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PC Gaming ERA | September 2019 - The Girls Are Back In Town
- Thread starter Uzzy
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new trailers for nifty-looking indies, too bad The Sojourn is EGS-exclusive. cool that DUtM is finally coming out next month
I did not realize that the "secret computations" of Mike lead him to conclude that the number of copies sold decreased by 70% in 2019 compared to 2018.
Come on, 70%? That is too much and should make anyone doubt the computations.
Come on, 70%? That is too much and should make anyone doubt the computations.
Similarly, when you look at the slide about "secret computations", you come to realize that "monthly sales" are inferred from the number of followers and the number of Steam reviews. Then the "annual sales" are inferred from the "monthly sales" during the first month. All this with the "monthly sales" actually computed solely in July.
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The key word here is average, consider the followingI did not realize that the "secret computations" of Mike lead him to conclude that the number of copies sold decreased by 70% in 2019 compared to 2018.
Come on, 70%? That is too much and should make anyone doubt of the computations.
80, 75, 85, 78
Their average is 80+75+85+78 = 318/4 = 79.5
Now consider the following
80, 80, 10, 10
Their average is 180 / 4 = 45
I think he is basing his numbers by including indies that likely sold in the 1000s if not hundreds...though even with that yeah, there could be doubt in the computations.
Mind you I am very likely simplyfying things with the 2 examples I used ^^;
I agree. Mike is using the median, so it should be a bit more robust than the average against this effect, but it can be impacted.
The 70% decrease is for the median. For the mean, the decrease is 88%!
The conclusion of Mike's observations should be that there was an 88% decrease of #reviews among the top 20% games in July 2019 compared to the top 20% games in July 2018. As you pointed out, this discrepancy could be explained by simpler stuff: say 15% of the top games are successful in 2019, compared to say 20% in 2018. You look at the top 20% in both cases, and your stats for 2019 are low because of the 5% mildly successful which you included.
On top of that, going from #reviews in July to #sales in July, and finally to #sales over a year, is shaky.
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You could get a free key of the Bradwell conspiracy today if you watched their stream. Stream over though.
Thanks. But all these doesn't seem to work with DX8 making the crash rate even worse. I think I'm just gonna have to bear it.
Thank god for autosave.
so it's... Batman games, OK
Looks like Lego Batman and the Arkham Games, so Warner is onboard with Epic?
Thanks for the overview. Avadon seems more up my alley as I love lore-dumps. I'll mentally file it for future reference.
I wound up nabbing Queen's Wish anyway as Mad was gracious enough to pass along their 20% Off coupon my way.
Looking forward to digging in this weekend!
Kind of bizarre to put a bunch of question marks there, I don't really get thisso it's... Batman games, OK
SoT release had a marketing stunt involving stunt mans in cannons solely because of that, is one of the main ways of getting into enemy ships/getting into islands fast.
Ha. That's fun. The fact that they're making a surprisingly big deal of and generating buzz for the explanation of how they managed to get Steam linked to the Switch coupled with the teaser image of the Valve lobby room definitely leads me to believe they're using new parts of the Steam API. I don't want to make too many connections, but we're getting the beta for the Steam overhaul a day after this, so it's possible a few new features will come to light.
I'll consider that as close to a confirmation as Valve would ever give. Excited to see what's planned. Perhaps it's wishful thinking, but cloud saves becoming more hardware agnostic due to new API features would just be really wonderful.
We knew that's what was happening already right? Or I guess it's news that it's now a "confirmed" capability of Steam?
The surprising / great news about this is that Steam finally used a sectional change (instead of all the store) to try algorithm changes. That was one of the reasons why the previous "algorithm apocalypse" of last year was so annoying (edit: to me), because it is always stupid to do updates to the entire algorithm without actually testing it in smaller markets.
Maybe some good analysis coming.
Good. Thanks for sharing!
Nice!
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More details directly at the source:
Below, a visualization of the places which have changed. I have checked the "More Like This" section for a few games, and it is very relevant and nice! Thanks, Epic?
There is an interesting part about the "popularity":
It is possible that "popularity" is some average over time, maybe of page impressions, sales, or concurrent players. At least, we can guess that it is not an instant value like the number of owners, because using a time window would not make much sense.
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my 'you have some games on your wishlist on sale' email today came with a new cool banner telling me about a focus entertainment sale
in spanish
in spanish
Looks like the video will have Valve employees in it. Molly Carroll from the Steam business team tweeted this:
Thanks to Steam's new algorithm, I have discovered a few games. The most promising one is a Metroidvania: Foregone. It has some Dead Cells vibes.
It was my last recommendation in the "More Like This section" for Hollow Knight, just before the recommendation of games which I already own.
It was my last recommendation in the "More Like This section" for Hollow Knight, just before the recommendation of games which I already own.
Thanks to Steam's new algorithm, I have discovered a few games. The most promising one is a Metroidvania: Foregone.
It has some Dead Cells and Another World vibes.
I originally saw this on the Kinda Funny E3 showcase.
I'm curious if I'm gonna get any new recommendations for games similar to Warlander or Ashes of Oahu.
So you got upgraded to a better language? Nice
Thanks to Steam's new algorithm, I have discovered a few games. The most promising one is a Metroidvania: Foregone. It has some Dead Cells vibes.
Thats not a card game
That is a cool page: https://store.steampowered.com/recommended/morelike/app/367520/
There was also a card game, but I am not convinced that it is good.
There was also a card game, but I am not convinced that it is good.
Did you just discover that "more like" page? It really is a bit hidden away tbh, but it is pretty interesting, although I am waiting for Lars Steam Lab which looks like a nice upgrade over it.
Yes. I did not know you could have a view like this one. I only knew about the list at the bottom of the game page.
Anyway, the "more like this" section was rarely relevant before the update.
As mentioned in the blog post, it was "bugged", and "popular" games were recommended too often, to a point they were not necessarily relevant.
Now, the tag-based recommendations for games similar to Hollow Knight look really good to me. I love how there are both Ori and Dark Souls.
It took a long time for Valve to fix it, and it may be thanks to Lars Doucet (hire the dude, Gabe). It was about time we get some recommendations like these.
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