This misses the point entirely. It's not about whether Microsoft abandons the console or not, but about whether players and third parties do. Microsoft can keep it running as long as they feel like it, even as a side project if need be.
That won't work for third parties and Game Pass you mention as a neccessity to Microsoft, suddenly becomes a neccessity to third parties, if the install base becomes too low. At that point many will need a Game Pass deal to make ports worth it and how many and large will those be, if Game Pass only (or mainly) sells on Xbox, like you said and the console isn't selling well?
As for players, how long will it keep working for them, if they get everything on other platforms and only some games on Xbox? It's a cycle of decline, where one thing feeds into the other.
Here a the latest speculation on sales:
Xbox Game Studios + Bethesda + ABK |OT30| Why So Series X|S? Microsoft - OT
https://x.com/Welfare_JBP/status/1787246041651105860www.resetera.com
This is Microsoft's best territory.
What was Dring's words? Something along the lines of thinking Xbox is in real trouble as a hardware manufacturer, with sales flatlining in Europe.
Microsoft can keep making the console, but that missing the entire point of how compelling said console will be to players and developers. And that's why some of us are against the ports.
That strategy won't work for the console, even if Microsoft keeps making it. They ecosystem will be irreversibly damaged.
Thing is. It was a dead end anyways. You see stuff like Spider-Man 2's massive budget and lowered profit margins, on the biggest console. Any Xbox exclusive with a budget has even less a chance to recoup its money. Like, Sony is trying multiplat--they just have the luxury to take it slow.
Like, sales were collapsing BEFORE the leaks. Holiday 2023, with arguably Xbox's biggest, most-hyped launch of the generation, stuff was still going downhill YOY.
Like, Xbox hardware was on a death spiral even without the porting. Xbox isn't marching to irrelevance by third party. Xbox is marching towards irrelevance because nobody wanted an Xbox before that decision.