It's funny he thinks public perception matters. Didn't matter with Manafort going to prison, wont matter for the Trump family.
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They were all idiots, especially Mary fucking Chesnut, JESUS FUCKING CHRIST JUST SHUT THE FUCK UP. ON NO FALLEN GLORY. SHUT UP. YOU KNOW WHAT THE S IN ULYSSES S GRANT STANDS FOR? SHUTUPDude was literally one of the Confederacy's biggest weaknesses. Couldn't even fathom that one of his maids just might be the one stealing his war documents.
Maine passed a law changing it to a primary in mid 2016, Colorado voters approved a proposition for an open primary this past election day, and Utah approved the money to hold a primary (the legislature still needs to go through another step to actually authorize the primary itself, which will come up next year), so it's likely down to 8 states now.Brilliant news! So the states that will still be using horribly outdated electoral systems in 2020 are Alaska,Colorado,Hawaii, Iowa, Kansas,Maine,Nevada, North Dakota, Washington, Wyomingand Utah?
Kyle Griffin @kylegriffin1
Q: If Mueller were fired, how would that affect further investigations?
COMEY: "As an informed outsider ... you'd almost have to fire everyone in the FBI and the Justice Department to derail the relevant investigations, but I don't know exactly what the effect would be." P. 57
Dude was literally one of the Confederacy's biggest weaknesses. Couldn't even fathom that one of his maids just might be the one stealing his war documents.
Lol, I am not aware of this.. His maid was stealing war documents? Was she on the Union's side?
His maid was ostensibly a slave loaned to him for the war effort by one of the prominent Richmond elite, Elizabeth Van Lew—who was actually an anti-slavery Quaker and who sent her freed maid Mary Bowser, who she had taught to read and write, specifically as a mole for the Union as part of a broader spy network she operated in the city that was pretty fantastically successful.
There's an excellent book on Van Lew, Bowser, and other women on both sides of the conflict I highly recommend: Liar, Temptress, Soldier, Spy.
It's full of some crazy stuff, like the fact that a white woman died her skin with silver nitrate to pass as a black man and nobody could tell the difference.
With the impending doom of climate change we need to focus on policy over personality and the fact that people in the media/twitter media are trying to polarize potential 2020 candidates this early isn't helpful. We have almost 2 years before the 2020 primary's so we should be doing what AOC is doing and getting dem politicians to specifically say they support left policy's over and over then when the primary's come around the "test"
is just who do you trust more the implement said policy's nothing else. 20 Dem senators have already pledged to support the new green deal.
With the impending doom of climate change we need to focus on policy over personality and the fact that people in the media/twitter media are trying to polarize potential 2020 candidates this early isn't helpful. We have almost 2 years before the 2020 primary's so we should be doing what AOC is doing and getting dem politicians to specifically say they support left policy's over and over then when the primary's come around the "test"
is just who do you trust more the implement said policy's nothing else. 20 Dem senators have already pledged to support the new green deal.
they reeeealy don't like the attention he's getting.From that video:
"If we don't get what we want, or even if we do, there's going to be widespread unrest"
Man, the Bernie people are REALLY out to get Beto early
Attention that he's getting in large part, Ironically, because he hired a bunch of Bernie people.they reeeealy don't like the attention he's getting.
That said, at least it sounds like they'll vote for him in the end if that's what it comes down to. Mostly.
Though if the point is #uncivility I'm for that.
I look forward to near two years of "he voted for that one thing that never passed, and, he lost to Ted Cruz"
Don't be cute. It's December 2018, and no legitimate candidate has even announced yet. It's obvious what is happening here
Which means losing isnt an option for him. Everyone should be very scared of 2020.Probably the most interesting thing from that story Haberman tweeted out was that prosecutors believe they can charge Trump with campaign finance law violations if he is not re elected. That's one way to obviate the need for impeachment (and pardon)—have Trump legitimately lose in 2020 and then send him to jail.
Not just the right-wingA Democrat going into 2020 sneezing wrong is an attack.
Kamala's assistant and Beto's whatever are targets by the right-wing right now.
well what I mean is that it's not unfair. this is how we gauge candidates and it seems to me, in a time where candidates like Gillibrand, Kamala Harris, and even Corey Booker are taking pretty bold progressive stances, that Beto can come along with a pretty unremarkable history and just get a free pass.Don't be cute. It's December 2018, and no legitimate candidate has even announced yet. It's obvious what is happening here
No, this is how the fringe "gauges" candidates, to try and form and push a narrative because the vast majority of the electorate isn't paying attention because... IT'S DECEMBER 2018 AND NOBODY IS EVEN IN THE RACE YET*. Good lord, I'm not even a Beto guy and this is already getting dumbwell what I mean is that it's not unfair. this is how we gauge candidates and it seems to me, in a time where candidates like Gillibrand, Kamala Harris, and even Corey Booker are taking pretty bold progressive stances, that Beto can come along with a pretty unremarkable history and just get a free pass.
It's the charismatic young guy without a record who's really really good at campaign management thing. It's why there are legit non-weird Obama comparisons, because he had those strengths as well. Gender probably plays into it, after 2008 I don't think I'd say race is necessarily it.I'll vote for Bento if he wins the primary but let not kid ourselves here. A large part of his appeal is that he's a relatively young , attractive progressive white dude. That that makes him more appealing to a larger portion of the electorate then if he was all of those things minus the white penis.
NOW THIS IS NOT AN ATTACK ON HIM! Nore am I doubting his sincerity , accomplishments or his belief in Progressive policies. But I'm also not going to engore how much his white privilege has help propell him past others as the apparent Democratic front runner.
I never even thought about that. It would be WILD.Probably the most interesting thing from that story Haberman tweeted out was that prosecutors believe they can charge Trump with campaign finance law violations if he is not re elected. That's one way to obviate the need for impeachment (and pardon)—have Trump legitimately lose in 2020 and then send him to jail.
dude didn't even last a weekSo Glenn Beck hired Gavin Mcinness for a new streaming venture
Most of Sams videos have click bait titles, but he makes a good point that backing candidates and not policies this early is counter productive."Are Centrists WAY Too Defensive Of Beto's Shortcomings"
You think you're smooth.
That's the opposite of how people actually work. If people voted on ideology alone, it'd be a fair point, but every single election of my adult life has made it clear that's not the case.Most of Sams videos have click bait titles, but he makes a good point that backing candidates and not policies this early is counter productive.
Campaign management? Didnt he perform inline with democrats in the midterm and as well as stacey abrams who arguably had much larger hurdles.It's the charismatic young guy without a record who's really really good at campaign management thing. It's why there are legit non-weird Obama comparisons, because he had those strengths as well. Gender probably plays into it, after 2008 I don't think I'd say race is necessarily it.
Were two years from election, we can focus on candidates later. I think your down playing ideology, medicare for all and climate justice have become rallying cries, the former of which has been used effectively as a cudgel to bring politicians in line. Look at politicians like booker and how theyre pivoting to support more progressive ideas.That's the opposite of how people actually work. If people voted on ideology alone, it'd be a fair point, but every single election of my adult life has made it clear that's not the case.
We need 4 Senate seats. My preference order is weighted heavily by the need to win them.
No. He did not. He overperformed the fundamentals of that race. Trump has a 51% Approval rating in Texas, Cruz's is higher than that by about 3-4 points. He outperformed Hillary across the state except with Hispanic voters. If they had moved alongside other demos, there's a pretty good chance he just straight up wins the race. (I don't know the exact Demo breakdown for Texas last go round.)Campaign management? Didnt he perform inline with democrats in the midterm and as well as stacey abrams who arguably had much larger hurdles.
I cant be enthusiastic about any candidate who comes out hard for climate then economic justice.
Medicare for all is a nice soundbite that's become what people want to see in it. It was deliberately turned into that a decade ago.Were two years from election, we can focus on candidates later. I think your down playing ideology, medicare for all and climate justice have become rallying cries, the former of which has been used effectively as a cudgel to bring politicians in line. Look at politicians like booker and how theyre pivoting to support more progressive ideas.
Literally the only thing that Trump cares about is how he is perceived. He doesn't want to go out like Nixon, because he knows how Nixon is perceived. He is stupid and rich and honestly believes that there is zero percent chance that he spends a second in jail, so there is absolutely no benefit to his legacy to resign in disgrace like Nixon did. He's not resigning.My feeling is that Trump steps down of his own volition, even under threat of sure impeachment like Nixon, he gets the pardon. The reason is if you don't pardon him, then no future President accused of serious crimes would ever step down. If he fights it to the bitter end, and either gets impeached or voted out in 2020, then all bets are off. Lock him up and throw away the key.
Probably the most interesting thing from that story Haberman tweeted out was that prosecutors believe they can charge Trump with campaign finance law violations if he is not re elected. That's one way to obviate the need for impeachment (and pardon)—have Trump legitimately lose in 2020 and then send him to jail.
I was thinking about this all day yesterday ever since the SDNY memo.
Trump has right now become vulnerable to an instant indictment the moment President Beto is sworn in. Nevermind Mueller's final report or House Democrats, Trump already faces immediate legal exposure the moment he's out of office whether it's 2020 or 2024. Now if Trump manages to survive to 2024, perhaps he can hope for the American public to have long moved on from the current scandals or he can scheme/beg with a Republican president to give him a pardon. Or perhaps spend the majority of his second term trying to systematically take down the SDNY like he did with the heads of the FBI. But that's still leaving a lot to chance.
If Trump loses the 2020 election, I could honestly see him pardoning all his kids in the lame duck session and then either pardoning himself or resigning and have President 30-day Pence give him the pardon.
If the criminal exposure is just these campaign law violations, I could see Trump still run for reelection and attempt the above steps in his second term. But if Mueller's report lays out actual criminal activities on Trump which adds additional criminal exposure (ie, obstruction justice, witness tampering, and perjury), then Trump may feel the legal anvil over his head is just too big that being President for another 4 years is too risky, especially if House Democrats keep doing investigations and giving Trump Org criminal referrals to DoJ every few months.
Trump may decide to resign (probably late in the GOP primary season so he f*cks over other GOP candidates) and arrange for Pence to give him and his family a Nixon level pardon. That would probably be the most reliable option for Trump. He would still have his Trump cult followers, Saudi contacts, and reduced legal exposure. Trump has always only cared about himself and his business. If he perceives for either he or his business to be in any real danger, I strongly believe he'll hit the eject button. Trump's doublespeak and gaslighting have worked well against the media and public opinion, but it doesn't do shit against the law. When Trump is out of office and goes to court for obstruction of justice, witness tampering, perjury, and tax evasion, he's going to go to prison. Typing "Very legal, very cool" on Twitter won't change that. At some point that's going to hit home for him.
IMO, Democrats should hallow Trump out from the inside. They don't ignore impeachment, but instead they say, "We strongly believe President Trump has already committed impeachable offenses, but we're in the process of completing several investigations first, so we can get a full picture and put together thorough impeachment articles. This will allow for Mueller's investigation to reach its full conclusion and Dems can churn up tons of dirt and criminal referrals on his business. Hint at sealed indictments. If done right, Trump will be too scared to run for reelection and Dems can avoid the spectacle of an impeachment with no conviction. And if there does end up being a laundry list of criminal activities found from all the House investigations then go for impeachment and dare Senate Republicans to acquit an outright treasonous criminal.
I'll end with this. If you notice, every time the discussion gets serious,, Trump always reverts to "it was totally legal" or "there was nothing criminal". He gives zero f*cks if it's moral or ethical, he's solely concerned about his criminal exposure. Personally I think the magic number is 10 years. If by early 2020, the accumulated criminal charges face a possible 10 year combined sentence (basically a life sentence for Trump) then Trump is going to resign bigly in 2020. No way he runs for a second term with that much criminal exposure over his head. Possibly extending the statute of limitations was a very smart idea by Nadler.
Campaign management? Didnt he perform inline with democrats in the midterm and as well as stacey abrams who arguably had much larger hurdles.
I cant be enthusiastic about any candidate who doesnt come out hard for climate then economic justice.
No, this is how the fringe "gauges" candidates, to try and form and push a narrative because the vast majority of the electorate isn't paying attention because... IT'S DECEMBER 2018 AND NOBODY IS EVEN IN THE RACE YET*. Good lord, I'm not even a Beto guy and this is already getting dumb
*Ojeda doesn't out, as he's a joke