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Media Create Sales: Week 6, 2019 (Feb 04 - Feb 10)
- Thread starter Chris1964
- Start date
It's still amazing to see Zelda having those legs, BotW joined the fabled evergreen titles.
KH3 will likely sell over 1m with digital sales.
Even with the week 1 promotion I expected it to be matching up worse to 2016/17. I think the PS4 will cross the 9m mark in 2019.
Smash + NSMBU + return of the Pokemon bundles.
Switch's last big game last year was in October (Odyssey) whereas this year, it got back to back 4 big games (SMP in October, Pokemon in November, Smash in December and NSMBU in January).
Fun stat : every weeks starting with Week 2 had the Switch above 60k.
Last year, the first week above 60k since Week 2 was Week 46 with Pokemon's launch.
Momentum is wayyyyy stronger. 5M+ is possibility.
Last year, the first week above 60k since Week 2 was Week 46 with Pokemon's launch.
Momentum is wayyyyy stronger. 5M+ is possibility.
I'm betting on it. Next week numbers will have the Direct and a Holiday to boost the baseline.
I don't know how many units can move Fire Emblem, but it wouldn't surprise me if it have a significant impact on Switch hardware sales. And if today we get news and in-game footage about that juggernaut called Animal Crossing... oh boy.
There's some life in the old dog yet. Currently being sold for a relatively high price with no game bundled. In 10 days time the console will have entered it's 6th year on the market in Japan.
If it's the same elsewhere (+45% YOY) they'll wind up with 18.75M for the FY. Which is closer to 20M than it is to 17M.
PS4 sold 1.725M in 2018, it needs 1.45M in 2019 to reach 9M, 275k less than 2018.
It's already down 240k compared to 2018 with much worse momentum currently, basically it needs to sell on par with 2018 for the 40-45 remaining weeks, is there any sign it could achieve that?
That's a bit early to be sure but it's shaping up to be a >4M year at least, how much above remains to be seen depending on various factors at play (Pokemon, AC, new model and/or price drop)
3DS only had one 5.5M year (2012) and NDS only two above that (8M in 2006 and 7M in 2007), even in a best case scenario it's hard to see the Switch reach a level that's been unheard of for more than a decade and that was achieved with Japan best selling handheld hardware at a much cheaper price.
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I don't think shipments will scale 1:1 with sales like that but I very much doubt they will be down YoY in Q4.
Wouldn't surprise me if the the Switch port of Moero Chronicles had outsold it....
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Every time you see posts like "slowly approaching last year's low baseline", "Mario Odyssey legs are dead" expect the opposite the following weeks.
The explanation is metaphysical.
Switch version only, right? Together with the WiiU version, it should be already in the same ballpark as the NES games. 2m for all skus is definitely happening sooner than later. 2m for Switch physical SKU is more difficult and would depend on the release date of the sequel among other factors.
Right, true. Shipments from Q3 would definitely bleed more into Q4 sales this year than last year for Japan.
But yeah we have no idea what the shipments will look like. How ridiculous would it be if they somehow managed to hit 20M anyway?
Even though I was not looking forward to it necessarily, the budget seemed a bit higher than their typical game? (That could be just me impression of course).
Yes ;)
If we are comparing it to the NES entries we should include digital sales imo.
*shrugs* I think they'll end up somewhere between 18 and 19 million, but maybe they do end up lower.
Not sure, it looks pretty on par with their other recent PS4 games.
Not happening. They need an almost 100% increase YoY, and last year already may have had high shipments compared to what was sold.
18M+ is definitely possible, though
While that is understandable, we are already near 600k in February, and depending on their release schedule the Switch should be above 1mil by the end of april, if not earlier. That is without Golden Week mind you. Switch should hit 2mil by July if it keeps at 60k per week including major release spikes, and a revision would by default add a cool million to that number. This adds up to around 4mil if we also add holidays which should be around 1 million in december alone. But yeah, this is keeping it safe and conservative imo, which is why I think 5.5-6mil is doable.
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I believe it's a little bit early to claim that 60+ is the "new Switch baseline", after just 2 weeks with a new Pokemon bundle?
That's 5 non-Holiday consecutive weeks above 60k (Week 2 to Week 6).
Dragon Quest 3DCG movie on August 2nd in Japan. I think Squeenix might be going for movie + DQXI Switch combo for Summer, which wouldn't be bad move at all.
Apparently, movie is by the same director as the extremely popular Stand by Me, Doraemon.
Apparently, movie is by the same director as the extremely popular Stand by Me, Doraemon.
Thanks. Had no idea Mario party DS sold that much. That game was so bad.
This is not true. Week 4 was 52K.
The weeks before are either too close to the winter holidays, or too close to a relatively big release (NSMBU) to speak about a "baseline". Week 5 is the Pokemon bundle and week 6 could still benefit from the aftermath of the bundle. It think that we'll have a clearer view on what the baseline is going to be at the end of this month or early March. I'm betting 50-55K, which would already be markedly higher than the 45-50K from last year.
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Media Create Sales: CY 2017 (2017 Jan 02 - 2017 Dec 31)
039./000. [WIU] The Legend of Zelda: Breath of the Wild <ADV> (Nintendo) {2017.03.03} (¥6.980) - 159.401 / NEW (44.602 <82,93%>)
The 50-60k missing sales from Wii U are a little annoying for complete comparisons but don't make a big difference.
[FCM] The Legend of Zelda |Disc System| <ADV> (Nintendo) {1986.02.21} (¥2.600) - 1.690.000
[FCM] Zelda II: The Adventure of Link |Disc System| <ADV> (Nintendo) {1987.01.14} (¥2.600) - 1.610.000
[NSW] The Legend of Zelda: Breath of the Wild # <ADV> (Nintendo) {2017.03.03} (¥6.980) - 1.460.000
[WIU] The Legend of Zelda: Breath of the Wild <ADV> (Nintendo) {2017.03.03} (¥6.980) - 120.000
[N64] The Legend of Zelda: Ocarina of Time <ADV> (Nintendo) {1998.11.21} (¥6.800) - 1.460.000
[SFC] The Legend of Zelda: A Link to the Past _Retail/Nintendo Power_ <ADV> (Nintendo) {1991.11.21} (¥8.000) - 1.160.000
039./000. [WIU] The Legend of Zelda: Breath of the Wild <ADV> (Nintendo) {2017.03.03} (¥6.980) - 159.401 / NEW (44.602 <82,93%>)
The 50-60k missing sales from Wii U are a little annoying for complete comparisons but don't make a big difference.
[FCM] The Legend of Zelda |Disc System| <ADV> (Nintendo) {1986.02.21} (¥2.600) - 1.690.000
[FCM] Zelda II: The Adventure of Link |Disc System| <ADV> (Nintendo) {1987.01.14} (¥2.600) - 1.610.000
[NSW] The Legend of Zelda: Breath of the Wild # <ADV> (Nintendo) {2017.03.03} (¥6.980) - 1.460.000
[WIU] The Legend of Zelda: Breath of the Wild <ADV> (Nintendo) {2017.03.03} (¥6.980) - 120.000
[N64] The Legend of Zelda: Ocarina of Time <ADV> (Nintendo) {1998.11.21} (¥6.800) - 1.460.000
[SFC] The Legend of Zelda: A Link to the Past _Retail/Nintendo Power_ <ADV> (Nintendo) {1991.11.21} (¥8.000) - 1.160.000
Wich is completely insane for a single player game in its second year.
So, let's settle this down: who will reach the 3mil milestone first?
03./04. [NSW] Super Smash Bros. Ultimate # <FTG> (Nintendo) {2018.12.07} (¥7.200) - 31.174 / 2.831.143 (-11%)
10./12. [NSW] Splatoon 2 # <ACT> (Nintendo) {2017.07.21} (¥5.980) - 7.068 / 2.925.436 (-8%)
03./04. [NSW] Super Smash Bros. Ultimate # <FTG> (Nintendo) {2018.12.07} (¥7.200) - 31.174 / 2.831.143 (-11%)
10./12. [NSW] Splatoon 2 # <ACT> (Nintendo) {2017.07.21} (¥5.980) - 7.068 / 2.925.436 (-8%)
Smash: 169 000 units left, so roughly 6 weeks if it keeps selling around 30k
Splatoon 2: 75 000 units left, so roughly 10-11 weeks if it keeps selling around 7k
Considering Smash has DLC hype cycle going on, and is the most recent game, there's little doubt it will be first.
Splatoon 2: 75 000 units left, so roughly 10-11 weeks if it keeps selling around 7k
Considering Smash has DLC hype cycle going on, and is the most recent game, there's little doubt it will be first.