-
Ever wanted an RSS feed of all your favorite gaming news sites? Go check out our new Gaming Headlines feed! Read more about it here.
-
We have made minor adjustments to how the search bar works on ResetEra. You can read about the changes here.
Edit: Ha posted it right before me. Yeah airbase is burning bright.
View: https://twitter.com/TheStudyofWar/status/1780295412731015581
Institute for the Study of War
The current US debate about providing additional military assistance to Ukraine is based in part on the assumption that the war will remain stalemated regardless of US actions. That assumption is false. The Russians are breaking out of positional warfarewww.understandingwar.org
on top on that
View: https://twitter.com/ChristopherJM/status/1780477143719289306
Last edited:
View: https://twitter.com/ChristopherJM/status/1780479854627979557
Russia's meat grinder soldiers - 50,000 confirmed dead
In the second 12 months on the front line the body count was nearly 25% higher than in the first year.
www.bbc.co.uk
oof
compared to putin, prigozhin was "humanist"
The Self-Obsession at the Heart of Putin’s Wartime Psychology - The Moscow Times
Opinion | If Vladimir Putin was just a military pensioner playing dominoes and not the president of Russia, his inner world would be important only to his relatives, whom he would pester with his historical insights.
www.themoscowtimes.com
View: https://twitter.com/nexta_tv/status/1780485136527524108
Системный блок: еще четыре крупных банка Китая перестали принимать юани из РФ
Почему кредитные организации КНР отказываются работать с Россией и как сейчас можно проводить расчеты
iz.ru
View: https://twitter.com/TheStudyofWar/status/1780295412731015581
View: https://twitter.com/TheStudyofWar/status/1780295421371224262
Institute for the Study of War
The current US debate about providing additional military assistance to Ukraine is based in part on the assumption that the war will remain stalemated regardless of US actions. That assumption is false. The Russians are breaking out of positional warfare
This is batshit insane. They're all briefed on this, right? There are military officials telling the politicians that if they don't stop shitting the bed like this then Ukraine will have a far higher chance of being conquered by Russia, leading to a colossal power shift where the defence of NATO and the baltics are concerned, and history will record American political inaction as the primary factor behind this shift in the war that Russia was able to capitalise on?
I'm just really struggling to wrap my head around what's going on here, and why we're genuinely looking at around HALF A YEAR of American political incompetence on such an important issue of global security. I really don't understand how that's possible, and how they aren't all hanging their heads in shame. This is such a massive own goal, and like the slowest most preventable one I've ever seen in my lifetime, so it's agonising to watch. I feel so bad for Ukrainians right now, because if I'm feeling like this from the UK then their shock and disbelief must be unimaginable.
View: https://twitter.com/nexta_tv/status/1780485136527524108
Системный блок: еще четыре крупных банка Китая перестали принимать юани из РФ
Почему кредитные организации КНР отказываются работать с Россией и как сейчас можно проводить расчеты
China can either gain soft power by working with the West, or hope that sticking with Russia will allow them to project force.
They can't do both so it'll be interesting to see if the CCP just starts taking money under the table because no business will want to sully their hands in an official manner, the U.S will sanction them to high hell.
Ukraine war: Deadly Russian missile strikes hit Chernihiv north of Kyiv
Five people have been killed after three missiles hit near the centre of Chernihiv, officials say.
www.bbc.co.uk
Yep, also shows a huge weakness in US stance regarding geopolitics which probably was determinant for Iran massive attack against Israel. (and will influence China's future actions as well). EU's slowpoke stance regarding the war isn't helping any bit as well.
Up to 11 innocent civilians dead in this latest terrorist attack.
China is no doubt watching everything going on. If Russia can beat the U.S. and its clear interests by having even just a small group of utterly corrupt traitorous politicians in american government, we'll see if support for China to 'do whatever it wants' suddenly starts popping up...
Utterly disgraceful failure ongoing by the U.S.
Utterly disgraceful failure ongoing by the U.S.
View: https://twitter.com/spectator/status/1780371097881350400
"so Ukraine has to bring the war to Russia in order to have some sort of chance of actually pressing Putin to end it"
What about the scenario where Putin says OK, we'll stop the war, but we're holding on to the "annexed" areas and Crimea?
I can't see Ukraine stopping in that scenario. Maybe pausing whilst they get their shit together.
I don't think Ukraine has much choice tbh.
I really, really, doubt Ukraine will ever recover any considerable portion of the taken territory.
View: https://twitter.com/NOELreports/status/1780568188591149117
"Tupolev-bomber factory", still needs more solid confirmation but ↓
View: https://twitter.com/GirkinGirkin/status/1780567215932059782
I can only see that happening if we get to a point where Ukraine is starting to make gains and the Russian army is struggling to stop them. It would be a play to try to get the international community to stop them.
It's very hard to accurately predict how this war will develop. You could see a future where modernized F-16s shut down most of Russia's air support, and an ample supply of CAESARs and shells eviscerates Russia's offensive potential. Meanwhile Russia mostly runs out of modern, or even Cold War era, equipment, and all those mobilized troops are stuck with ancient, short range artillery and "golf carts". You should never assume that the current situation is forever. It's swung significantly to either side before, and it can do so again.
There are certainly a lot of ways it can go. The same pinch points still exist as before if Ukraine can go on the attack again. But it'll require a lot of support to get there. I'd sooner expect to see Crimea fall than the cities over on the Russian border in Donbass. They have much shorter supply lines for Russia and can't be isolated like Crimea theoretically can.
The long term dream scenarios involve upgrading to a truly high tech air force to attain air superiority. Or of course, if they want to get it out of the way, actual direct western involvement would certainly speed up victory substantially.
Heck, let's start getting Nighthawks out of cold storage. They kept some around in operational condition!
But you have to walk before you can run. And that means unfucking the American aid situation while gearing up European industries just in case this nonsense happens again.
Definitely was air raid alarms, so not a native fire or other accident it seems.
View: https://twitter.com/NOELreports/status/1780557080715202897
I assume it's a joke about troops "holding position" against an enemy attack, except that instead of defending against a direct assault as is usual for such phrases, it's being used for rear areas that shouldn't be reachable at all (if Russian military superiority were to be believed).
Correct plus they add the idea that the Russians are "holding" (hugging) each other as well as part of the meme.
Personally I miss "What Air Defense Doing?" more...
It's sarcasm by the pro-Ukrainian IgorGirkin Twitter account, generally means Ukrainians have attacked the place mentioned. It comes from overly optimistic assessments from pro-Russian accounts of Russian forces "holding" out against Ukrainian advances earlier in the war.
Russia has no way to stop EU/NATO airpower, so no.
And Taiwan is an island scenario where air and naval assets would be key, which haven't been touched by this conflict.
So no. Next.
ATACMS were used supposedly. S-400s stay winning. Helicopters were also supposedly hit, but details are unknown.
View: https://twitter.com/bayraktar_1love/status/1780561156479856931
View: https://twitter.com/bayraktar_1love/status/1780561156479856931
Some people got tired of waiting for help from authorities and built a small "dam" to protect their homes
View: https://twitter.com/wartranslated/status/1779983523119550826
And how do you think authorities responded on that?
Right. They started threaten residents of Orenburg with criminal proceedings ↓
www.moscowtimes.ru
View: https://twitter.com/wartranslated/status/1779983523119550826
And how do you think authorities responded on that?
Right. They started threaten residents of Orenburg with criminal proceedings ↓
«Этим должны заниматься профессионалы». Чиновники пригрозили жителям Оренбургской области уголовным делом за спасение своих домов от наводнения - Русская служба The Moscow Times
Самостоятельную защиту жителями своих домов в Оренбургской области от наводнения не оценили местные власти и Госдума.
www.moscowtimes.ru
Not dumb at all, I completely misunderstood these tweets before I got the explanation.
The US could swat down Russia with air power alone, and it's generally agreed that it would only take 2-3 carrier groups to stop a Chinese invasion of Taiwan (and that's assuming the US holds back and performs zero strikes against the Chinese mainland, which makes things harder for the US, but prevents escalation).
I think people also seem to forget how powerful US submarines would be in this situation.
The political decision to involve the US military is an entirely separate matter, like you say. But there should be no question that if it chose to do so, the US could take on both Russia and China at the same time in these specific scenarios. However, there has never really been a hot conventional war between nuclear powers (which is a good thing) because of the possibility of continued escalation to the US of nuclear weapons. So it's entirely possible the US would choose not to intervene against China if it moved on Taiwan. This is also the reason why China hasn't moved on Taiwan, because it doesn't want to engage with the US.
If two nuclear capable powers are engaging each other in direct combat then things have gone very south.
I can see USA giving Taiwan the same type of support they gave to Ukraine but that's about it.