Great, I expect it will do well. Its left me in awe every sec Im playing it, SSM deserves great sales.
Uncharted sold 8.7 million copies ~16 months ago. Pretty sure it's over 10 million by now.The Last of Us is 9 million total. Uncharted 4 is 8.5 million.
Not the first time when he predicted it, he said it would be sold out until April, which was not the case at all.
That meme was never funny and has been proven wrong many times. We should have left it at the old place and be smarter than to repeat the same mistakes.So this means it wont ever reach 10million shame (always oppsite of what he says happens)
What's the highest selling switch game to date?Huh? With Smash and Pokémon releasing this year? I doubt it...
Super Mario Odyssey sold 9 million in 60 days on an install base of 14 million.
Normally my gut says to disagree with anything Pachter says if I want to err on the side of caution and have a chance at an accurate prediction...but I think he's right here. The game is doing to sell a ton, and will be a huge keystone release for PS4. Hell I think this game is a bigger deal than Uncharted 4, and will be one of those things people invariably bring up when they talk about PS4 generations down the line.
WowSuper Mario Odyssey sold 9 million in 60 days on an install base of 14 million.
That one.
Haha, sorry, I wasn't actually trying to ridicule, I just was trying to answer with context. Now I see it came off as snarky :PWow
Damn, thats impressive shit. Pokemon and Smash will surely beat that too.
The switch attach rate is such an interesting thing. The ridicule may have been justified :X
Pachter predicted that the Wii U would fail, the Vita would fail, the Switch would be immensely successful, Breath of the Wild would be the highest rated game in the series, and Mario Odyssey would be the highest selling SKU of last Holiday season.
People like to harp on his failures, but everyone forgets it when he gets something right
The Last of Us is 9 million total. Uncharted 4 is 8.5 million.
Both have sold a lot more than that. Uncharted 4 sold 8.7 million in 7-8 months. Where are you getting those figures?Pachter predicted that the Wii U would fail, the Vita would fail, the Switch would be immensely successful, Breath of the Wild would be the highest rated game in the series, and Mario Odyssey would be the highest selling SKU of last Holiday season.
People like to harp on his failures, but everyone forgets it when he gets something right
The Last of Us is 9 million total. Uncharted 4 is 8.5 million.
Sony's last shared figures for both games (I was subconsciously rounding down UC4, as I later realized)Both have sold a lot more than that. Uncharted 4 sold 8.7 million in 7-8 months. Where are you getting those figures?
Where are the receipts? And if U4 sold 8.7m in the first 7-8 months, there's no way that game is not in the 8 digits by now.Sony's last shared figures for both games (I was subconsciously rounding down UC4, as I later realized)
My receipts are the actual last numbers Sony shared.Where are the receipts? And if U4 sold 8.7m in the first 7-8 months, there's no way that game is not in the 8 digits by now.
All good, didn't mean you personally :PHaha, sorry, I wasn't actually trying to ridicule, I just was trying to answer with context. Now I see it came off as snarky :P
But yeah, the Switch attach ratio is insane. Mario, Zelda, and Kart all did crazy well already, and they aren't even Nintendo's biggest games. Once Pokemon, Smash, and Animal Crossing hit (two of which are due for this year), then it will get even more insane.
Yeah, Smash is good and everything, but Pokemon is, well, Pokemon. I can't wait to see what it does for the Switch...All good, didn't mean you personally :P
Pokemon alone will be INSANE. Smash as well, but I feel Pokemon is on another level.
Exciting times ahead.
Lol 20 million is impossible. 10 would be highest it can go. I expect it be 8-9 million after 1.5 years
He's had plenty of predictions co- oh, never mind.The guy who never predicted anything right is going to get his prediction correct for the first and last time
This. I don't understand why people get so hung up about his "educated guesses" That's all they are."Predictions" are not his job either, so it's honestly so incredibly absurdly stupid and childish to pretend like some off collar interview he gives to a tech publication in which he says how he "thinks" a game is going to do, is some fundamental career move that he's staking his name on. He's an analyst. He looks at stocks and tells people where to invest.
So you're just repeating what I said. It sold 8.7m in 7 months. Spouting 8.5m almost 2 years post release doesn't make sense, regardless of rounding down.My receipts are the actual last numbers Sony shared.
Do you have any official numbers from Sony indicating sales beyond this? Not "surely sales are beyond this" or "it's logical" or anything. I will only cite official figures- are there any beyond this that I have missed? If yes, I will be happy to update the post.
Pokemon is going to kill everything in its path when it releases. That might make jump and buy a Switch.Yeah, Smash is good and everything, but Pokemon is, well, Pokemon. I can't wait to see what it does for the Switch...
Firstly, false equivalency on the first point. Secondly, the notion that Pachter has a bad forecasting ratio is absolutely and utterly ridiculous. If he did, he wouldn't have a job. Just because the guys at era and gaf like to tell you that he has a bad forecast ratio doesn't mean it's true. All i see going on here is confirmation bias at it's worst and at best, a long running joke. Finally, when your prediction is as linear and as unscientific as guessing from the highest exclusive number, you shouldn't even mention yourself in the same breath as Pach.POliticians get payed for saying shit the whole day. Does that make their shit true? No.
Pachter has a bad "Being right" ratio.
And look at the best selling games from Sony on the PS4. Nothing is close to 20 millions from them. So 10 Millions is archieveable and a high number. 20 million is a daydream.
8.5 was definitely an error on my part. I have a natural tendency to round down numbers, and I should have been more careful when spouting numbers like tht. Regardless, that, at least, I corrected :PSo you're just repeating what I said. It sold 8.7m in 7 months. Spouting 8.5m almost 2 years post release doesn't make sense, regardless of rounding down.
Pokemon is going to kill everything in its path when it releases. That might make jump and buy a Switch.
This is one of the dumbest takes I commonly see about Pachter, since A) they come from a place of not actually understanding what the dude does for a living and B) think that people pay him thousands of dollars for extremely detailed reports based on the state of the industry and what stocks are worth buying and why for "predictions".
Why bundle it when it's selling so well on its own though?The game going in and out of stock at Amazon surprised the hell out of me. I think it's going to do very well.
Sales could be enormous if the game is bundled in the fall.
Wow, lol. I forgot about this.Pachter: The Order 1886 Could Sell 5 Million By 2015 End, 10-12 Million If Sony Opts For A PS4 Bundle
Pachter is terrible at predicting game sales. I don't doubt God of War will do amazing but something like this coming from Patchter should be taken with a massive grain of salt.
to move hardware
I don't see it either, it's a good game but won't reach the same target audience
I'm sure HZD was bundled, and a quick google shows that there were some.Nah, Horizon did 7.6 without bundles and it's still not done selling.