In a few months, "USAF did not find anything illegal in it's review of employees staying at Trump resorts, however 2 junior officers were given a paid leave. Case closed."
US PoliEra 2019 |OT7| It's happening
- Thread starter Ogodei
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Clearly the only alpha male was Adam.
Literally the biblical Adam, not the poster 😝
Don't force Adam to post some alpha gifs to refute you.
So basically, trump admin huddled up to find a way to come up with an accomplishment. Bolton surprisingly said no. Trump unsurprisingly tried to make it ridiculous.
There's definitely a joke about Biblical humans dying out in one generation with a gay first man, but I had a gay dad so something something "Life, uh, finds a way."
Let me tap into 2008's stream-of-consciousness from Republicans re: Obama for a sec.
but you can't talk to your enemies without preconditions that's pure amateurism this guy thinks he can be president is he crazy
Hmm, I wonder what these same Republicans are saying in 2019...
but you can't talk to your enemies without preconditions that's pure amateurism this guy thinks he can be president is he crazy
Hmm, I wonder what these same Republicans are saying in 2019...
We're at the point where he is doing that, yup.
And because enough people are susceptible to this line of thinking, MORE evidence dulls their will to fight rather than increases it. And they are very chatty about it.
Ding ding ding
It may on this one lots of white people do go to the Bahamas on vacation so they do have some connection unlike Mexico or Central America
From now on we should make the identity of the president completely anonymous.
Not the candidates though. The winner is just never announced and both candidates are required to make regular appearances in the public eye so as not to suggest who actually won. See who's actually paying attention.
"Children being locked up in cages? That's totally a Hillary thing" - MAGA hat-wearing asshole
Fucking Miller burning the midnight oil when he realizes we're accepting black refugees.
Liz Cheney praised Trump on twitter for cancelling the taliban visit and hoo-boy
Liz Cheney praised Trump on twitter for cancelling the taliban visit and hoo-boy
Kind of surprised there isn't a thread about Birdie being actuarially .4% more likely to die from today.
Yup, it was about NK rather than Afghanistan, but the general point remains.
I am bemused yet again at Republican, ahem, "inconsistency."
Amen to this. Any time someone starts incoherently babbling about "alpha male" nonsense my immediate thought is "I hope I never have to interact with ever again."
Based on really basic calculations using the actuarial tables on the Social Security site:
Trump has a 14% death probability over a second term.
Over a first four-year term:
Warren has an 8% death probability.
Biden has a 20% death probability.
Sanders has a 22% death probability.
Over two four-year terms:
Warren has an 18% death probability.
Biden has a 44% death probability.
Sanders has a 47% death probability.
Trump has a 14% death probability over a second term.
Over a first four-year term:
Warren has an 8% death probability.
Biden has a 20% death probability.
Sanders has a 22% death probability.
Over two four-year terms:
Warren has an 18% death probability.
Biden has a 44% death probability.
Sanders has a 47% death probability.
Does this take into account the massive amount of fast food Trump eats?
No it's just really basic calculation.
I.e. probability still alive after 4 years is product of (1-probability of death) for given age for 4 successive years.
The period of life tables on the SSA are a little old too.
I.e. probability still alive after 4 years is product of (1-probability of death) for given age for 4 successive years.
The period of life tables on the SSA are a little old too.
I thought women lived longer than men. Warren would be 79 in year 8, Trump 78. But those stats say 18% for Warren and only 14% for Trump. Also doesn't factor in how unhealthy he must be.
Trump's probability is of him dying over 4 years. The 8 year probability from when he was inaugurated is more like 25%.
It doesn't sound right. That's saying Warren has a higher chance of dying 2 years below the average for women than Trump does 2 years above the average for men.
These are not the one year death probabilities.
These are: 1-(Probability of living past Y1*Probability of living past Y2...Y8)
For completeness Kamala Harris has a death probability of 2.3% in a first term, and 5.3% over two terms using the same tables.
it's 'x% chance of dying per year, combined." trump's numbers are lower because we already have like 2 and 3/4 years where he probably didn't die, other than a chance of a Weekend-At-Donnie's in progress.
God this is so fucked. I hope those left behind are able to make it ok. This administration is the most outrageous fucking thing.
I hope whoever our next president will be, that they can do as much as possible to reverse and correct all of this administrations horrid foreign policy decisions.
Most Presidents since Nixon have lived into their 90s. But a lot of that was typically relaxing post-Presidency.
Meanwhile Forma big money Neoliberal centrist:
Meanwhile Forma big money Neoliberal centrist:
Yep
Mob tactics through and through. Again confirming Michael Cohen's testimony.
And that entire article is just outlining grift after grift after grift, many on the dime of the American taxpayer The entire GOP is complicit, and we haven't even gotten to the other money violations or money laundering central Mar-A-Lago being a compromised spy resort for multiple foreign states, some hostile.
Trump and the entire GOP is a RICO case. Several RICO cases.
What makes this interesting is that Congress Oversight has been on this since the spring. They were denied everything by the military and state Dept.
But a day after a major story breaks out and the regular folks are informed of some sort of curious malfeasance, we start seeing a little life from the departments? Even if that itself will be an attempt at a cover-up, it's great to see movement instead of contempt and silence. It makes it easier for us to fight back against it all when pieces are forced to move on the board. Mistakes happen and people panic in the light, especially when it is their ass in the line and they don't have the protections their sociopathic superiors might possess.
Hopefully Oversight joins with the judiciary officially in impeachment proceedings, and we start seeing public testimonies on the matters they've been eyeing.
The goal is to get these investigations out from behind closed doors and more into the public sphere. We're seeing what some great investigative journalism can do by tossing pebbles into the abyss to shake up information, now to see what impeachment proceedings will do with larger tools, if they choose to use them all.
TIL that Elizabeth Warren is 70 yrs old. I swear I always thought she was in her 50s
I had this realization myself about two years ago. A good sign of her health
I knew she was older than that but I would never have guessed 70.
New Post/ABC poll:
By 51-36, Americans trust Congressional Democrats over Trump to handle the nation's gun laws.
Independents trust Dems over Trump by a 17-point margin.
And 89% of Americans support universal background checks. https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/americans-of-both-parties-overwhelmingly-support-red-flag-laws-expanded-gun-background-checks-washington-post-abc-news-poll-finds/2019/09/08/97208916-ca75-11e9-a4f3-c081a126de70_story.html …
By 51-36, Americans trust Congressional Democrats over Trump to handle the nation's gun laws.
Independents trust Dems over Trump by a 17-point margin.
And 89% of Americans support universal background checks. https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/americans-of-both-parties-overwhelmingly-support-red-flag-laws-expanded-gun-background-checks-washington-post-abc-news-poll-finds/2019/09/08/97208916-ca75-11e9-a4f3-c081a126de70_story.html …
Should also ask them if they are good with announcing their middle-of-the-night bathroom trips in case someone mistakes them for an intruder?
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