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Strikerrr

Member
Oct 25, 2017
2,128
Not a very good air defence system 😂😂

Does anyone know what happened to the challenger 2 tanks we sent over ?
They're typically seen with the 82nd Air Assault Brigade when they get rotated in

View: https://twitter.com/Osinttechnical/status/1782549799406817713

View: https://twitter.com/Osinttechnical/status/1774393220362801333
I would imagine that they're somewhat kept in reserve compared to the other tanks because of their proprietary ammo that is no longer in production since the Challenger 3 is switching to the same smoothbore cannon that the Abrams and Leopard uses.
 

Psychotext

Member
Oct 30, 2017
16,757
Hopefully they can really start going after AA and other high value targets now.

Realistically very few places in Ukraine they can't hit.
 
Nov 23, 2019
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Nearly $57 billion — about 60 percent — is never leaving the United States. Instead, these funds are being invested with weapons manufacturers located in dozens of states. (So far, according to the Pentagon, manufacturers in all but 11 states have received Ukraine-related weapons contracts.)

 

poklane

Member
Oct 25, 2017
28,068
the Netherlands
Not much left now for them to dangle in front of Russia, which was always a mistake. Pretty sure one of these names below is the architect of holding off everything as a "diplomacy tool".


View: https://twitter.com/Maks_NAFO_FELLA/status/1783462060807897231/photo/1

Now do the sane thing and okay the use of those weapon against targets within Russia. It's beyond ridiculous how well over 2 years into the war Ukraine is still forced to fight with one hand behind their back.
 

maabus1999

Member
Oct 26, 2017
9,019
Now do the sane thing and okay the use of those weapon against targets within Russia. It's beyond ridiculous how well over 2 years into the war Ukraine is still forced to fight with one hand behind their back.
That probably is the only the left for them to threaten Russia with, who will ignore it or say nukes! Waste of time trying this with them.
 
Nov 23, 2019
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oh no
Russia is considering downgrading the level of its diplomatic relations with the US if western governments go ahead with proposals to confiscate its frozen assets, state news agency RIA quoted deputy foreign minister Sergei Ryabkov as saying on Thursday.
https://www.theguardian.com/world/l...08d5aa97f94381#block-662a49ca8f08d5aa97f94381


According to Reuters, Ryabkov said Moscow would retaliate economically and politically if the assets were seized.
they will stop importing chips through parallel import?
 
Nov 23, 2019
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Noticed that too ↓


View: https://twitter.com/wartranslated/status/1783465710196244632
Several regions in Russia have already raised one-time payments to the new servicemen who signed a contract with the Russian Defense Ministry to 1 million rubles. That's about £9,000 in hand.

In the Krasnodar region, the payment increased from 300 thousand rubles to 1 million from the beginning of 2024 to now.

In other regions, such payments are slightly smaller, starting from 500-600 thousand rubles from regional authorities plus 200 thousand from the federal budget.

As we see, it is increasingly difficult to attract those Russians who are still alive to commit murders in another country. In addition, Russian authorities may be banking on the fact that some may not get paid, payments can be delayed, and if they die, there will be no long-term care for the serviceman.

Obviously, an ordinary Russian will never see that kind of money in his life at work. If we draw a parallel between the minimum wages in Russia and the West, Russian serviceman receives an amount equivalent to £50-100,000 in England just for signing up to the war.

Niznhiny Novgorod as well, Sverdlovsk region, etc.

it's a sign that current scheme (we pay - you die) is coming to end.

This war remains something Russians if they could want to avoid at all costs. And Russian median salaries are 50 000 rubles and the average rent for a one room apartment's 27 400 rubles. People will suffer barely making ends meet but will not join the armed forces.
 

Magni

Member
According to NYT they were part of a $300 million shipment of weapons to Ukraine in March. 100 is pretty significant, and hopefully more from the recent package

View: https://twitter.com/sentdefender/status/1783178227680202864


We all saw Dzhankoi, but what got hit in Berdyansk?

Edit:

From the ISW:
Geolocated footage published on April 23 shows Ukrainian forces striking several radar systems for a Russian S-300 air defense system southeast of occupied Volnovakha (northeast of Berdyansk).[7] Ukrainian Mariupol Mayoral Advisor Petro Andryushchenko stated that Ukrainian forces struck Russian positions 10 times in Babakh-Tarama (immediately east of Berdyansk) on the night of April 23 to 24.[8] It is unclear if either of these strikes is the strike to which the US official was referring, and Ukrainian military officials have yet to confirm a Ukrainian strike near Berdyansk.
 
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Koukalaka

Member
Oct 28, 2017
9,347
Scotland
Noticed that too ↓


View: https://twitter.com/wartranslated/status/1783465710196244632


Niznhiny Novgorod as well, Sverdlovsk region, etc.

it's a sign that current scheme (we pay - you die) is coming to end.



It's why I don't get the whole "Russia can just throw more people in the mix" argument. The government is clearly doing absolutely everything in its power to not do another large-scale mobilisation - almost any other country would have instituted a mobilisation and/or some type of draft for a war of this scale.

Avoiding this seems to be one of the primary goals of the Kremlin.
 
Nov 23, 2019
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View: https://twitter.com/maxseddon/status/1783456790065144060

zygaro.substack.com

Tsardom. Episode 1

Two Princes
Roman Rotenberg, aged 43, spent his childhood in Finland and then in England, but returned to Russia after the family friend Vladimir Putin came to power. At the age of 30, he was appointed vice-president of the SKA hockey club, and three years later, he became the vice-president of the Russian Ice Hockey Federation.
In 2022, Roman Rotenberg appointed himself as the head coach of SKA, and later also made himself the head coach of the national team. Sports journalists were shocked, as he had no coaching experience.
 
Nov 23, 2019
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View: https://twitter.com/k_sonin/status/1783480138245505235
I thought it was a bad idea to seize Russian reserves before the US congress had voted on the Ukraine package. It gave too easy a way to Congress to vote no and pass the buck.

Now that they have voted, it is hard to think of good reasons not to seize. Yes, it will create a precedent: Countries will know that if they go to war against a country or a friend of a country where they have reserves, they will likely lose them. So what?
 
Nov 23, 2019
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View: https://twitter.com/PGourevitch/status/1783483683799699456

The circumstances behind Bentley's disappearance are murky. But the incident has already caused outrage in Russian nationalist circles, with popular bloggers and commentators calling for an investigation and decrying what they called an official coverup.

Russian ultranationalists, particularly those involved in the original fighting of 2014 and 2015 that killed 14,000 people in Donetsk and Luhansk, criticize Russian President Vladimir Putin for not doing even more to win the war in Ukraine. They have blasted the military establishment for its execution of the full-scale invasion.
The Russian state, which initially focused on the liberal opposition, has increasingly turned the screws on the hypernationalist figures associated with the "Russian Spring" after the failed putsch by the Wagner paramilitary group of warlord Yevgeny Prigozhin ...

It isn't clear whether Bentley's death is part of that crackdown by security services, or an accidental result of the anti-American spy-mania fanned by the Russian state and the overall lawlessness reigning in Russian-occupied parts of Ukraine.
In any case, the fury at Bentley's death among Russian nationalists is real.

"It's hard to understand who are 'ours' and who are 'enemies.' Just traitors and freaks at the steering wheel, doing what they want," fumed Russian soldier and blogger Yegor Guzenko, who is known under his Telegram handle Thirteenth. "Texas was murdered! The way they murdered many of our brothers. The way they murdered Prigozhin and all others who tell the truth and honestly stand for Russia!"
Bentley's death shows that "human lives don't matter much on the path to the great future," and explains why "even very pro-Russian citizens [of Ukraine] rarely met Russia with flowers," said Igor Dimitriev, a pro-Russian politician who moved to Russia from Odesa, Ukraine, in 2014.


Another well-known personality of the "Russian Spring," Capt. Igor Mangushev, a far-right nationalist who once performed holding what he said was the skull of a Ukrainian soldier, was gunned down under mysterious circumstances in a part of the Luhansk region far from the front lines in February 2023.

Yet another influential veteran of the 2014 war, fighter and popular blogger Andrey Morozov, was found dead in February this year after coming under military pressure to delete a post saying that the Russian military had lost 16,000 soldiers in its campaign to capture Avdiivka. His death was judged a suicide.
 

maabus1999

Member
Oct 26, 2017
9,019
Russia's size advantage is also a huge disadvantage, where they are going to have to pick and choose how to defend with significant amount of air defenses as it seems they have no way to stop crossings at the border (and most likely are disappearing off Russian strategic radar which pre-war was reported to be in extremely bad shape). So Ukraine is going to have a field day in rotating where they want to attack due to air defense placements (which they'll probably know in detail from Western advisors).
 

GYODX

Member
Oct 27, 2017
7,258
The headline and photo on that FT article are amazing.

Inside House Speaker Mike Johnson's conversion on aid for Ukraine



ftcms%3A34495413-42ea-40d2-bc6f-790d07c063a1



Here's gift link if anyone wants to read the full article.
 
Nov 23, 2019
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Krasnoyarsk official urged students to prepare for new mobilization
www.moscowtimes.ru

Красноярский чиновник призвал студентов готовиться к новой мобилизации - Русская служба The Moscow Times

Глава Тасеевского района Красноярского края Константин Дизендорф призвал учащихся готовиться к новой мобилизации на войну в Украине, пишет «Сирена».
At a meeting with students, Diesendorf said that there would be a new draft, "not for service, but mobilization." In his opinion, there are not enough forces at the front, and the country is "having a hard time today," which is why students are being sent to war.
"No work, young, energetic. Maybe it's the right thing to do. I don't think he will be sent to the front line right away. Maybe he will end up in Crimea. We will try to talk to the leadership, so that he did not get into the hostilities at once," the official commented on the desire of one of the students to go to serve under contract.
 

maabus1999

Member
Oct 26, 2017
9,019

I personally think analysis like this isn't super helpful, especially in trying to compare. Things that drastically change any of these numbers is:

1.) The capability of aid item per dollar is not equal.
2.) Actual aid numbers when analyzing already produced items are misleading for all parties because they may account for them differently (example, U.S. probably wrote down donated Bradley's by a huge amount in "cost")
3.) There is a ton of secondary aid not thrown in there, be it intelligence, training or communications
4.) Not all total aid values are probably accurate due to a variety of reasons

Should the West do more, sure, but I don't find this very helpful for making a point.
 
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maabus1999

Member
Oct 26, 2017
9,019
Media confirmed 4,000 officers dead from the Russian side; while possibly more accurate then general soldier deaths, it is still most likely a large under count.

If this war continues for two more years, it would not surprise me if Russia loses a number of officers approximately equivalent to ALL the soldiers they lost in Afghanistan. And this would still be a shorter time frame....

I expect officer deaths to increase with the use of the new ATACMS as well (though may not show up in stats like the one below).


View: https://twitter.com/KilledInUkraine/status/1783456952569209001
 

maabus1999

Member
Oct 26, 2017
9,019
man the Poland news about sending back Ukranian men back to Ukraine, is generating some interesting discussion
I am unsure if the translation is completely accurate nor the context, but Ukraine probably needs people to return home outside of being mobilized, be it in production, rebuilding, rescue operations, etc...

And even if you are mobilized, they are probably not sending those folks to the front without significant training or they risk Russia steam rolling them. Often conscripts are put in rear line operations until they get their "feet wet" if that makes sense; granted chance of death goes up no matter what but they aren't necessarily being put in fox holes day one (some may be don't get me wrong, but most will not be).

It is just bad messaging that may be being inflamed by media/translators/etc... You should be finding ways to have people come home voluntarily first.
 

Lard

Member
Dec 3, 2018
39
man the Poland news about sending back Ukranian men back to Ukraine, is generating some interesting discussion
Yea.. people are still very shielded from the idea of war.

Conscription sucks of course. I'm not sure if saying "oh well no more volunteers, we will give Russia the rest of the country" is very Ethical either. I'm happy there was conscription to destroy the Nazis (as easy of an argument that is..)
 
Nov 23, 2019
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maabus1999

Member
Oct 26, 2017
9,019

View: https://twitter.com/shashj/status/1783520300274987273



It reads like – outside of Donbass no new big offensive without mass mobilisation.

If there was ever a very large mass mobilization by Russia, talking 500K+, then I'd be concerned, mainly because if it is accepted by the populace, then you are looking at a Russia that does what maximum objectives (i.e., overrunning Ukraine) and possibly beyond.

That said I don't think they have the capacity to support those numbers basically ever with their current logistics and production.
 

Koukalaka

Member
Oct 28, 2017
9,347
Scotland
If there was ever a very large mass mobilization by Russia, talking 500K+, then I'd be concerned, mainly because if it is accepted by the populace, then you are looking at a Russia that does what maximum objectives (i.e., overrunning Ukraine) and possibly beyond.

That said I don't think they have the capacity to support those numbers basically ever with their current logistics and production.

It's a bit of a bet, but I'd be willing to put money down that Russia will not try anything bigger than a limited mobilisation, even that is something they will avoid at all costs.

I think there's a logistics element to it, but IMO a key war goal has been to insulate the "urban core" of the country as much as possible from the effects of the war.

Most countries would have started some sort of draft by now - if nothing else to give the September 2022 mobilised cohort a chance to go home.
 

EagleClaw

Member
Dec 31, 2018
10,733
Exchanging army personnel at the front with some from Poland deported men will surely not help morale.

Also Poland isn't allowed to deport Ukrainians, because they have protection under EU law.
Even if Poland would try to deport them, they could easily go in other directions to an other EU country.
 
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