It does. It still needs to recover from Katrina in many aspects. But then go up north just a little bit and it's a huge fucking culture shock.
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US PoliEra 2019 |OT10| Go Absent Yourself
- Thread starter TheHunter
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Trump tomorrow "Polls had Eddie down by 20 before your favorite President showed up. No one talks about it but the 2 Louisiana senators used to be Democrats. It was going to be hard to win there"
East Baton Rouge Parish really pulled through. JBE kinda sucks, but Rispone would have been a disaster.
Catching up on the thread, and fucking yuck at the booty poll. The next debate should be interesting if Sanders and Warren team up again the stamp him out. And biden can babble in the corner about how he loves the smell of brylcreem or whatever.
I'm so glad JBE won
From the looks of it, Rispone underperformed in parishes where Abraham won in the primary and JBE is meeting or exceeding Wasserman's benchmarks in most of the parishes and underperformed in rural north.
Basically New Orleans and the burbs, Baton Rouge, and Shreveport, and black voters saved JBE.
From the looks of it, Rispone underperformed in parishes where Abraham won in the primary and JBE is meeting or exceeding Wasserman's benchmarks in most of the parishes and underperformed in rural north.
Basically New Orleans and the burbs, Baton Rouge, and Shreveport, and black voters saved JBE.
These Democrats are winning by pretty thin margins. I am sure the GOP will pull out the same talking points that Democrats do that the margins are so close this time that democrats should be worried that the GOP are in striking distance of winning next time.
Early black voter turnout was fantastic. Demographics looked completely different from the last election when I went to my polling station. Didn't hurt that in the first election there was a vote to divide Baton Rouge into two cities which galvanized richer rural white voters that time.
I really hope black folks in Louisiana get the credit they deserve for this win. I've seen first hand how much work was put into this race.
THANK YOU ED ORGERON AND YOUR CAJUN VOICE FOR BEATING NICK SABAN
CFB is like freaking religion in the south especially Lousiana
Source: me since I went to LSU, LA Tech, and Independence Bowl games
I'm of the opinion (and I've seen some commentary that agreed with me) that JBE may have thought it was a fait accompli he would win the primary, and as such his GOTV efforts were kinda lacking. He certainly did not take it for granted in the runoff and it saved him.
Still, it shocks me that Rispone - with ZERO for a platform, I mean no one could tell you his plans for if he won, not even his campaign - was able to make it this tight. It's a goddamn shame that people simply voted for the R.
But I'll bet there's some big-name La. GOPers who sat out this race who are wondering what would've happened if they ran. I don't think JBE wins re-election with a bigger name like Kennedy in the race.
Still, it shocks me that Rispone - with ZERO for a platform, I mean no one could tell you his plans for if he won, not even his campaign - was able to make it this tight. It's a goddamn shame that people simply voted for the R.
But I'll bet there's some big-name La. GOPers who sat out this race who are wondering what would've happened if they ran. I don't think JBE wins re-election with a bigger name like Kennedy in the race.
Why on earth do you do this to yourself? And why this bizarre both sides?
Yes.
I am super happy that I was wrong on this and that JBE pulled it off. My crow is in the microwave.
And Trump can get fucked. As can Chuck Todd.
Remember when it was going to be terrible news for Dems when the republicans swept the races? Republicans better be shitting their pants now
That LSU victory explanation is actually super believable. Losing the big game has a huge short term emotion toll on people. Upset people vote against the incumbent.
I have become extremely pessimistic regarding politics. Three years of disappointments is exhausting, but it's nice to have these wins.
Oh, everything's terrible news for Democrats.
Also:
Trump and the Trump admin lying about him having a heart attack or whatever it was and then calling it a "multi stage physical" is just the kinda spice this election needed. Dig, journos. There's something there.
OP
OP
It always fascinates me how deep red states like Kentucky and Louisiana will gladly vote for a Democrat for governor, but not president.
it's because they're not national party democrats, much like the republicans Massachusetts votes for.
And, like the Republicans in MA and VT, are constrained by a legislature from the opposite party.
Case in point
Ralph voters either sat out or voted for JBE thus causing the underperformance
Sports results directly affect things like this. Spousal abuse rates go up after home teams lose. I wish I were kidding.
ultimately JBEs plan of being straight up anti-choice to give him enough political leeway to push through prison reforms that extended even beyond non violent crime offenses that may have killed him other wise seemed like a good strategy I guess
it didn't hurt him in the suburbs with women enough and he was able to be good enough on civil rights reforms to keep turnout for black voters high unlike Hood who ran too much like a Republican and flopped with black voters
in conclusion in this era it's likely better to be super shitty on one issue to prove that you are "bipartisan" so you can do more to appeal to voters that actually like you rather than trying to find the most middle ground position on every topic
it didn't hurt him in the suburbs with women enough and he was able to be good enough on civil rights reforms to keep turnout for black voters high unlike Hood who ran too much like a Republican and flopped with black voters
in conclusion in this era it's likely better to be super shitty on one issue to prove that you are "bipartisan" so you can do more to appeal to voters that actually like you rather than trying to find the most middle ground position on every topic
With the rather obvious caveat that Trump winning the 2016 election was catastrophically bad
2017: won VA/NJ governorships, flipped AL Senate seat
2018: won 40 seats in the House and 7 governorships
2019: won LA/KY governorships
The only real shitstain result in the last three election years was losing the Senate and gubernatorial elections in Florida last year, but every major election since Trump's been elected has gone about as well as one could reasonably hope for the Democrats.
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