That makes sense, thanks for clarifying. This does show that there was a decrease from 400k April to 270k May. Let's see if June can meet in the middle and ship ~350k in June.
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Media Create Sales: Week 22, 2020 (May 25 - May 31)
- Thread starter Chris1964
- Start date
3DS VS Switch peak year
Switch need an avg. of 108.517 units for the next 30 weeks to beat 3DS peak.
Code:
|----|--------------------|--------------------|
| | 3DS | Switch |
|----|----------|---------|---------|----------|
|Week| Weekly | 2012 | Weekly | 2020 |
|----|----------|---------|---------|----------|
| 01| 203.605| 203.605| 284.827| 284.827|
| 02| 257.377| 460.982| 116.301| 401.128|
| 03| 101.697| 562.679| 96.458| 497.586|
| 04| 77.519| 640.198| 67.987| 565.573|
| 05| 81.699| 721.897| 75.922| 641.495|
| 06| 69.180| 791.077| 100.961| 741.456|
| 07| 60.231| 851.308| 80.312| 821.768|
| 08| 88.909| 940.217| 41.490| 863.258|
| 09| 72.032|1.012.249| 53.098| 916.356|
| 10| 71.797|1.084.046| 50.585| 967.941|
| 11| 63.717|1.147.763| 57.274| 1.025.215|
| 12| 63.746|1.211.509| 392.576| 1.417.791|
| 13| 94.776|1.306.285| 282.561| 1.700.352|
| 14| 118.072|1.424.357| 154.640| 1.854.992|
| 15| 67.312|1.491.970| 25.313| 1.880.305|
| 16| 62.653|1.554.623| 27.874| 1.908.179|
| 17| 80.561|1.635.184| 107.104| 2.015.284|
| 18| 71.282|1.706.466| 115.043| 2.130.326|
| 19| 88.226|1.794.692| 42.420| 2.172.746|
| 20| 45.063|1.839.755| 38.380| 2.211.126|
| 21| 41.712|1.881.467| 52.557| 2.263.683|
| 22| 51.804|1.933.271| 107.593| 2.371.276|
|----|----------|---------|---------|----------|Switch need an avg. of 108.517 units for the next 30 weeks to beat 3DS peak.
so...did the switch already go past the "out of original stock due to pandemic disruption" and now we are seeing new supply? (eg they moved some supply out of china)
also - first line I read was AC numbers and I thought...oh wait this is last weeks.
also - first line I read was AC numbers and I thought...oh wait this is last weeks.
Nagoshi: "Kondo, my man! Let me introduce you to that new hot platform to sell your games. Everyone wants it, it's crazy, demand is through the roof!
Kondo: "Come on, told you I wasn't interested in expanding our audience"
Harada: "He's talking about the Xbox One you idiot! lol"
Quick question, are all those numbers Famitsu? MC has nsmb dip under 100k for week 11.
that said AC is the most impressive still because 1) Only one to be missing sales aka digital, 2) Pokémon games had holiday periods which kept them afloat, 3) nsmb only one like AC to be outside of dec had DS lite selling 150k-200k+ weeks while NSW is barely able to keep up and highest weeks are 100k with most being sub 50k
Really put things into perspective
OP
OP
2019 NSW:
22W Weekly: 60,352
W23 - W52 Weekly: 105,538
2019 Weekly: 86,421
2020 NSW:
22W Weekly: 107,785
OP
OP
There are still 4 weeks for this quarter remaining and Switch shipments will play some role but even with 50k systems per week Animal Crossing won't have problem to exceed 6m until June.
It looks it will be somewhere between 6 and 6,3m at next Nintendo report, closer to high estimate.
It looks it will be somewhere between 6 and 6,3m at next Nintendo report, closer to high estimate.
You were right I forgot about FF7R. Total weeks would be a better comparison.
I don't understand why after 6 months they still can't make enough of these things. It's rediculous in my opinion.
Last edited:
80k/week physical next 4 weeks give 5M total. Perhaps 10% digital of ~200-300k (2.4M physical in Q1) adds about 1.1M digital for a total of 6.1M. I remember seeing guesses of 6M at ACNH launch and with some closer to 6.5-7M.
They take longer to make than a cart. They are big and less can fit on a pallet. There is a global pandemic.
I understand there is a pandemic but even before that they were having issues. What I mean, and I should have elaborated, is that they managed to build the Wii fit board no problem so why not the ring for RFA?
they had higher expectations for the wii fit board? RFA exists in a post-plastic accessories world. and after the relative failure of Labo
id be very surprised if xenoblade 2 pops back into the charts this week, because of the promo they did for the DE + 2 voucher combo. i feel like almost anyone aware of that option, along of course with an NSO sub, would purchase them that way.
Stock needs to be their hardware wise for ac to avg 80k weekly imo. I think it'll drop to 60-70k next week. Hopefully I'm wrong
OP
OP
Animal Crossing going as high as 6,5m at the end of June (3,5 months after release) is not impossible but is the very optimistic scenario.
Fastest selling game ever in Japan is Pokemon Gold / Silver with 6m+ after 1,5 month and 7,17m after 4,5 months. Sales fell over a cliff after that period since it stopped at 7,3m.
Fastest selling game ever in Japan is Pokemon Gold / Silver with 6m+ after 1,5 month and 7,17m after 4,5 months. Sales fell over a cliff after that period since it stopped at 7,3m.
These ports were made to be localized. It's a known fact. Ignoring that is weird.
04./00. [PSP] Eiyuu Densetsu: Zero no Kiseki (Nihon Falcom) –84.360 /NEW
01./00. [PSP] Eiyuu Densetsu: Ao no Kiseki # <RPG> (Nihon Falcom) {2011.09.29} (¥6.090) - 127.938 / NEW
[PSV] The Legend of Heroes: Sen no Kiseki (Falcom, 09/26/13) – 81,622 (New)
[PS3] The Legend of Heroes: Sen no Kiseki (Falcom, 09/26/13) – 67,718 (New)
[PSV] The Legend of Heroes: Sen no Kiseki II (Falcom, 09/25/14) – 86,283 (New)
[PS3] The Legend of Heroes: Sen no Kiseki II (Falcom, 09/25/14) – 65,498 (New)
[PS4] The Legend of Heroes: Trails of Cold Steel III (Limited Edition Included) (09/28/17) – 87,261 (New)
02./00. [PS4] The Legend of Heroes: Trails of Cold Steel IV - The End of Saga # <RPG> (Nihon Falcom) {2018.09.27} (¥7.800) - 85.161 / NEW
How did pokemon GS sell 6mil in 1.5months when accord to famitsu it did under 5mil after 11 weeks?
Taken from last page
GMB] Pokemon Gold / Silver |GameBoy/GameBoy Color/Super GameBoy| <RPG> (Nintendo) {1999.11.21} (¥3.800)
11 weeks at >100k
Week 47, 1999 - 1.425.768 / NEW
Week 48, 1999 - 438.280 / 1.864.049
Week 49, 1999 - 453.500 / 2.317.549
Week 50, 1999 - 301.003 / 2.618.551
Week 51, 1999 - 436.828 / 3.055.379
Week 52, 1999 - 573.427 / 3.628.627
Week 01, 2000 - 477.507 / 4.106.134
Week 02, 2000 - 258.734 / 4.364.868
Week 03, 2000 - 145.778 / 4.510.646
Week 04, 2000 - 144.733 / 4.655.379
Week 05, 2000 - 120.138 / 4.775.517
not sure where the confusion is at? Going by this AC sold much faster
well damn, that just means week 47-52 were literally more insane than shown above. It's missing at least 500k unless they had 1.2mil on store shelves lol
Supply being higher than previous week.
Nintendo seems to have concentrated their shipments more around Xenoblade launch.
It's up so much from last year though. AC is quite the system seller!
Good for Switch and its software. Seems PS4 still has shortages too.
Wow, that's insane
Wow, that's insane
GS doing that much better just makes me wonder what AC could of done if it released during Nov and/or had hardware not be supply constraint.
Looking at NSMB that did so well with its legs at the same point of time as ACNH, DS was selling consistently over 100k-150k weekly.
ACNH is the 2nd fastest but going by ever greens and me predicting that NSW sell thru isn't at the halfway mark of its lifetime sales AC will continue and outsell RB eventually
Looking at NSMB that did so well with its legs at the same point of time as ACNH, DS was selling consistently over 100k-150k weekly.
ACNH is the 2nd fastest but going by ever greens and me predicting that NSW sell thru isn't at the halfway mark of its lifetime sales AC will continue and outsell RB eventually
Xenoblade's weakest market is clearly Japan.
Monolith/Nintendo should aim for the West.
2D turn-based Xenoblade 3 for the Switch Lite in Japan.
3D pseudo-open-world real-time cinematic battle royale mo-cap gritty relationship adventure for the Switch Pro in the West.
Am I doing this right?
Monolith/Nintendo should aim for the West.
2D turn-based Xenoblade 3 for the Switch Lite in Japan.
3D pseudo-open-world real-time cinematic battle royale mo-cap gritty relationship adventure for the Switch Pro in the West.
Am I doing this right?
OP
OP
2017 Q3 {2017.10.01 - 2017.12.31} [NSW] Xenoblade Chronicles 2 # <RPG> (Nintendo) {2017.12.01} (¥7.980) - 260.000 / 260.000
2017 Q4 {2018.01.01 - 2018.03.31} [NSW] Xenoblade Chronicles 2 # <RPG> (Nintendo) {2017.12.01} (¥7.980) - 50.000 / 310.000
2020 Q1 {2020.04.01 - 2020.06.30} [NSW] Xenoblade Chronicles: Definitive Edition # <RPG> (Nintendo) {2020.05.29} (¥5.980)
5 weeks for both at launch quarter.
2017 Q4 {2018.01.01 - 2018.03.31} [NSW] Xenoblade Chronicles 2 # <RPG> (Nintendo) {2017.12.01} (¥7.980) - 50.000 / 310.000
2020 Q1 {2020.04.01 - 2020.06.30} [NSW] Xenoblade Chronicles: Definitive Edition # <RPG> (Nintendo) {2020.05.29} (¥5.980)
5 weeks for both at launch quarter.
100% right.
Next Xenoblade is gonna be a 3rd person cinematic experience featuring a dark anti hero, probably a middle aged dad who lost everything.
ACNH - 4685k
Gap-1530k
First 11 weeks (PokeSmash vs ACNH)
W1: 2603k - 1880k
W2: 827k - 728k
W3: 700k - 423k
W4: 456k - 293k
W5: 498k - 286k
W6: 351k - 284k
W7: 289k - 260k
W8: 234k - 195k
W9: 105k - 130k
W10: 84k - 102k
W11: 66k - 102k
W12: 50k
W13: 47k
W14: 48k
W15: 38k
Gap-1530k
First 11 weeks (PokeSmash vs ACNH)
W1: 2603k - 1880k
W2: 827k - 728k
W3: 700k - 423k
W4: 456k - 293k
W5: 498k - 286k
W6: 351k - 284k
W7: 289k - 260k
W8: 234k - 195k
W9: 105k - 130k
W10: 84k - 102k
W11: 66k - 102k
W12: 50k
W13: 47k
W14: 48k
W15: 38k
Do they? This late life cycle surge seems like a dream scenario. They sold a ton of units at full price and cleared out inventory before a new system launch. With the stay at home orders dying down, they can resume light production and likely sell through wha they manufacture.
