ITT, predict for the NPD September 2018 retail period (September 2-October 6, 2018) for U.S. hardware sales.
What is NPD?: NPD is one of the main retail tracking firms in the U.S., and also about the only one who specifically goes into detail on video games sales. This thread is to predict what the NPD hardware sales will be for the most recent month. NPD months are defined by the National Retail Federation (find calendar links here).
What do I win?: Bragging rights. We also keep track of predictions over the year and have an annual contest using "points." Still just bragging rights, but SalesEra followers have fun seeing how well we can do with it. See here for details on the point calculations.
Why are there still predictions when official NPD numbers are not released?
Prediction entries must be in and finalized by 8 p.m. EDT on Tuesday, October 16th. Format use is required if you want your entry counted.
NPD Coverage: September 2-October 6, 2018 (5 weeks, August was 4 weeks)
NPD Physical Results Release: Thursday, October 18th @ 4 p.m. EDT (public thread with physical+digital posted 5 days later on October 23rd ~6:30 p.m. EDT)
Format:
[NSW]
[PS4]
[XB1]
Good/Bad Formatting
Potential hardware impacting events in September:
PS4 Pro Spiderman bundle ($400, Sept. 7) - 30 days
Spiderman PS4 exclusive (Sept. 7) - 30 days
Prediction Format: (repeating to emphasize to use this format)
[NSW]
[PS4]
[XB1]
August's Resuts
August 2017 NPD thread
July 2017 NPD thread
NPD Prediction Thread Archive
What is NPD?: NPD is one of the main retail tracking firms in the U.S., and also about the only one who specifically goes into detail on video games sales. This thread is to predict what the NPD hardware sales will be for the most recent month. NPD months are defined by the National Retail Federation (find calendar links here).
What do I win?: Bragging rights. We also keep track of predictions over the year and have an annual contest using "points." Still just bragging rights, but SalesEra followers have fun seeing how well we can do with it. See here for details on the point calculations.
Why are there still predictions when official NPD numbers are not released?
Trust me said:To have fun? To share thoughts and speculation with a like mined group of people? To be able to communicate directly with individuals who study this industry for a living?
ethomaz said:Since 2010 I guess we don't get official numbers anymore... that doesn't mean we don't get the numbers.
The ranking and results are based in real numbers.
Prediction entries must be in and finalized by 8 p.m. EDT on Tuesday, October 16th. Format use is required if you want your entry counted.
NPD Coverage: September 2-October 6, 2018 (5 weeks, August was 4 weeks)
NPD Physical Results Release: Thursday, October 18th @ 4 p.m. EDT (public thread with physical+digital posted 5 days later on October 23rd ~6:30 p.m. EDT)
Format:
[NSW]
[PS4]
[XB1]
Good/Bad Formatting
Code:
Good Bad
[XB1] 200K [XB1] 200 thousand
[XB1] 200,000 [XB1] 200.000
[XB1] 200000 [XB1] - 200000
Potential hardware impacting events in September:
PS4 Pro Spiderman bundle ($400, Sept. 7) - 30 days
Spiderman PS4 exclusive (Sept. 7) - 30 days
Prediction Format: (repeating to emphasize to use this format)
[NSW]
[PS4]
[XB1]
August's Resuts
If that's right, working from the ratios would put this year at:
August 2018 NPD
SWI: 206k
PS4: 197k
XB1: 165k
August 2017 NPD thread
July 2017 NPD thread
NPD Prediction Thread Archive
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