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Thalanil

Fallen Guardian
Member
Aug 24, 2023
907
The biggest worry here realistically is not that they rule that Presidents have total immunity because then Biden would have it too and the partisans on the Supreme Court(like Alito) are only hearing this to go to bat for Trump and not anyone else, the worry is they will say there is limited immunity for presidents and then refuse to specify what that limited immunity entails sending the case back to district court to decide that and by doing so delaying the case even more to make sure it can't be held before the election.

Watch them do exactly this.
 

spyroflame0487

One Winged Slayer
Member
Nov 3, 2017
3,103
In a sense it's kind of crazy that we were a country this long without definitive answers on this codified or adjudicated.
Everything that I've seen post-Trump Presidency is like this honestly lmao.
Its like everyone suddenly realized that so much of our laws, rules and constitutions are written "in good faith" and all it took is one bozo to blow it all wide open and take advantage of it.
 

entremet

You wouldn't toast a NES cartridge
Member
Oct 26, 2017
60,435
Everything that I've seen post-Trump Presidency is like this honestly lmao.
Its like everyone suddenly realized that so much of our laws, rules and constitutions are written "in good faith" and all it took is one bozo to blow it all wide open and take advantage of it.
That's the problem with how these idiots do Constitutional Law. And with Amendments being almost impossible to pass, we have judicial fiat.
 

SFLUFAN

Member
Oct 27, 2017
4,437
Alexandria, VA
The biggest worry here realistically is not that they rule that Presidents have total immunity because then Biden would have it too and the partisans on the Supreme Court(like Alito) are only hearing this to go to bat for Trump and not anyone else, the worry is they will say there is limited immunity for presidents and then refuse to specify what that limited immunity entails sending the case back to district court to decide that and by doing so delaying the case even more to make sure it can't be held before the election.

Watch them do exactly this.

Which is exactly what CNN thinks will happen:

Oral arguments suggest that the Supreme Court may not totally resolve the Trump immunity case

The Supreme Court hearing so far is a mixed bag for both sides.

On the one hand, its seems clear that the court is unwilling to dismiss the case against Donald Trump outright, as he ostensibly is asking the justices to do, based on his sweeping theory of presidential immunity.

On the other hand, several justices appear skeptical of how the special counsel is framing the case.

It's possible they will render a ruling that could require several more months of lower court proceedings before the case against Trump can go to trial. That could put the possibility of a pre-election trial fully out of reach, raising the possibility that Trump will be reelected and make the case against him go away.
 

Runner

Member
Nov 1, 2017
2,740
Everything that I've seen post-Trump Presidency is like this honestly lmao.
Its like everyone suddenly realized that so much of our laws, rules and constitutions are written "in good faith" and all it took is one bozo to blow it all wide open and take advantage of it.
my mind keeps going back to the Mule from the foundation books.
 

Rogue74

Member
Nov 13, 2017
1,771
Miami, FL
It seems SCOTUS is leaning toward ruling that a president has immunity for official acts. However, they say that would mean a determination needs to be made as to whether alleged conduct in an indictment is official or not. That being the case, wouldn't saying the act is official and therefore immune not constitute a defense that would be brought up at trial? Meaning, it would ultimately be a jury who would side with either the prosecution or defense to determine of conduct was part of an official act.

That being the case, why is this trial being stayed? It should still go forward. The only thing being decided is that Trump's lawyers can use immunity for official acts as a defense.
 

Volimar

volunteer forum janitor
Member
Oct 25, 2017
38,798
I think Trump loses 6-3, but he'll have gotten his delay so he'll rant about it and then go home with a smile on his face.
 

flyinj

Member
Oct 25, 2017
10,994
The Supreme Court will rule that immunity includes officials acts that involve violent insurrection, but not having a son
 

Hollywood Duo

Member
Oct 25, 2017
42,203
It seems SCOTUS is leaning toward ruling that a president has immunity for official acts. However, they say that would mean a determination needs to be made as to whether alleged conduct in an indictment is official or not. That being the case, wouldn't saying the act is official and therefore immune not constitute a defense that would be brought up at trial? Meaning, it would ultimately be a jury who would side with either the prosecution or defense to determine of conduct was part of an official act.

That being the case, why is this trial being stayed? It should still go forward. The only thing being decided is that Trump's lawyers can use immunity for official acts as a defense.
I don't think we can draw any conclusions at this point.
 
Oct 25, 2017
12,114
As soon as you argue that you can assassinate political opponents and have immunity, we are done. How can you say that and then say what Biden is doing is illegal?

You really want a god king who is above the law, it's wild.
 

FrostweaveBandage

Unshakable Resolve
Member
Sep 27, 2019
6,778
Someone yesterday said we need this election because if we don't win, democracy will be finished. Democracy might be finished today.
 

Beefsquid

Member
Oct 27, 2017
2,191
USA
Well, if the Supreme Court rules Trump's way for this, I hope Biden acts with extreme prejudice before he leaves office.
 

Futureman

Member
Oct 26, 2017
9,411
Feels like we just gotta accept that the hush money trial is the only thing that will be complete before the election. Would be massive to have a jury make him a convicted felon.

The other cases will go through after he loses in November. Please.
 

Joe

Member
Oct 25, 2017
8,652
I don't think we can draw any conclusions at this point.

Agreed. Long before these recordings used to be released live, the common knowledge was that making guesses on case outcomes based on Oral Arguments was always a crap-shoot. Sometimes, the Justice ask questions about bonkers interpretations just to get things laid out on the record before they swerve and stick with the standard interpretation. Sometimes, it's just a game of chasing every logical pronouncement to its utmost extent. Just gonna have to wait on this one.
 

ChaosXVI

Member
Oct 25, 2017
2,864
I'm still expecting this to overall not go Trump's way, as I don't think Roberts or ACB are far gone enough to go for most of this bullshit. But Alito, Thomas are for sure on board, Kavanaugh and Gorsuch I'm less sure on.
 

Casa

Member
Oct 25, 2017
9,592
It seems SCOTUS is leaning toward ruling that a president has immunity for official acts. However, they say that would mean a determination needs to be made as to whether alleged conduct in an indictment is official or not. That being the case, wouldn't saying the act is official and therefore immune not constitute a defense that would be brought up at trial? Meaning, it would ultimately be a jury who would side with either the prosecution or defense to determine of conduct was part of an official act.

That being the case, why is this trial being stayed? It should still go forward. The only thing being decided is that Trump's lawyers can use immunity for official acts as a defense.
It's being stayed because the conservative justices want this punted until after the election. Pure and simple.
 

Jedi2016

Member
Oct 27, 2017
15,804
They need to stop asking in general terms and call them out by name. Ask "If Trump did this, then what", followed by the exact same question, but insert Biden's name.

Stop pussyfooting around the special accommodations for one man and fucking call them out on it.
 
Oct 25, 2017
12,114
Feels like we just gotta accept that the hush money trial is the only thing that will be complete before the election. Would be massive to have a jury make him a convicted felon.

The other cases will go through after he loses in November. Please.
Willing to bet that is going to be a mistrial. The hush money trial isn't going to stop him from running and winning.
 

SFLUFAN

Member
Oct 27, 2017
4,437
Alexandria, VA
I'm still expecting this to overall not go Trump's way, as I don't think Roberts or ACB are far gone enough to go for most of this bullshit. But Alito, Thomas are for sure on board, Kavanaugh and Gorsuch I'm less sure on.

Not "overall" going Trump's way still means that we're unlikely to see the trial begin before the election if it's remanded to the District Court for further arguments.
 

shinobi602

Verified
Oct 24, 2017
8,441
"Can the president assassinate Supreme Court justices or remove and install them as they see fit?"

Ask that. Dead on.
 

PhaZe 5

Member
Oct 27, 2017
4,461
Chilling day for the country tbh.

We have to vote him out, and we will, but eventually these expanded boundaries will be fully exploited.
 
Oct 25, 2017
12,114
OP
OP
phisheep

phisheep

Quis Custodiet Ipsos Custodes
Member
Oct 26, 2017
4,839
The argument for presidential immunity based upon the threat of retaliatory prosecution against 'political opponents' is very badly flawed in a way that I have not heard addressed. Because if we have a rogue president who does that, his 'political opponents' will not only be former presidents - they will be senators, governors, even Supreme Court Justices.

So the answer cannot be presidential immunity, it must be some form of immunity for everyone. And there is already a way of dealing with that - through a claim of selective or vindictive prosecution.
 

BWoog

Member
Oct 27, 2017
38,393
"something something, existing checks & balances, blah blah blah"

"The President will be held accountable by impeachment and conviction...which will take like a year....and will only happen if the President doesn't have a little over one third of the Senate in his pocket to avoid consequence."
 

Fnor

Member
Nov 7, 2023
435
People need to stop doomcasting based on oral arguments. The entire purpose is for the justices to rough up each party's argument. They've done this is a very large number of Trump-related cases in the past and ruled against him. They've done it in core culture war stuff regularly and ruled for republicans. It's not a productive exercise.

A better focus is: what test are they going to come up with? Some delineation between official acts and personal acts seems to be the ballgame, here. I would say that an additional dimension would be "corrupt" acts, that is ostensibly official acts which are undertaken for private gain. That really hasn't been addressed, which always struck me as odd. But it is theoretically in the mix. It's a tricky problem and the answer, going by this court's past history with corruption cases and dozens of Trump-related bullshit cases, is probably going to end up setting some lines along those axes. Trump got his delay, and the court gets to make a sweeping policy statement, which they have shown they absolutely (on both sides) love to do. It's kind of gross but it's the system we're operating in now.

The argument for presidential immunity based upon the threat of retaliatory prosecution against 'political opponents' is very badly flawed in a way that I have not heard addressed. Because if we have a rogue president who does that, his 'political opponents' will not only be former presidents - they will be senators, governors, even Supreme Court Justices.

So the answer cannot be presidential immunity, it must be some form of immunity for everyone. And there is already a way of dealing with that - through a claim of selective or vindictive prosecution.

You of all people, cataloguing all the various ridiculous ways Trump has gummed up the system, should recognize that isn't a meaningful remedy. I do agree that this is bigger than the president, because we have always operated on the understanding that official acts are not sanctionable. For good reason, too. Imagine all the lawsuits that would be lodged against individual members of Congress over contentious votes. Or for harm due to not renewing the extended child tax credit. Even here, a place that has some pretty wild ideas about how liability should sit, still doesn't have an appreciable number of people clamoring for lawsuits against members of Congress for laws that they've passed.

That, I think, is the court's main concern with this case in particular. There is an understanding that we all have and Trump has abused that understanding to the point where we need something official, to provide guidance for future misconduct and to dissuade people from trying to abuse the already faltering legal system by using it vindictively against political opponents. I have no idea how the court will resolve it, but it's not going to be anything silly like "Republicans rule, Democrats drool" that keeps getting tossed around in these conversations.
 
Oct 25, 2017
12,114
Oh yeah, you are 100% right about that. Also gotta hope that at least getting convicted in the New York case damages him electorally.
I really don't think it will at all, there isn't a single soul out there who is confused on this election. They either care about it or they don't, the conviction is already a pre drawn conclusion. He is of course guilty or another example of a witch hunt.
 

Hound

Member
Jul 6, 2019
1,852
"Presidents can do crime, but only if they're officially doing crime." - Ivy League law school graduates.
 

Bradbatross

Member
Mar 17, 2018
14,246
I really don't think it will at all, there isn't a single soul out there who is confused on this election. They either care about it or they don't, the conviction is already a pre drawn conclusion. He is of course guilty or another example of a witch hunt.
Nah, there's plenty of people who aren't fully paying attention yet and who don't like Biden or Trump. Trump being labeled as a convicted felon will definitely hurt him.
 

vrietje

Member
Dec 4, 2018
902
if immunity is granted staying in power is very simple. You arrest or kill your opponents with official order and arrest the house members of the majority so they can't impeach you .
 

mentallyinept

One Winged Slayer
Member
Oct 25, 2017
3,405
IMG_2774.png

I'm trying very hard to not freak the fuck out right now, but reading this these tidbits today has me absolutely terrified.
 

FrostweaveBandage

Unshakable Resolve
Member
Sep 27, 2019
6,778
People need to stop doomcasting based on oral arguments. The entire purpose is for the justices to rough up each party's argument. They've done this is a very large number of Trump-related cases in the past and ruled against him. They've done it in core culture war stuff regularly and ruled for republicans. It's not a productive exercise.

A better focus is: what test are they going to come up with? Some delineation between official acts and personal acts seems to be the ballgame, here. I would say that an additional dimension would be "corrupt" acts, that is ostensibly official acts which are undertaken for private gain. That really hasn't been addressed, which always struck me as odd. But it is theoretically in the mix. It's a tricky problem and the answer, going by this court's past history with corruption cases and dozens of Trump-related bullshit cases, is probably going to end up setting some lines along those axes. Trump got his delay, and the court gets to make a sweeping policy statement, which they have shown they absolutely (on both sides) love to do. It's kind of gross but it's the system we're operating in now.



You of all people, cataloguing all the various ridiculous ways Trump has gummed up the system, should recognize that isn't a meaningful remedy. I do agree that this is bigger than the president, because we have always operated on the understanding that official acts are not sanctionable. For good reason, too. Imagine all the lawsuits that would be lodged against individual members of Congress over contentious votes. Or for harm due to not renewing the extended child tax credit. Even here, a place that has some pretty wild ideas about how liability should sit, still doesn't have an appreciable number of people clamoring for lawsuits against members of Congress for laws that they've passed.

That, I think, is the court's main concern with this case in particular. There is an understanding that we all have and Trump has abused that understanding to the point where we need something official, to provide guidance for future misconduct and to dissuade people from trying to abuse the already faltering legal system by using it vindictively against political opponents. I have no idea how the court will resolve it, but it's not going to be anything silly like "Republicans rule, Democrats drool" that keeps getting tossed around in these conversations.
The bolded are civil matters about official acts, which I don't think anyone questions here, not even Dreeben. Obviously I wouldn't be able to sue the state for raising my taxes because my finances were harmed. The point Dreeben made about bribery is much more substantial IMO: an official act done for corrupt purpose should be considered as open for prosecution. Bribery happens to be a great example (you get paid under the table to do something official that is not in the best interests of society but for the paying party) but so can interrupting an official proceeding (sending a mob of people to Congress to interrupt a process that would remove you from power).

We use the word "reasonable" when it comes to these matters, and every reasonable person understands that the president sending a team of assassins to kill a political opponent should never be considered reasonable if we live in a civilized democracy. And while you're right, oral arguments very often are there for justices to act as devil's advocate, if these people simply believed the DC Circuit Court got it right, they would never have agreed to take on the case. That they do leaves us to believe otherwise.