4-year mark with the Switch, so if the pro actually comes to fruition, it really should be soon. If it is soon, then the Switch has a really shot at outselling the DS.
I know there are a million unknown factors and it is unlikely, but I feel like Nintendo also almost needs the Switch to do that well because they are, for the first time in over 30 years, down to one console.
RE8 is supposed to happen too apparently. And RE3R.
Roman numerals are too confusing when the numbers get above V.
Something that would've sell more than what they released in the last quarter, in this case, anything lol.
The budget of this spinoff is not higher than a mainline game.
Oh my bad, I missed one "I". Reading is fundamental. Awesome news if true. What's the source?
In the past I would agree with you. Recently Nintendo has turned everything into gold. I never thought Zelda would ever flirt with 20 mill, and its going to do it. I think Metroid has the potential, especially with the resurgence of Metroidvania in the indie space.
What I feel about Pokemon is that the main thing is battles, moves, balancing and the creatures themselves, that most take a lot of time, but GF can remedy that. Hire a team that focuses on the world and they focus on the other things. Honestly, a Pokemon region designed and made by Monotith Soft is my dream.
Yes, it is just hard for me to recognize it as such. I never though a Zelda game would sniff 20 mill sales.
Yes im curious to know that "something"
Games are getting delayed left right and center Covid has screwed up pretty much every schedules
Among them First Party DS and Spiderman were still titles whose predecessors did decent in JP
Both Titles got hamstrucked by the Hardware.
Not sure if it was in the big leak or not but I'm pretty sure Dusk said it was happening too. Zhuge mentioned RE3R cloud edition a long time ago too.
Btw BotW already sold more than 21mil with the Wii U version as of September 30th 2020.
No. But you can look at number of staff and years the project has been running to get an idea.
It also makes no sense to budget a spinoff with limited sales potential higher than your mainline games which are your bread and better.
I mean, they money hata ot of things, would it be so hard for them to release or partner with a game that Japanese likes? I just feel that Sony is "ashamed" and don't mud their image with smaller games.
They don't really seem to budget the mainline games, who sell 10-15 million in like 2 months, highly though
And this is their second HD Pokemon game, TPC handled this spin-off anyway.
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