Perish the thought that the DNC would want a Democrat to be the nominee.
The problem isn't necessarily the active primary voters, but the general voting audience you're dealing with in a general election.Those primary voters would choose to not vote for the Democrat replacement nominee?
In this scenario, it would be. Since none of the suspended campaigns reached the delegate threshold. So therefore the delegates would be released at the convention.
I dont see him stepping down. It seems like that is mostly behind him already, which is probably more to do with the pandemic than anything else. But if this turns out to be anything, I see him getting stronger as a candidate:
And, he wasnt on my list of choices for President, but it seems like were stuck with him
The fact that he only got 35% of the vote in a one on one would guarantee it's not Bernie. C'mon people.
Hopefully it would be Bernie Sanders. But the DNC would want another corporate democrat instead.
Who cares what I want? It's what would happen. Certainly didn't want Biden to win, but that's what happened. We need less wishcasting and more actually looking.
Anybody hoping for Biden stepping down so that Bernie could sneak in, would be in for a world of whiplash when Cuomo wins the nomination and is even more centrist (really Republican-lite) than Biden is.Who cares what I want? It's what would happen. Certainly didn't want Biden to win, but that's what happened. We need less wishcasting and more actually looking.
Seriously. That is the state of play, Biden steps down it'll either be whoever he picks as VP or... Cuomo.Anybody hoping for Biden stepping down so that Bernie could sneak in, would be in for a world of whiplash when Cuomo wins the nomination and is even more centrist (really Republican-lite) than Biden is.
They'd just have another election at the convention to figure it out if it came down to it.
Bernie isn't a Democrat, so it would be very unlikely for the Democrats to ignore their entire base of potential candidates to go for an independent who lost two primaries in a row, the second one significantly worse than the first one.
1) The DNC has little to nothing to do with this.
2) At the convention (virtual or otherwise) delegates are "pledged" to their candidate for the first round of voting.
3) Delegates can be "freed" by the candidate to vote how they want, usually they vote for whoever their candidate endorsed, but are not required to.
4) In a second round vote all delegates are free to vote how they want and super delegates can vote.
5) So, some candidate would have to emerge that could get a majority of the delegates + supers in a second round. I would assume party elders would try and put forward a single candidate for everyone to consolidate around and try and put pressure on other candidates to stay away. Cuomo is a strong possibility. I would think Abrams would be a strong possibility as well.
6) Most establishment Dems would sit out to let the "consolidation" candidate to win the 2nd round vote. Bloomberg might try and jump back in. Warren might try and jump back in. Bernie might (probably would) jump back in.
I mean, what is the case for Bernie in reality? He came in 2nd, but outside of some Warren delegates, the liklihood he is any of these delegates 2nd choice is rather low.
Biden was a stand-in for "generic centrist Dem". The delegates pledged to him (and Pete, and Bloomberg, etc.) would almost certainly rally around some other stand-in for a centrist Dem.
I mean, I don't think there is a really "good" way Biden stepping down ends in.
Right now it's slated for August.There isn't going to be a convention (at least not in the traditional sense).
That's what I see it as...Vote blue no matter what only counts as an argument against leftists.
I mean he knows whether or not he did it. It's not just an unknown allegation to him. So either he should step down because he knows he did it or keep going on because he knows he didn't.It will be an establishment democrat. It absolutely won't be Bernie.
Stepping down in general would likely put the party into a tailspin that they won't recover from for the election. Trump's chances of winning will be higher.
But he also won't be stepping down because of an allegation. And he shouldn't.
We flail around for the rest of the year and lose horribly in November. There is no second choice, as much as Biden sucks.
I dont see him stepping down. It seems like that is mostly behind him already, which is probably more to do with the pandemic than anything else. But if this turns out to be anything, I see him getting stronger as a candidate:
And, he wasnt on my list of choices for President, but it seems like were stuck with him
Russia conspiracy theories didn't work. Chinese conspiracy theories won't work either.
Pretty much.We flail around for the rest of the year and lose horribly in November. There is no second choice, as much as Biden sucks.
This.
If Biden steps down it's all over. Trump will win easily because there won't be time to get someone else, especially when you really can't do rallies or anything else to get awareness of the nominee or their policies out there.
Cuomo is in the spotlight because New York is in worse shape than California. His slowness to act actually made him politically more popular than the other governors.What's all this Cuomo shit??? DO YALL NOT REMEMBER EARLY ON HOW HE WAS AGAINST SHELTER IN PLACE???? waving off San Francisco's approach? Being publicly ignorant about what it meant?
If you're going to push for some Governor who got attention because of this pandemic, you would think Gavin Newsom's name would be brought up before Cuomo... but hey "New York" right?
Cuomo speaks out his ass at times as well. Yall love just jumping on new trends just for the fuck of it.
I don't trust Establishment Democracts, but I trust Gavin more so than Cuomo, if I had to choose. And no it's not just because he was a former Mayor of San Francisco or the current Governor of California.
The Democratic Party is not going to ignore their ENTIRE PARTY to instantly nominate an independent who couldn't even win a primary. He's not a Democrat, they owe him nothing.