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hiska-kun

Member
Oct 26, 2017
3,410
Tsutaya Ranking: Week 12, 2020 (16 Mar - 22 Mar)

01./00. [NSW] Animal Crossing: New Horizons <ETC> (Nintendo) {2020.03.20} (¥5.980)
02./01. [PS4] Nioh 2 <RPG> (Koei Tecmo) {2020.03.12} (¥7.800)
03./02. [NSW] Pokemon Mystery Dungeon: Rescue Team DX <RPG> (Pokemon Co.) {2020.03.06} (¥5.980)
04./04. [NSW] Minecraft <ADV> (Microsoft Game Studios) {2018.06.21} (¥3.600)
05./00. [NSW] The Legend of Heroes: Trails of Cold Steel III <RPG> (Nippon Ichi Software) {2020.03.19} (¥6.980)
06./08. [NSW] Pokemon Sword <RPG> (Pokemon Co.) {2019.11.15} (¥5.980)
07./07. [NSW] Super Smash Bros. Ultimate <FTG> (Nintendo) {2018.12.07} (¥7.200)
08./06. [NSW] Ring Fit Adventure <HOB> (Nintendo) {2019.10.18} (¥7.980)
09./10. [NSW] Mario Kart 8 Deluxe <RCE> (Nintendo) {2017.04.28} (¥5.980)
10./11. [NSW] Pokemon Shield <RPG> (Pokemon Co.) {2019.11.15} (¥5.980)
11./03. [NSW] My Hero: One's Justice 2 <FTG> (Bandai Namco Games) {2020.03.12} (¥7.600)
12./15. [NSW] Dr. Kawashima's Brain Training for Nintendo Switch <HOB> (Nintendo) {2019.12.27} (¥3.480)
13./13. [NSW] Hatsune Miku: Project Diva MegaMix <ACT> (Sega) {2020.02.13} (¥5.990)
14./16. [NSW] Splatoon 2 (Squid Debut Set + Nintendo Switch Online 1 Month Individual Membership) <ACT> (Nintendo) {2019.11.22} (¥5.980)
15./20. [NSW] Super Mario Maker 2 <ACT> (Nintendo) {2019.06.28} (¥5.980)
16./18. [NSW] Super Mario Party <ETC> (Nintendo) {2018.10.05} (¥5.980)
17./20. [NSW] Luigi's Mansion 3 <ACT> (Nintendo) {2019.10.31} (¥5.980)
18./12. [PS4] Persona 5 Scramble: The Phantom Strikers <RPG> (Atlus) {2020.02.20} (¥8.800)
19./14. [NSW] Persona 5 Scramble: The Phantom Strikers <RPG> (Atlus) {2020.02.20} (¥8.800)
20./23. [NSW] Mario & Sonic at the Olympic Games: Tokyo 2020 <SPT> (Sega) {2019.11.01} (¥5.990)

Top 20

NSW - 18
PS4 - 2
 

Sandfox

Member
Oct 25, 2017
24,743
Animal Crossing seems to be opening huge everywhere. The initial numbers are going to be up there with Smash and Pokemon.
 

silpheed-mcd

Member
Oct 27, 2017
2,384
ETtkCIoUwAAg0mg


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ETsv3V-UMAA_eCO


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ETrahXeU0AAEsrV


ETtkDeVU0AEPwwB


ETsSDe7UYAATgKc


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ETrQ5BpUUAEp7mh


ETwGK-NUUAEpnxk
 

Zedark

Member
Oct 25, 2017
14,719
The Netherlands
(Filling in for Lelouch - chart made by him)

COMG! preorders chart, Week 12 2020 : Each point represent one preorder at this retailer. It is a relatively small retailer located in one region so be careful when you extrapolate, especially regarding Otaku games (overrepresented) and family games (underrepresented).

1. Final Fantasy VII Remake - 260 pts (+16 pts)
2. Resident Evil 3 Version Z - 85 pts (+9 pts)
3. One Piece Warriors 4 (NSW) - 32 pts (+10 pts)
4. The Last of Us Part II - 26 pts (+3 pts)
5. One Piece Warriors 4 (PS4) - 22 pts (+6 pts)
6. Sword Art Online Alicization - 21 pts (+0 pt)
7. Trials of Mana (NSW) - 19 pts (+4 pts)
8. Sword Art Online Alicization Special Edition - 17 pts (+4 pts)
9. Trials of Mana (PS4) - 16 pts (+0 pt)
10. Resident Evil 3 Version Z Collector Edition -
11 pts (+0 pt)11. The Fox Awaits Me Special Edition - 9 pts (+1 pt)
12. Kowloon Yuma ORIGIN OF ADVENTURE - 8 pts (+0 pt)
13. Sniper Ghost Warrior - 8 pts (+1 pt)
14. Kin-iro Loveriche (PS4) - 8 pts (+0 pt)
15. Watch Dogs Legion - 8 pts (+0 pt)
16. Resident Evil 3 - 7 pts (+1 pt)
17. Kin-iro Loveriche Collector Edition (PSV) - 6 pts (+0 pt)
18. Final Fantasy Crystal Chronicles (NSW) – 6 pts (+0 pt)
19. Cyberpunk 2077 – 6 pts (+0 pt)
20. The Legend of Heroes Zero no Kiseki: Kai - 5 pts (NEW)
 

Lite_Agent

Member
Oct 26, 2017
4,572
Somewhere. I think.
Nintendo eShop Sales: March 12th to March 18th 2020

Nintendo eShop – Nintendo Switch

ETx-y9iWAAAaMN9


01./02. – Animal Crossing: New Horizons (Nintendo) [20.3.2020]
02./00. – Ni No Kuni Remastered: Wrath of the White Witch (Level-5) [20.9.2020] (was on sale)
03./00. – Layton's Mystery Journey: Katrielle and the Millionaires' Conspiracy - Deluxe Edition (Level-5) [09.8.2018] (was on sale)
04./00. – The Snack World: The Dungeon Crawl - Gold (Level-5) [12.4.2018] (was on sale)
05./00. – Yo-kai Watch 1 for Nintendo Switch (Level-5) [10.10.2019] (was on sale)
06./00. – GUILTY GEAR XX ACCENT CORE PLUS R (Arc System Works) [16.5.2019] (currently 93% off)
07./00. – Of Mice And Sand -Revised- (Arc System Works) [21.12.2017] (currently 91% off)
08./10. – Cities: Skyline – Nintendo Switch Edition (ParadoxInteractive) [14.9.2018] (currently 75% off)
09./01. – Pokémon Mystery Dungeon: Rescue Team DX (The Pokémon Company) [06.3.2020]
10./18. – Overcooked! 2 (Team17) [07.8.2018] (was 40% off)
11./00. – Ultimate Chicken Horse (Clever Endeavour Games) [25.9.2018] (was on sale)
12./03. – Minecraft (Mojang / Microsoft Japan) [21.6.2018]
13./00. – Guilty Gear (Arc System Works) [16.5.2019] (currently 91% off)
14./06. – Super Smash Bros. Ultimate (Nintendo) [07.12.2018]
15./04. – Human Fall Flat (Teyon Japan) [28.12.2017]
16./05. – Dragon Quest III: The Seeds of Salvation (Square-Enix) [27.9.2019] (was 20% off)
17./08. – Okuri-inu (mebius) [12.7.2018]
18./00. – Double Dragon 4 (Arc System Works) [07.9.2017] (currently 87% off)
19./00. – Gotcha Racing 2 (Arc System Works) [29.3.2018] (currently 91% off)
20./00. – Overcooked! Special Edition (Team17) [12.10.2017]

Nintendo eShop – Nintendo 3DS

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01./00. – SEGA 3D Classics Collection 3 Final Stage (SEGA) [22.12.2016] (currently 2 789 Yen off)
02./02. – Dragon Quest III: The Seeds of Salvation (Square-Enix) [24.8.2017] (was on sale for 1 320 Yen, instead of 1 650 Yen)
03./01. – Pokémon Crystal Version (Nintendo, Virtual Console) [26.1.2018]
04./03. – Animal Crossing: New Leaf – Welcome amiibo (Nintendo) [23.11.2016]
05./02. – Dragon Quest II: Luminaries of the Legendary Line (Square-Enix) [10.8.2017] (was on sale for 748 Yen, instead of 935 Yen)
06./06. – Dragon Quest (Square-Enix) [10.8.2017] (was on sale for 528 Yen, instead of 660 Yen)
07./00. – SEGA 3D Classics Collection (SEGA) [18.12.2014] (currently 2 578 Yen off)
08./04. – The Battle Cats POP! (Ponos) [31.5.2015]
09./00. – SEGA 3D Classics Collection 2 (SEGA) [23.12.2015] (currently 2 739 Yen off)
10./00. – Hatsune Miku: Project Mirai DX (SEGA) [28.5.2015] (currently 3 099 Yen off)

topics.nintendo.co.jp

ニンテンドーeショップ新作入荷情報 3/23(月)号! 先週の売れ筋 TOP10もご紹介。 | トピックス | Nintendo

ニンテンドーeショップで配信される新作ソフトの情報をお知らせする「ニンテンドーeショップ新作入荷情報」! 今回は、3/14(土)~3/23(月)に配信された新作ソフト情報と、先週ニ
 

Pokémon

Member
Oct 27, 2017
11,684
Is it a realistic scenario that Nintendo will miss the 20 million units shipped for the Fiscal Year?
I think they projected in January 19.5m units and usually I would have said they would hit the 20m but we are talking global shortages so I am not sure anymore.
 

hiska-kun

Member
Oct 26, 2017
3,410
(Taiwan)
Media Create Sales Week 11, 2020 (9 Mar - 15 Mar)


01./00. [PS4] Nioh 2 (Koei Tecmo) {2020.03.12}
02./00. [NSW] My Hero: One's Justice 2 (Bandai Namco Games) {2020.03.12}
03./00. [NSW] Ring Fit Adventure (Nintendo) {2019.10.31}
04./01. [PS4] Persona 5 Royal (Sega) {2020.02.20}
05./00. [PS4] My Hero: One's Justice 2 (Bandai Namco Games) {2020.03.12}

Top 5

PS4 - 3
NSW - 2

(South Korea)
Media Create Sales Week 11, 2020 (9 Mar - 15 Mar)


01./00. [PS4] Nioh 2 (Koei Tecmo) {2020.03.12}
02./01. [NSW] Pokemon Sword / Shield (Pokemon Co.) {2019.11.15}
03./02. [NSW] The Legend of Zelda: Breath of the Wild (Nintendo) {2018.02.01}
04./03. [NSW] Mario Kart 8 Deluxe (Nintendo) {2017.12.15}
05./05. [NSW] Super Mario Party (Nintendo) {2018.10.05}

Top 5

NSW - 4
PS4 - 1

gnn.gamer.com.tw

MediaCreate 3 月 9 日~3 月 15 日一週銷售排行榜 《仁王 2》勇奪日台韓三地榜首

巴哈姆特 GNN 與日本遊戲業界分析公司 MediaCreate 合作,每週定期刊載由 MediaCreate 調查與統計的日本、台灣與韓國地區家用遊樂器主機遊戲軟體的一週銷售排行榜,供玩家參考。 《仁王 2》 日本銷售榜名單當週有不少新面孔。冠軍是當週上市的新作 PS4《仁王 2》,挾帶著前做好評與知名演員加持,橫掃日台韓三地榜首。前週冠軍 Switch《寶可

Notes:
- The best selling game in Taiwan and Korea is Nioh 2.
- Ring Fit Adventure had a new shipment in Taiwan.
- The lack of Chinese language in Pokemon Mystery Dungeon made the game to leave quickly the ranking.
- No major changes in the Korean ranking except of the new release.
 

Tialo

Member
Dec 4, 2019
1,064
These are great expected numbers for AC. Digital sales will be very high for this title due to Corona situation. If Animal Crossing opens indeed >1.5M retail, this will definetly mean more than 2 Mio. sold units in general (including digital). This is very huge, especially for a leggy Game like AC.
 

Fularu

Member
Oct 25, 2017
10,609
Nintendo eShop Sales: March 12th to March 18th 2020

Nintendo eShop – Nintendo Switch

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01./02. – Animal Crossing: New Horizons (Nintendo) [20.3.2020]
02./00. – Ni No Kuni Remastered: Wrath of the White Witch (Level-5) [20.9.2020] (was on sale)
03./00. – Layton's Mystery Journey: Katrielle and the Millionaires' Conspiracy - Deluxe Edition (Level-5) [09.8.2018] (was on sale)
04./00. – The Snack World: The Dungeon Crawl - Gold (Level-5) [12.4.2018] (was on sale)
05./00. – Yo-kai Watch 1 for Nintendo Switch (Level-5) [10.10.2019] (was on sale)
06./00. – GUILTY GEAR XX ACCENT CORE PLUS R (Arc System Works) [16.5.2019] (currently 93% off)
07./00. – Of Mice And Sand -Revised- (Arc System Works) [21.12.2017] (currently 91% off)
08./10. – Cities: Skyline – Nintendo Switch Edition (ParadoxInteractive) [14.9.2018] (currently 75% off)
09./01. – Pokémon Mystery Dungeon: Rescue Team DX (The Pokémon Company) [06.3.2020]
10./18. – Overcooked! 2 (Team17) [07.8.2018] (was 40% off)
11./00. – Ultimate Chicken Horse (Clever Endeavour Games) [25.9.2018] (was on sale)
12./03. – Minecraft (Mojang / Microsoft Japan) [21.6.2018]
13./00. – Guilty Gear (Arc System Works) [16.5.2019] (currently 91% off)
14./06. – Super Smash Bros. Ultimate (Nintendo) [07.12.2018]
15./04. – Human Fall Flat (Teyon Japan) [28.12.2017]
16./05. – Dragon Quest III: The Seeds of Salvation (Square-Enix) [27.9.2019] (was 20% off)
17./08. – Okuri-inu (mebius) [12.7.2018]
18./00. – Double Dragon 4 (Arc System Works) [07.9.2017] (currently 87% off)
19./00. – Gotcha Racing 2 (Arc System Works) [29.3.2018] (currently 91% off)
20./00. – Overcooked! Special Edition (Team17) [12.10.2017]

Nintendo eShop – Nintendo 3DS

ETx-y9iXkAE4r-b


01./00. – SEGA 3D Classics Collection 3 Final Stage (SEGA) [22.12.2016] (currently 2 789 Yen off)
02./02. – Dragon Quest III: The Seeds of Salvation (Square-Enix) [24.8.2017] (was on sale for 1 320 Yen, instead of 1 650 Yen)
03./01. – Pokémon Crystal Version (Nintendo, Virtual Console) [26.1.2018]
04./03. – Animal Crossing: New Leaf – Welcome amiibo (Nintendo) [23.11.2016]
05./02. – Dragon Quest II: Luminaries of the Legendary Line (Square-Enix) [10.8.2017] (was on sale for 748 Yen, instead of 935 Yen)
06./06. – Dragon Quest (Square-Enix) [10.8.2017] (was on sale for 528 Yen, instead of 660 Yen)
07./00. – SEGA 3D Classics Collection (SEGA) [18.12.2014] (currently 2 578 Yen off)
08./04. – The Battle Cats POP! (Ponos) [31.5.2015]
09./00. – SEGA 3D Classics Collection 2 (SEGA) [23.12.2015] (currently 2 739 Yen off)
10./00. – Hatsune Miku: Project Mirai DX (SEGA) [28.5.2015] (currently 3 099 Yen off)

topics.nintendo.co.jp

ニンテンドーeショップ新作入荷情報 3/23(月)号! 先週の売れ筋 TOP10もご紹介。 | トピックス | Nintendo

ニンテンドーeショップで配信される新作ソフトの情報をお知らせする「ニンテンドーeショップ新作入荷情報」! 今回は、3/14(土)~3/23(月)に配信された新作ソフト情報と、先週ニ
Bummer looks like Amazon.co.jp no longer sells degital eshop prepaid cards :/ I would have purchased a few of those Arc System Works games
 

zroid

One Winged Slayer
The Fallen
Oct 25, 2017
5,785
Canada
The power of a game that has equally mass appeal for women as well as men, adults as well as children
 
OP
OP
Chris1964

Chris1964

SalesEra Genius
Member
Oct 25, 2017
11,155
GEO stores: Week 12, 2020 (Mar 16 - Mar 22)

01./00. [NSW] Animal Crossing: New Horizons <ETC> (Nintendo) {2020.03.20} (¥5.980)
02./01. [PS4] Nioh 2 <RPG> (Koei Tecmo) {2020.03.12} (¥7.800)
03./04. [NSW] Pokemon Sword / Shield <RPG> (Pokemon Co.) {2019.11.15} (¥5.980)
04./02. [NSW] Pokemon Mystery Dungeon: Rescue Team DX <RPG> (Pokemon Co.) {2020.03.06} (¥5.980)
05./06. [NSW] Minecraft <ADV> (Microsoft Game Studios) {2018.06.21} (¥3.600)
06./00. [NSW] The Legend of Heroes: Trails of Cold Steel III <RPG> (Nippon Ichi Software) {2020.03.19} (¥6.980)
07./08. [NSW] Mario Kart 8 Deluxe <RCE> (Nintendo) {2017.04.28} (¥5.980)
09./11. [NSW] Ring Fit Adventure <HOB> (Nintendo) {2019.10.18} (¥7.980)
10./12. [NSW] Super Smash Bros. Ultimate <FTG> (Nintendo) {2018.12.07} (¥7.200)

Top 10

NSW - 9
PS4 - 1

"The long-awaited Animal Crossing: New Horizons won 1st place. This is the highest 1st week in Switch software and also GEO game software ever.

It is expected that it will continue to dominate in the future and is a fun title to see how far sales record will grow. GEO Aninal Crossing limited edition products became so popular that sold out.

Among other new titles, The Legend of Heroes: Trails of Cold Steel III ranked 6th."
 
Sep 24, 2019
1,840
Switch has a shot at beating the Wii LTD this week, right?
GDL says Wii finished at 12.7M

Switch is at 12.4M with a huge week coming up. Or is stock just too limited?
 

Andri

Member
Mar 20, 2018
6,017
Switzerland
Watch AC open under a million physical, promting a month of doom talk, then at earnings they casually mention 70%+ digital ratio.
 
OP
OP
Chris1964

Chris1964

SalesEra Genius
Member
Oct 25, 2017
11,155
GEO and comg Indicate that Animal Crossing could have an opening close to 2m at retail. In any case it must have topped 1,5m.
 

MysticGon

One Winged Slayer
Member
Oct 31, 2017
7,285
People wanting a bit of whimsy during these difficult times. Between COVID-19, 3.11 and the Great Recession Nintendo has given Japan an escape from hard times.

Sony releasing a $400-$500 box during that might torpedo whatever good will they have with the buying public.
 

Lite_Agent

Member
Oct 26, 2017
4,572
Somewhere. I think.
"The long-awaited Animal Crossing: New Horizons won 1st place. This is the highest 1st week in Switch software and also GEO game software ever. It is expected that it will continue to dominate in the future and is a fun title to see how far sales record will grow. GEO Aninal Crossing limited edition products became so popular that sold out.

Geo writer while typing this from his bathtub:

ETzkDWcXQAAjubi


Among other new titles, The Legend of Heroes: Trails of Cold Steel III ranked 6th."

Damn, completely forgot this came out last week.

Lite stock problems are finally a reality.

This calls for a new Woody pic.
 

m051293

Member
Oct 29, 2017
1,658
We got PR for Pokemon on 11/21/19 (Thursday following release) for global sell-through and a few details that made it possible to infer digital %. So Wed numbers + Thursday PR hopefully gives us the full picture of the massive JP launch.
 

Tialo

Member
Dec 4, 2019
1,064
My estimation:

2.2 Mio. Units for Japan
1,3 Mio. Units for EU + Other
1.1 Mio. Units for Northamerica (AC is not so popular there)

That means 4.6 units sold through for the opening weekend, which is a fantastic launch for a leggy game like AC. The shipped numbers till end of march should be around seven Mio. Units I guess.
 

MysticGon

One Winged Slayer
Member
Oct 31, 2017
7,285
Another thought. If FF7R and R3make underperform a month after AC breaks records I wonder what conversations that will start in those companies' boardrooms.

Worldwide is the main focus now but I can't imagine they'll be happy with the death of high-end consoles in Japan.
 

Skittzo

Member
Oct 25, 2017
41,037
My estimation:

2.2 Mio. Units for Japan
1,3 Mio. Units for EU + Other
1.1 Mio. Units for Northamerica (AC is not so popular there)

That means 4.6 units sold through for the opening weekend, which is a fantastic launch for a leggy game like AC. The shipped numbers till end of march should be around seven Mio. Units I guess.

What makes you think AC is not popular in North America? Retail reports so far indicate that it's potentially going to be one of the biggest Switch launches yet, if not the biggest (counting Pokemon SwSh separately, similarly to the UK report).

www.eurogamer.net

Is Animal Crossing one of Nintendo Switch's most successful launches ever?

Animal Crossing New Horizons might be the third biggest launch in the Nintendo Switch's history.In a series of tweets, …
 

Pokémon

Member
Oct 27, 2017
11,684
Sure? This would be really high I think. Sold-through numbers should be at 6-7 Mio. units till end of march, so this would be a massive overshipment.

The game will easily sell more than 20 million copies lifetime so I don't see how 10 million units shipped would be an "overshipment".
 

DarkDetective

Banned
Oct 25, 2017
4,906
The Netherlands
My estimation:

2.2 Mio. Units for Japan
1,3 Mio. Units for EU + Other
1.1 Mio. Units for Northamerica (AC is not so popular there)

That means 4.6 units sold through for the opening weekend, which is a fantastic launch for a leggy game like AC. The shipped numbers till end of march should be around seven Mio. Units I guess.
You're really underestimating western sales. New Leaf made the series as popular in the west as in Japan. The game did 3.5x New Leaf at launch in the UK. BenjiSales is talking massive sales in (a part of) the US market, even calling it one of the biggest Switch launches from his data so far. COMG! and Geo are talking huge quantities. And that's without digital, which has grown its share a lot organically since New Leaf came out.

New Horizons sells like a monster. It's up there with Pokémon, Smash, and Zelda now.
 

Renna Hazel

Member
Oct 27, 2017
11,705
What makes you think AC is not popular in North America? Retail reports so far indicate that it's potentially going to be one of the biggest Switch launches yet, if not the biggest (counting Pokemon SwSh separately, similarly to the UK report).

www.eurogamer.net

Is Animal Crossing one of Nintendo Switch's most successful launches ever?

Animal Crossing New Horizons might be the third biggest launch in the Nintendo Switch's history.In a series of tweets, …
Bigger than Smash? No way. I don't think Pokemon even launched that big.
 

Tialo

Member
Dec 4, 2019
1,064
You're really underestimating western sales. New Leaf made the series as popular in the west as in Japan. The game did 3.5x New Leaf at launch in the UK. BenjiSales is talking massive sales in (a part of) the US market. COMG! and Geo are talking huge quantities. And that's without digital, which has grown its share a lot organically since New Leaf came out.

New Horizons sells like a monster. It's up there with Pokémon, Smash, and Zelda now.

I think that my western estimations are still quite huge. In UK it did ~130k on retail. Lets say that should be around 200k including digital. Multiplying it with 6 to 7 should give us a good estimation for the whole EU + Other-market, thats why I set 1.3 Mio. units there.

The game will surely launch very well in Northamerica with no doubt, but 1.1 Mio. Units is already a huge number. How good were the launch numbers of New Leaf back in the days in the US? It was quite low, so 1.1 Mio. Units is already a multiplier of 4 or something like this. So I think that my prediction is not so far from reality. Lets wait and see :)
 

Renna Hazel

Member
Oct 27, 2017
11,705
I thought Pokemon with all SKUs combined beat out Smash's launch in NA. Maybe I'm wrong about that?

Either way it had a massive launch in NA, somewhere up there with the biggest ones.
I think Smash won out, it had a December launch after all. Honestly, I'm surprised AC is even in the same conversation. What is the source for NA launch numbers btw?
 

Tialo

Member
Dec 4, 2019
1,064
AC will never launch so highly in Northamerica, thats a massive overestimation guys. As I said, if it will sell through more than one million units within the first three days, this is already a very great launch for this IP. New Leaf sold 2.4 Million units in NA till TODAY, so it would be very weird to estimate such big numbers only for New Horizons opening weekend.
 

DarkDetective

Banned
Oct 25, 2017
4,906
The Netherlands
Bigger than Smash? No way. I don't think Pokemon even launched that big.
Smash Ultimate shipped 5 million units within 3 days, and had shipped 12.08 million units by the end of December 2018 (25 days of sale).
Pokémon Sword & Shield shipped 2 million units within 3 days in Japan, and another 2 million in North America; shipped 6 million units worldwide within six days; and had shipped 16.06 million units worldwide by the end of December 2019 (47 days of sale).

Animal Crossing: New Horizons will easily exceed those numbers in Japan, and it will battle those numbers in North America. Europe is the most questionable market in terms of sellthrough and size. New Horizons only has 11 days of sale in this quarter, so the quarterly shipment will be reduced by that, as well the lack of holidays. But we're talking launch here, and signs have been very positive.

We should not forget the digital share that has been massively increased since New Leaf released, which got another boost in a major part of the world by the coronavirus crisis.
 

Skittzo

Member
Oct 25, 2017
41,037
AC will never launch so highly in Northamerica, thats a massive overestimation guys. As I said, if it will sell through more than one million units within the first three days, this is already a very great launch for this IP. New Leaf sold 2.4 Million units in NA till TODAY, so it would be very weird to estimate such big numbers only for New Horizons opening weekend.

Switch is also a much, much, MUCH more popular console in the US than the 3DS was. Prepare to be surprised by the NA numbers.
 
OP
OP
Chris1964

Chris1964

SalesEra Genius
Member
Oct 25, 2017
11,155
Smash sold 5m and Pokemon 6m at launch. Animal Crossing will be somewhere there too.
 

Tialo

Member
Dec 4, 2019
1,064
AC will never have an US-Launch that is comparable to Smash or Pokemon Sw/Sh. This will not happen. New Leaf and Wild World sold very weakly in US, so I highly doubt that NH will be on such a high opening level here now.

As I said: More than one million sold-through units will already be a great success for the games US-opening weekend :)

Chris1964 yes, thats what I said.

Japan: 2.2 Mio units (maybe even a bit more, lets say 2.4 Mio Units)
EU + Other: Lets say 1.4 Mio units
Northamerica: 1.1 Mio Units

That are 4.9 million sold-through units and most likely close to 6 million shipped units for the first three days.
 

Renna Hazel

Member
Oct 27, 2017
11,705
Smash Ultimate shipped 5 million units within 3 days, and had shipped 12.08 million units by the end of December 2018 (25 days of sale).
Pokémon Sword & Shield shipped 2 million units within 3 days in Japan, and another 2 million in North America; shipped 6 million units worldwide within six days; and had shipped 16.06 million units worldwide by the end of December 2019 (47 days of sale).

Animal Crossing: New Horizons will easily exceed those numbers in Japan, and it will battle those numbers in North America. Europe is the most questionable market in terms of sellthrough and size. New Horizons only has 11 days of sale in this quarter, so the quarterly shipment will be reduced by that, as well the lack of holidays. But we're talking launch here, and signs have been very positive.

We should not forget the digital share that has been massively increased since New Leaf released, which got another boost in a major part of the world by the coronavirus crisis.
He said North America. I think Smash did 3.6 million in December NPD and is still the best debut for a Nintendo game.

Either way, AC being among these games in North America is really impressive, even if it doesn't top them.