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How big will The Last of Us Part II's launch be?

  • Between 50,000 and 99,999

    Votes: 0 0.0%
  • Between 100,000 and 149,999

    Votes: 10 13.9%
  • Between 150,000 and 199,999

    Votes: 21 29.2%
  • Over 200,000

    Votes: 41 56.9%

  • Total voters
    72

Mpl90

Member
Oct 25, 2017
3,215
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United Kingdom:

Retail + digital for February 2020 (GSD)

01 (NE) GRAND THEFT AUTO V (ROCKSTAR GAMES)
02 (NE) FIFA 20 (EA SPORTS)
03 (NE) CALL OF DUTY: MODERN WARFARE (ACTIVISION BLIZZARD)
04 (NE) TOM CLANCY'S THE DIVISION 2 (UBISOFT)
05 (NE) TOM CLANCY'S RAINBOW SIX SIEGE (UBISOFT)
06 (NE) DREAMS (SONY COMPUTER ENT.)
07 (NE) STAR WARS JEDI: FALLEN ORDER (EA GAMES)
08 (NE) NBA 2K20 (2K GAMES)
09 (NE) UNO (UBISOFT)
10 (NE) RED DEAD REDEMPTION 2 (ROCKSTAR GAMES)
11 (NE) MONOPOLY PLUS (UBISOFT)
12 (NE) MARIO KART 8 DELUXE (NINTENDO)*
13 (NE) MINECRAFT: NINTENDO SWITCH EDITION (NINTENDO)
14 (NE) SPYRO REIGNITED TRILOGY (ACTIVISION BLIZZARD)
15 (NE) CRASH BANDICOOT N. SANE TRILOGY (ACTIVISION BLIZZARD)
16 (NE) MINECRAFT (MICROSOFT)
17 (NE) JUST DANCE 2020 (UBISOFT)
18 (NE) DRAGON BALL Z: KAKAROT (BANDAI NAMCO ENTERTAINMENT)
19 (NE) STAR WARS BATTLEFRONT II (EA GAMES)
20 (NE) NEED FOR SPEED HEAT (EA GAMES)

Week 24 - Retail (Ukie / GfK)

https://www.resetera.com/threads/ma...sition-uk-charts-week-24.227758/post-37064965 - Thanks to DisturbedSwan for their contribution

01 (07) MARIO KART 8 DELUXE (NINTENDO)
02 (02) RING FIT ADVENTURE (NINTENDO)
03 (01) FIFA 20 (EA SPORTS)
04 (05) GRAND THEFT AUTO V (ROCKSTAR)
05 (03) ANIMAL CROSSING: NEW HORIZONS (NINTENDO)
06 (04) CALL OF DUTY: MODERN WARFARE (ACTIVISION)
07 (12) MINECRAFT (NINTENDO)
08 (14) FORZA HORIZON 4 (MICROSOFT)
09 (06) 51 WORLDWIDE GAMES (NINTENDO)
10 (16) LUIGI'S MANSION 3 (NINTENDO)
11 (08) THE LAST OF US: REMASTERED (PLAYSTATION HITS)
12 (21) JUST DANCE 2020 (UBISOFT)
13 (34) NEW SUPER MARIO BROS. U DELUXE (NINTENDO)
14 (09) STAR WARS JEDI: FALLEN ORDER (EA GAMES)
15 (RE) POKEMON SWORD (NINTENDO)
16 (10) MARVEL'S SPIDER-MAN (SONY COMPUTER ENT.)
17 (13) THE WITCHER III: WILD HUNT GOTY EDITION (BANDAI NAMCO ENTERTAINMENT)
18 (15) RED DEAD REDEMPTION 2 (ROCKSTAR)
19 (22) CRASH BANDICOOT N.SANE TRILOGY (ACTIVISION)
20 (31) THE LEGEND OF ZELDA: BREATH OF THE WILD (NINTENDO)
21 (35) POKEMON SHIELD (NINTENDO)
22 (17) HORIZON ZERO DAWN: COMPLETE EDITION (PLAYSTATION HITS)
23 (RE) MARIO & SONIC AT THE OLYMPIC GAMES TOKYO 2020 (NINTENDO)
24 (18) UNCHARTED 4: A THIEF'S END (PLAYSTATION HITS)
25 (36) LEGO HARRY POTTER COLLECTION (WARNER BROS. INTERACTIVE)
26 (RE) SUPER MARIO ODYSSEY (NINTENDO)
27 (RE) SUPER SMASH BROS. ULTIMATE (NINTENDO)
28 (RE) THE LEGEND OF ZELDA: LINK'S AWAKENING (NINTENDO)
29 (37) NBA 2K20 (2K)
30 (RE) ROCKET LEAGUE: COLLECTORS EDITION (WARNER BROS. INTERACTIVE)
31 (RE) TEAM SONIC RACING (SEGA)
32 (19) GOD OF WAR (PLAYSTATION HITS)
33 (RE) TOM CLANCY'S THE DIVISION 2 (UBISOFT)
34 (38) LEGO MARVEL SUPER HEROES 2 (WARNER BROS. INTERACTIVE)
35 (40) SPYRO REIGNITED TRILOGY (ACTIVISION)
36 (RE) SUPER MARIO MAKER 2 (NINTENDO)
37 (RE) SUPER MARIO PARTY (NINTENDO)
38 (RE) LEGO JURASSIC WORLD (WARNER BROS. INTERACTIVE)
39 (RE) LEGO DC SUPER-VILLAINS (WARNER BROS. INTERACTIVE)
40 (11) DAYS GONE (SONY COMPUTER ENT.)

Week 23 - https://www.resetera.com/threads/uk-chart-week-23-2020.222133/
Week 22 - https://www.resetera.com/threads/uk-chart-week-22-2020.217248/
Week 21 - https://www.resetera.com/threads/uk-chart-week-22-2020.217248/
Week 20 - https://www.resetera.com/threads/uk-chart-week-20-2020.207726/

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France:
Week 23 2020 - Individual Formats (Value)


01 (01) [NSW] ANIMAL CROSSING: NEW HORIZONS (NINTENDO)
02 (02) [NSW] RING FIT ADVENTURE (NINTENDO)
03 (04) [NSW] MARIO KART 8 DELUXE (NINTENDO)
04 (03) [NSW] XENOBLADE CHRONICLES: DEFINITIVE EDITION (NINTENDO)
05 (NE) [NSW] 51 WORLDWIDE GAMES (NINTENDO)

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Germany:
May 2020 - All Formats (Units)


01 (01) ANIMAL CROSSING: NEW HORIZONS (NINTENDO)
02 (03) FIFA 20 (EA SPORTS)
03 (05) MARIO KART 8 DELUXE (NINTENDO)
04 (NE) XENOBLADE CHRONICLES: DEFINITIVE EDITION (NINTENDO)
05 (06) CALL OF DUTY: MODERN WARFARE (ACTIVISION BLIZZARD)
06 (08) MINECRAFT (MICROSOFT)
07 (12) GRAND THEFT AUTO V (ROCKSTAR GAMES)
08 (02) FINAL FANTASY VII REMAKE (SQUARE ENIX)
09 (18) NEW SUPER MARIO BROS. U DELUXE (NINTENDO)
10 (11) RED DEAD REDEMPTION 2 (ROCKSTAR GAMES)
11 (RE) STAR WARS JEDI: FALLEN ORDER (EA GAMES)
12 (13) SUPER MARIO PARTY (NINTENDO)
13 (14) LUIGI'S MANSION 3 (NINTENDO)
14 (07) JUST DANCE 2020 (UBISOFT)
15 (16) SUPER MARIO ODYSSEY (NINTENDO)
16 (17) THE LEGEND OF ZELDA: BREATH OF THE WILD (NINTENDO)
17 (RE) SUPER SMASH BROS. ULTIMATE (NINTENDO)
18 (NE) SNOWRUNNER (ASTRAGON GAMES)
19 (20) MARIO & SONIC AT THE OLYMPIC GAMES TOKYO 2020 (SEGA)
20 (RE) NEED FOR SPEED HEAT (EA GAMES)

Week 23, 2020 - GfK Entertainment Press Note

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Italy:
Week 23, 2020 - Individual Formats Retail (Units)


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Switzerland:
Week 24, 2020 - All Formats (Units)


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Australia:
Week 20, 2020 - All Formats (Units)

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New Zealand:
Week 24, 2020 - All Formats (Units)

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Spain:
May 2019 - Individual Formats Retail (Units)

01 (RE) [PS4] GRAND THEFT AUTO V (ROCKSTAR GAMES)
02 (RE) [NSW] ANIMAL CROSSING: NEW HORIZONS (NINTENDO)
03 (NE) [NSW] XENOBLADE CHRONICLES: DEFINITIVE EDITION (NINTENDO)
04 (NE) [PC] MINECRAFT DUNGEONS (MOJANG)
05 (RE) [PS4] RED DEAD REDEMPTION 2 (ROCKSTAR GAMES)
06 (RE) [PS4] NBA 2K20 (TAKE TWO)
07 (RE) [PS4] FIFA 20 (EA SPORTS)
08 (RE) [NSW] MARIO KART 8 DELUXE (NINTENDO)
09 (RE) [PS4] SPIDER-MAN (SONY INTERACTIVE ENTERTAINMENT)
10 (RE) [PS4] CALL OF DUTY: MODERN WARFARE (ACTIVISION BLIZZARD)

PAL Charts - Week 12, 2020
PAL Charts - Week 17, 2020
PAL Charts - Week 19, 2020
PAL Charts - Week 20, 2020
 

Ivanovic

Banned
Oct 28, 2017
1,362
Looks like Dreams did much better on retail than physical which is why it rarely charted.
 

Bruno MB

PAL Charts Genius
Member
Oct 25, 2017
956
On Amazon UK The Last of Us Part II Limited Edition Steelbook is already the second best selling game of the year and the regular sku is the fifth one. Expect a massive week one opening even at retail.
 

VX1

Member
Oct 28, 2017
7,007
Europe
We usually had to wait about ~10 days or so till we got official numbers for launch weekend by Sony for GoW/Spidey,right?
 

Sense

Member
Oct 25, 2017
2,551
I am guessing physical might be down due t9 the current environment but digital will be up and be a record launch beating spidey/gow etc...
 

Raijinto

self-requested ban
Banned
Oct 28, 2017
10,091
Anything around/over 200k would be very impressive and noteworthy. I just don't see it myself though if I were to hazard a guess, the highest exclusive OW of the gen is Sun/Moon at 295k and I don't think TLOU2 will be anywhere near that, just based off of what I'm seeing/hearing. Around Sword/Shield & Spider-Man just over 190k is more realistic IMO, but even then that's a significant amount higher than Animal Crossing New Horizons which launched to what 130k a few months ago, are we in a position where a game can open higher than that?

I'm not so sure that we are so I'll wait and see.
 

Kingdizzi

Banned
Aug 11, 2019
745
Is digital counted? If not especially with Covid going on, retail won't tell even half the story.

My dumbass going retail for TLOU2 worked out as badly as it could, dispatched on Thursday and still nowhere to be seen. If it's not here tomorrow I'm gonna just fuck it and get a digital copy.

It's getting bombarded review wise so let's see the legs on this game, they might not be great.
 

Astandahl

Member
Oct 28, 2017
9,034
As long as they ship enough copies it should be okay.

FF7R was impacted by the low number of available copies, it shouldn't be the case for TLOU (unless it significantly overperforms).
Two days ago both standard and steelbook editions were sold out on amazon.uk

The standard will be back in stock June 24. Don't know if these stock issues are present in retail stores as well.
 
Last edited:

DarkDetective

Banned
Oct 25, 2017
4,906
The Netherlands
Here's Animal Crossing: New Horizon's legs in the UK in percentages of first week sales:

Week 01 - 100,000 / NEW
Week 02 - 19,000 (-81%) / 119,000
Week 03 - 12,350 (-35%) / 131,350
Week 04 - 14,079 (+14%) / 145,429
Week 05 - 8,166 (-42%) / 153,595
Week 06 - 12,494 (+53%) / 166,089
Week 07 - 8,496 (-32%) / 174,585
Week 08 - 19,965 (+135%) / 194,550
Week 09 - 13,177 (-34%) / 207,727
Week 10 - 9,487 (-28%) / 217,214
Week 11 - 4,744 (-50%) / 221,958

This is up to the last weekend of May. Chris didn't share the drop the week after that.
 

Limabean01

Member
Oct 29, 2017
2,664
WA, australia
that's a great launch for TLOU2, I wonder just how high it went with digital included. I expect it to have pretty good staying power as well.

Animal crossing having outsold every sony exclusive bar uncharted 4 after only six weeks is insanity..
 

m051293

Member
Oct 29, 2017
1,658


~194-195K

It seems like this and the other figures could support an inference that the upper-bound of what UK retailers will stock for a blockbuster exclusive is 210-240K (using 80-90% sell-through as a range).

Sun/Moon were an exception due to coming months after Pokemon Go.
 

Lelouch0612

Member
Oct 25, 2017
21,200


~194-195K

It seems like this and the other figures could support an inference that the upper-bound of what UK retailers will stock for a blockbuster exclusive is 210-240K (using 80-90% sell-through as a range).

Sun/Moon were an exception due to coming months after Pokemon Go.

Switch exclusive launch should grow as we go deeper into the generation (looking at you Pokemon Gen 9).
 

Astandahl

Member
Oct 28, 2017
9,034


~194-195K

It seems like this and the other figures could support an inference that the upper-bound of what UK retailers will stock for a blockbuster exclusive is 210-240K (using 80-90% sell-through as a range).

Sun/Moon were an exception due to coming months after Pokemon Go.

TLOU PT 2 sold 1% more than U4 (physical) despite two days less and after the rise of digital sales which are much bigger today than 2016.

Incredible result.