Someone is currently placing this billboardELIZABETH WARREN doesn't like onions in her tacos.
Bloomberg loves onions in his. Mike 2020.
The more I think about it, the less convinced I am that Florida is lost with Bernie as a nominee. It's far worse for him in a primary than in the general.
In a primary wherein more left-leaning olds and Cubans can shop around for a candidate who occupies that center-left lane, Bernie will of course be dead last on the list of options. This makes it a nearly impossible primary. In the general though? Snowbirds and conservative Cubans/Venezuelans were always going to be lost. That's the case for any Dem as those people are already in love with Trump. That is not a knock against Bernie. Trump is incredibly unpopular among the left, and I believe that a huge segment of those unfavorable Democratic demos will still turn out for him, even if they wouldn't dream of supporting him in the primaries.
Here are the big questions with Florida as I see it:
I still wouldn't expect a Bernie win in Florida because these are all very big questions with no clear answer. But I'm not totally convinced that we're as lost a cause as others suggest. It's always a fool's errand to think you've got Florida figured out.
- Would left-leaning Hispanics really prefer Trump to Bernie?
- Would a Bernie nomination significantly depress turnout among left-leaning Hispanics ages 35+?
- Would a Bernie nomination significantly boost negative turnout amongst Florida Republicans to the extent that it cancels out potential turnout increases among Democrats?
the bigger delusion is people assuming Florida has a good chance for anyone not Bernie.
I honestly feel like we are better off putting more resources into Ohio/PA/AZ than trying to be competitive in Florida again.
I feel like Ohio and FL are pretty much equally out of reach, Ohio even moreso.the bigger delusion is people assuming Florida has a good chance for anyone not Bernie.
I honestly feel like we are better off putting more resources into Ohio/PA/AZ than trying to be competitive in Florida again.
So apparently both Joe Biden and Julian Castro have been spotted giving speeches at caucus sites, which is illegal (?)
the bigger delusion is people assuming Florida has a good chance for anyone not Bernie.
I honestly feel like we are better off putting more resources into Ohio/PA/AZ than trying to be competitive in Florida again.
I don't think anyone cares ultimately, but yeah kind of shitty to do
Right, it's always more complicated than "Trump bad." In PA, Bernie is going to have to hammer on uplifting the working class. Other places he'll have to focus on other aspects of his platform like criminal justice reform or Medicare for All in order to build his base. But Florida... doesn't really care about the issues when it comes to Bernie. His performance is based entirely on turnout (as opposed to just being largely based on turnout elsewhere). As I said, I still doubt that he'll take it. But there's a path.While it's true left-wing voters obviously hate Trump and want him out, I think that sort of thinking would in theory lock it up for any swing state when it isn't that simple. Florida is just too snowbirdy for me to feel comfortable entertaining a Bernie win. There are states Bernie can win thanks to Latino turnout but I don't think Florida is one of them.
Ohio is a lost cause for anyone. It's a red state.the bigger delusion is people assuming Florida has a good chance for anyone not Bernie.
I honestly feel like we are better off putting more resources into Ohio/PA/AZ than trying to be competitive in Florida again.
Bloomberg would be the biggest vote depressor failing to energize voter turnout,You could make a serious argument Bloomberg might be the best candidate to win FL, but I still think he would be trash everywhere else.
I like them but their hurt me in my tummypeople who don't like onions in their food really need to grow up.
Very liberal voters:
Bernie - 52%
Warren - 17%
Nobody else in double digits.
if this holds up, this is going to be a decisive win for Bernie.
Bernie and Biden tied with older voters is unexpected and would be very good for Bernie
The real race will be for anyone besides Bernie to get any delegates at all. Overperforming for Bernie could mean 40% or more. That is a fucking disaster for anyone trying to hit that 15% cutoff.the real race today is going to be uncle Joe, Butti and liz trying to claim 2nd place lmao
I was thinking that very same thing yesterday. Poor Alabama deserves more beachfront property imo.If only Florida just gave the panhandle to Alabama. It'd be solid blue.
It gives me life to see him floundering. Can't wait to see what sorts of shenanigans he tries to pull in the run up to South Carolina.