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When will the first 'next gen' console be revealed?

  • First half of 2019

    Votes: 593 15.6%
  • Second half of 2019(let's say post E3)

    Votes: 1,361 35.9%
  • First half of 2020

    Votes: 1,675 44.2%
  • 2021 :^)

    Votes: 161 4.2%

  • Total voters
    3,790
  • Poll closed .
Status
Not open for further replies.

M.Bluth

Member
Oct 25, 2017
4,265
That lost bolded bit could be what Sony is going to do for raytracing. They have enough fast processors that a software solution makes more sense than losing die space. Rumour has it that the MS solution is hardware based, yes?
It would be the same for both as AMD's solution whatever it is, if it's in. It's probably not very smart to reserve part of the gpu's silicon in an APU for something like that.

Whether a gap is "huge" or not is subjective. Whether these customizations are an improvement over what came before is less so. It is telling that the focus on async compute was carried forward into every subsequent AMD architecture. The only thing that didn't make it in was the Onion+ bus because that really only makes sense in an APU and even in that case it would only benefit software that is heavily optimized for CPU and GPU to cooperatively process data, where on PC there are few use cases at the performance levels occupied by those APUs. They wouldn't have wasted silicon area on beefing up that part of the design if it didn't yield a performance benefit.
It doesn't seem like this discussion is going anywhere tbh
 

M3rcy

Member
Oct 27, 2017
702
Whether a gap is "huge" or not is subjective. Whether these customizations are an improvement over what came before is less so. It is telling that the focus on async compute was carried forward into every subsequent AMD architecture. The only thing that didn't make it in was the Onion+ bus because that really only makes sense in an APU and even in that case it would only benefit software that is heavily optimized for CPU and GPU to cooperatively process data, where on PC there are few use cases at the performance levels occupied by those APUs. They wouldn't have wasted silicon area on beefing up that part of the design if it didn't yield a performance benefit.

To expand on this a bit. What these optimizations do is remove (or at least dramatically lessen) the penalty of switching away from graphics workloads to do non-graphics processing. Because of this, in periods where the ALUs in the GPU are not being fully utilized, you can now slip in some compute workloads to use that hardware that would otherwise be sitting idle. This is how you get more actual performance from the same number of processing units. There's nothing secret here. It's now a standard feature of AMD hardware and even Nvidia have gotten on board with this in their latest architectures.
 

Andromeda

Member
Oct 27, 2017
4,854
That lost bolded bit could be what Sony is going to do for raytracing. They have enough fast processors that a software solution makes more sense than losing die space. Rumour has it that the MS solution is hardware based, yes?
No. We only have the reddit leak and it's software based according to it (Direct X). But really software RT is already being done in current games like Claybook, all running on compute GPU. There is already some extensive publications about it.

https://twvideo01.ubm-us.net/o1/vault/gdc2018/presentations/Aaltonen_Sebastian_GPU_Based_Clay.pdf

My guess is direct X engineers (and Sony's) have probably read all those publications and made their own API using those. You don't reinvent the wheel, you improve it.

This buzz around RT and next gen consoles is just PR war and another marketing checklist. AMD don't have the luxury to dedicate precious silicon to RT when they are so behind nvidia about general gpu efficiency.
 
Feb 8, 2018
2,570
GDC is one month away, finally we will likely get the next gen specs leaks!

I'm stupid and thought of GDC instead of CES. Thought it was already over. It would be interesting to see how a current Unreal Engine Demo compares to the elemental or Samaritan Tech demo. You get the idea. Maybe they are ready to show stuff behind closed doors and the public gets the impressions. Next to the Cyberpunk demo it woud be one of the few things created with next-gen specs in mind.
 
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anexanhume

Member
Oct 25, 2017
12,914
Maryland
AMD Ryzen 3000 Desktop CPUs, Radeon Navi GPUs and X570 Motherboards With PCIe Gen 4.0 Allegedly Launching on 7th July
https://wccftech.com/amd-ryzen-3000-cpus-x570-motherboards-and-radeon-navi-gpus-7nm-launch-rumor/



cc: anexanhume Colbert
This is not the first report I've seen suggesting TSMC has fabrication issues. I'm guessing it's big die yield rather than capacity, since they're supposedly running under capacity. Hard to tell since low volume Radeon VII has been their only 7nm effort thus far.
 

cooldawn

Member
Oct 28, 2017
2,453
Um ... it's not so much that people think that Sony is stuck in the middle-ground
Ok I will say something that here will not be so successful but that in my opinion is what it is
For many years Microsoft has been trying in various ways to become a "leader" in the videogame market and we know well that initially the "videogame" was simply an excuse in its race towards the control of the living room.
Tried (and trying)... with different results..from the OG xbox or GFWL to the x360 until the OG xbox one ( i think their most poor attempt)...

People should start to understand that for them (seen the different results of their effort..and since some have completely failed)....it is not so much a problem of money .. not for such large companies (we saw Apple lose 190 billions of market cap in just 5 weeks without batting an eyelid) but it becomes (a problem) when you fail to instill in the shareholders the necessary confidence to invest in that market instead of others....that trust that at the moment Nadella has conquered... and that now he pours in Spencer and in the gaming division. This does not want to be the usual post that talks about the "myth" of their money war-chest..but the simple rationalization that companies that differ in size ....can have at their "maximum" huge budget differences...
The acquisitions made by Ms and the release of a console like the X .. the investment in services such as xcloud and gamepass all in such short times.... make it clear how much Ms is ready at the moment to invest in the gaming division ... despite .... let's say clearly that this was not one of their best GEN...so much so that many thought (clearly say stupidly) that Ms was ready to "close" the division.
I do not think any other of the big 3 could have invested (money wise) what Microsoft is doing in such a short time now, especially during a generation that absolutely does not see it as a leader. (without even questioning the 2.5 billion dollars spent on minecraft in this gen)

We know that for Sony the gaming division in the last 10 years has become one of the most important ... this is due to the fact that they lost a lot of ground in other markets such as mobile phones or TV. In the same way we know that the billions lost during the PS3 era brought the sony really to its lowest level. And I do not think investors ever want to see Sony take so much risk in a console like they did with the PS3.Unfortunately at this moment I do not think that Sony could allow another generation like PS3 one without undergoing major changes in the division itself.
This is why I think that even if they will release an excellent console (as was, and is the PS4) I do not see them wanting to fight against MS a war of power ... especially considering 3 thing the balanced design that Cerny has accustomed us to (especially with the PRO )...the price point to which Sony seems to be aiming...and even more so when the CEO of the Microsoft division in front of everyone (betting his face at E3) has made it clear that they want to have the most powerful console again.
Of course anything can happen but I personally expect microsoft (as many others have said before me) will have the most powerful console the next gen


ps. and let me add this. the strength of the brand playstation can easily, on the contrary of the xbox, win a gen even without being the most powerful console
There's no reason to feel this wouldn't be a 'successful' thought because it's all rational. It's a reasonable theory as to why Microsoft may take a particular approach to the next generation.

I completely agree that Microsoft's gaming division, now with the full support of the board room, has the capability within it's own parameters, experience and partners to design and develop a very powerful console. There's no room for debate on that one. Microsoft have the resources to match anyone and recent acquisitions along with the bravado show the company is dead-serious about tackling the next-generation, both hardware and software. It's a show of power; a warning to Sony that they could make a proposal that will satiate the most ardent Sony supporter.

In isolation, from that perspective, Sony would probably not have an answer if money, time and budget is of no consequence to Microsoft. But it is, albeit relatively higher than Sony's.

Investing isn't just about how much you invest. It's also about how you invest. Although on paper you are right, the other big two wouldn't be able to complete financially, the trick would be to gain insight in design and technology to get an edge. This is something Cerny successfully did with PlayStation 4; being more powerful and cheaper than Microsoft's offering. History could repeat itself, especially since it's been rumoured that Sony has had a hand in the design process of new chips.

The other concession is if all the rumours are absolutely true I would have thought investing in known current architecture is self-limiting. For example, as you rightly noted, Sony's costs for PlayStation 3's CELL architecture would be over-inflated, even though it was a design developed with IBM and Toshiba, because it hadn't been done before. At this point I'd ask 'How much money can be thrown at a solution to push the limitations of current feasible technology?'. There's only so far Microsoft can go unless they play the waiting game and release a year or so after the PlayStation 5 when other technologies have been tested and certified.

Is the delay worth the wait?

I'm sure Sony has the resorces and capability to invest in pushing current technology as much as Microsoft. In that climate Sony are more than capable to the point where design and execution pays dividends i.e. PlayStation 4. The next-generation, an iterative step of the current generation, should make it even easier for Sony to flex design prowess versus cost. So, at this point, are they actually better suited for the task?

The PlayStation 3 was a confusing product. It cost Sony too much money but would Sony be who they are today without that mis-step? Think about it like this - Sony are just as clever at engineering a console but with current technological sensitivities in mind and PlayStation 3 solidified their 1st party offering. That mis-step has strengthened the whole brand.

To rap up: the talk of Microsoft running away in the power game seems a little daft right now. Execution could be just as important and the limiting factor of iterative technologies for the next generation could effectively stifle Microsoft's vast wealth. Or wait it out.
 

Deleted member 40133

User requested account closure
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Feb 19, 2018
6,095
This is probably not the place to put it, but can't think of another thread. Does anyone else remember that Avatar (movie, not anime) destinytype game that ubisoft is making? I feel like that has to be day one next gen as a "surprise". It's been so long
 

Deleted member 36493

User requested account closure
Member
Dec 19, 2017
4,982
This is probably not the place to put it, but can't think of another thread. Does anyone else remember that Avatar (movie, not anime) destinytype game that ubisoft is making? I feel like that has to be day one next gen as a "surprise". It's been so long
Wasn't that game announced to be next-gen? Now that I think about it, we know about a fair amount of next-gen games.
 

Deleted member 40133

User requested account closure
Banned
Feb 19, 2018
6,095
Wasn't that game announced to be next-gen? Now that I think about it, we know about a fair amount of next-gen games.

Interesting, looked it up and Ubisoft said it's not out before fy2021 and that the division studio and someone else is working on it. This does not seem to be a cheap cash grab license. But to be honest, considering what they did with star trek, they atleast put effort unlike EA and Activision do with licenses

Edit: should a communal effort be put towards making a list of next gen games? Could be part of OP
 

Gay Bowser

Member
Oct 30, 2017
17,728
AMD Ryzen 3000 Desktop CPUs, Radeon Navi GPUs and X570 Motherboards With PCIe Gen 4.0 Allegedly Launching on 7th July
https://wccftech.com/amd-ryzen-3000-cpus-x570-motherboards-and-radeon-navi-gpus-7nm-launch-rumor/

Ryzen 3000 launching on 7 July? I'd buy that, it lines up with the already-announced summer timeframe and I can see them wanting to do a "The 7nm era begins on 7.7" stunt.

Navi launching at the same time? Not a chance. They haven't "revealed" Navi yet, like they have the Ryzen 3000. More importantly, I don't think they'd have surprised everyone by making Radeon VII if Navi was coming to obviate it in just five months.

Navi is late 2019.
 

Lady Gaia

Member
Oct 27, 2017
2,481
Seattle
This is not the first report I've seen suggesting TSMC has fabrication issues. I'm guessing it's big die yield rather than capacity, since they're supposedly running under capacity. Hard to tell since low volume Radeon VII has been their only 7nm effort thus far.

AMD's only 7nm release, sure, but far from TSMC's first 7nm production. Apple's A12X is a high-volume SoC combining CPU and GPU. It's relatively small at 120 mm2 so yield issues for larger dies could well be a different story, but it came out shortly after the 7nm A12 last fall without apparent supply issues.
 

anexanhume

Member
Oct 25, 2017
12,914
Maryland
AMD's only 7nm release, sure, but far from TSMC's first 7nm production. Apple's A12X is a high-volume SoC combining CPU and GPU. It's relatively small at 120 mm2 so yield issues for larger dies could well be a different story, but it came out shortly after the 7nm A12 last fall without apparent supply issues.

A12X is only about 33% bigger than A12, and they're both on the 6T Mobile/SoC variant of 7nm. A12 is likely an order of magnitude higher volume due to it being in both 2018 iPhone releases and A12X only being in the new iPad Pro. Not really comparable to a 200mm^2 or bigger GPU on 7nm HPC.
 

MrKlaw

Member
Oct 25, 2017
33,104
Honestly thinking about next gen game releases, i predict that at least 65% of games shown at E3 2019 will be on next gen.

Where does that put Sony skipping E3? Could MS get the lions share of third party announcements? Or perhaps Sony will have some of them lined up for its own event and they won't show at E3?
 

eathdemon

Banned
Oct 27, 2017
9,690
Where does that put Sony skipping E3? Could MS get the lions share of third party announcements? Or perhaps Sony will have some of them lined up for its own event and they won't show at E3?
I mean odds are solid this is ms last e3, no reasson to pay the stupid high costs. they take the free pr this year, than pull out next.
 
Oct 26, 2017
6,151
United Kingdom
I mean odds are solid this is ms last e3, no reasson to pay the stupid high costs. they take the free pr this year, than pull out next.

Why is this becoming such a popular belief that first parties will not bother with E3 in future?

Sony has pretty much all but confirmed that their absence at E3 this year is a one off. Why would anyone think MS will decide not to show up after this year?

Is there some politics with E3 or something that I missed?
 

eathdemon

Banned
Oct 27, 2017
9,690
Why is this becoming such a popular belief that first parties will not bother with E3 in future?

Sony has pretty much all but confirmed that their absence at E3 this year is a one off. Why would anyone think MS will decide not to show up after this year?

Is there some politics with E3 or something that I missed?
costs booth space for the size ms/sony buy are over 10 mil, and the press confrences arent worth it ether, nintendo proved that with a direct.
 
Oct 26, 2017
6,151
United Kingdom
costs booth space for the size ms/sony buy are over 10 mil, and the press confrences arent worth it ether, nintendo proved that with a direct.

$10m for booth space will be a damn sight cheaper than putting on your own dedicated event; which is pretty much the alternative you're proposing.

When it comes to the marketing budgets of companies the size of MS and Sony, $10m is chicken change.

Costs are so far down the list of priorities over wheter either would permanently give up a presence at E3. If they do, and I don't believe they will, it'll be for other reasons.
 

TheRaidenPT

Editor-in-Chief, Hyped Pixels
Verified
Jun 11, 2018
5,956
Lisbon, Portugal
Why is this becoming such a popular belief that first parties will not bother with E3 in future?

Sony has pretty much all but confirmed that their absence at E3 this year is a one off. Why would anyone think MS will decide not to show up after this year?

Is there some politics with E3 or something that I missed?

I don't think people should expect E3 to keep traditional conferences. Sony/Nintendo/EA are out it's a matter of time until MS and Ubisoft/Bethesda also leave it behind.

E3 is going to change a lot come the next few years maybe featuring a more panel like approach as Comic Con.
 

Deleted member 12635

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Oct 27, 2017
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Thorrgal

Member
Oct 26, 2017
12,369
Why is this becoming such a popular belief that first parties will not bother with E3 in future?

Sony has pretty much all but confirmed that their absence at E3 this year is a one off. Why would anyone think MS will decide not to show up after this year?

Is there some politics with E3 or something that I missed?

I'm not sure Sony will come back to E3, Layden said that E3 hasn't evolved with the times
 

Ωλ7XL9

Member
Oct 27, 2017
1,250
Weren't both those consoles sold for a profit? I remember reading somewhere the PS3 was sold for a profit after 2009 (iirc) and the PS4 was sold at a profit from day 1.

I worked at Sony retail outlet during PS4 launch around LA in Cali, I can assure you that Sony wasn't making a profit out of selling a PS4. The hardware itself wasn't profitable. It was profitable only when the consumer picked up the system with at least one or two games along with PS plus subscription.
 

Segafreak

Member
Oct 27, 2017
2,756
costs booth space for the size ms/sony buy are over 10 mil, and the press confrences arent worth it ether, nintendo proved that with a direct.
Nintendo still has booth space at E3 and its gigantic. E3 isn't just an audience in an auditorium. The cost of booth space is likely worth it for them, as E3 is still a thing after 25 years.

And about those conferences, I like them. If I want to just watch trailers I can do that on Youtube. But sometimes once or twice a year I like to see the people behind the games and industry people talk about their games and industry things. I wanna continue seeing Kojima, Miyazaki or Yu Suzuki on stage and the audience reactions.


Honestly thinking about next gen game releases, i predict that at least 65% of games shown at E3 2019 will be on next gen.
Some 3rd parties will do a Watch Dog 2012 trailer without mentioning platforms but I don't expect a next gen blow out this E3. It has been quiet around Holiday 2019 releases and I expect most to focus on that. But it depends if a console launches 1H 2020.

I don't think people should expect E3 to keep traditional conferences. Sony/Nintendo/EA are out it's a matter of time until MS and Ubisoft/Bethesda also leave it behind.

E3 is going to change a lot come the next few years maybe featuring a more panel like approach as Comic Con.
EA still does press conferences, just not where E3 is held. E3 already changed back in 2007 or so and it didn't work. Sony is only out this E3 and last PSX because they feel they don't have enough to show, they'll be back next time. They do seem to be experimenting with different formats, and they don't get better for it, last 2 years or so were awful.
 
Oct 26, 2017
6,151
United Kingdom
I don't think people should expect E3 to keep traditional conferences. Sony/Nintendo/EA are out it's a matter of time until MS and Ubisoft/Bethesda also leave it behind.

E3 is going to change a lot come the next few years maybe featuring a more panel like approach as Comic Con.

EA is out?

TBH, it wouldn't surprise me anyway because EA's conferences have been so spectacularly bad over the last few E3s that I can't blame them from choosing not expose themselves like that.

Sony doesn't have much new to announce in 2019, and that's not suprising since they still have a bunch of already announced unreleased games and PS5 is around the corner, so anything new will get announced after their PS5 reveal.

I'm not sure Sony will come back to E3, Layden said that E3 hasn't evolved with the times

Not that I disbelieve you but source?

Also, saying "E3 hasn't evolved with the times" doesn't mean Sony has abandoned E3 for good and won't ever have a presence there in future.
 

TheRaidenPT

Editor-in-Chief, Hyped Pixels
Verified
Jun 11, 2018
5,956
Lisbon, Portugal
EA is out?

TBH, it wouldn't surprise me anyway because EA's conferences have been so spectacularly bad over the last few E3s that I can't blame them from choosing not expose themselves like that.

Sony doesn't have much new to announce in 2019, and that's not suprising since they still have a bunch of already announced unreleased games and PS5 is around the corner, so anything new will get announced after their PS5 reveal.



Not that I disbelieve you but source?

Also, saying "E3 hasn't evolved with the times" doesn't mean Sony has abandoned E3 for good and won't ever have a presence there in future.

Shawn said to various outlets that E3 might morph into a panel like event a la Comic Con in the future.
 

Thorrgal

Member
Oct 26, 2017
12,369
EA is out?

TBH, it wouldn't surprise me anyway because EA's conferences have been so spectacularly bad over the last few E3s that I can't blame them from choosing not expose themselves like that.

Sony doesn't have much new to announce in 2019, and that's not suprising since they still have a bunch of already announced unreleased games and PS5 is around the corner, so anything new will get announced after their PS5 reveal.



Not that I disbelieve you but source?

Also, saying "E3 hasn't evolved with the times" doesn't mean Sony has abandoned E3 for good and won't ever have a presence there in future.

No, it doesn't mean that, but I didn't say that either.

But it certainly confronts the idea that Sony "has all but confirmed it's a one off".

I'd say it will depend on how E3 evolves , and how successful is whatever Sony does in 2019 instead
 

Papacheeks

Banned
Oct 27, 2017
5,620
Watertown, NY
Ryzen 3000 launching on 7 July? I'd buy that, it lines up with the already-announced summer timeframe and I can see them wanting to do a "The 7nm era begins on 7.7" stunt.

Navi launching at the same time? Not a chance. They haven't "revealed" Navi yet, like they have the Ryzen 3000. More importantly, I don't think they'd have surprised everyone by making Radeon VII if Navi was coming to obviate it in just five months.

Navi is late 2019.

Navi isn't high-end. Arcturus is high-end it's brand new architecture. Navi is a smaller Polaris node. It will use GDDR6.
 

gofreak

Member
Oct 26, 2017
7,740
Navi isn't high-end. Arcturus is high-end it's brand new architecture. Navi is a smaller Polaris node. It will use GDDR6.

Well, we're dealing in rumours here.

IIRC, the rumours generally put the first Navi PC parts as low and mid range parts (Navi 10, Navi 14 ... ). But there's also rumours of a high-end Navi later next year (Navi 20).

Rumours are also mixed about what microarchitecture Navi is using.
 

Papacheeks

Banned
Oct 27, 2017
5,620
Watertown, NY
Based on what you said that?

It's been known for a while since some leaks a while back. It's not a brand new architecture. Leaks put it at av1080, 2070.

It would make no sense to sell a Radeon 7 then turn around 5 months later and release another high end product. Why would they have bothered if Navi was going to be high end with Radeon 7?

All fingers people point to Navi being mid-range.

Also the rumors seem to be true about respinning for Navi hence the rumors delays and very little mention during CES. If they were on track we would not have gotten a Radeon 7 so quickly.
 
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Bowl0l

Member
Oct 27, 2017
4,608
It's been known for a while since some leaks a while back. It's not a brand new architecture. Leaks put it at av1080, 2070.

It would make no sense to sell a Radeon 7 then turn around 5 months later and release another high end product. Why would they have bothered if Navi was going to be high end with Radeon 7?

All fingers people point to Navi being mid-range.
Navi will be Polaris in 7nm. That's it.
Sad thing is it won't be cheap too.
 

Fastidioso

Banned
Nov 3, 2017
3,101
It's been known for a while since some leaks a while back. It's not a brand new architecture. Leaks put it at av1080, 2070.

It would make no sense to sell a Radeon 7 then turn around 5 months later and release another high end product. Why would they have bothered if Navi was going to be high end with Radeon 7?

All fingers people point to Navi being mid-range.

Also the rumors seem to be true about respinning for Navi hence the rumors delays and very little mention during CES. If they were on track we would not have gotten a Radeon 7 so quickly.
I'm not referring just to Navi. Though rumours until now implied an high end version of Navi in their plans too.
 
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Pheonix

Banned
Dec 14, 2018
5,990
St Kitts
$10m for booth space will be a damn sight cheaper than putting on your own dedicated event; which is pretty much the alternative you're proposing.

When it comes to the marketing budgets of companies the size of MS and Sony, $10m is chicken change.

Costs are so far down the list of priorities over wheter either would permanently give up a presence at E3. If they do, and I don't believe they will, it'll be for other reasons.
But that alternative is better.

I am not of the impression that sony has permanently pulled out of E3 forever, but I can clearly see why it makes sense that they do. Simple truth of it is that this is not 2006. We are in a world today where an E3 isn't really necessary. We can't just pretend that YouTube, Twitch or any other live streaming platform doesn't exist.

So what you need to ask yourself (if you were them) is; would you rather sink 10s of millions (cause its not just both space but all the TVs and other equipment and tons of stewards you will pay for too) into an event that has you vying and competing for the attention of everyone in a massive shared space along with everyone else or spend that money in your own exclusive curated event, still have your fans present and share information in a controlled way where you get all the media focus. The whole point of E3 is supposed to be about media focus right? As it stands there are now better ways to accomplish the same thing.

As long as sony has PSX they are fine. And the benefit f PSX is that it allows them have nothing but a small both in other events where fans can try out a few demos. Though even that isn't necessary cause you can just download said demo onto your console. But further more it allows sony be able to pick a different location for PSX every year if they so choose broadening its appeal.
 
Feb 10, 2018
17,534
The narratives would be different if Sony was doing E3.

While Sony doing there own event will be not much worse then doing E3, it won't be any better.
Despite having things like youtube streaming and social media, the 26yrs of E3 history still counts for something.

People are only acting like E3 don't mean much no more only because Sony is not doing it. Its really quite pathetic.
 

zodiaq

Member
Oct 28, 2017
122
Interesting, looked it up and Ubisoft said it's not out before fy2021 and that the division studio and someone else is working on it. This does not seem to be a cheap cash grab license. But to be honest, considering what they did with star trek, they atleast put effort unlike EA and Activision do with licenses

Edit: should a communal effort be put towards making a list of next gen games? Could be part of OP

Ubisoft Blue Byte in Düsseldorf is working on it, too. They contacted me multiple times about possible job openings there. I guess they are currently in full development on it.
 
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