January 2019 NPD (U.S. Hardware) Predictions - Closes Tuesday, February 12th

chobel

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Oct 25, 2017
1,493
Damn it, I didn't even know we had January NPD Predictions thread.
 
OP
OP

donny2112

Member
Oct 27, 2017
333
As a reminder, the final annual rankings only include the top 10 months per participant. Therefore, missing a month isn't a deathknell for the annual rankings. Missing a month just loses the ability to drop a poor month later. (^_^)
 

chobel

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Oct 25, 2017
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lol, what I meant I didn't see this thread at all before today. I dunno how I missed it.
As a reminder, the final annual rankings only include the top 10 months per participant. Therefore, missing a month isn't a deathknell for the annual rankings. Missing a month just loses the ability to drop a poor month later. (^_^)
Thanks donny.

EDIT: just for fun though:

[NSW] 250K
[PS4] 155K
[XB1] 115K
 

Daedardus

Member
Oct 25, 2017
691
This thread was only three pages compared to the heated december one, I guess everyone needed a break? :P

Is that number good or bad, or just not saying much?
 

Jbone115

Member
Oct 25, 2017
736
Thanks csheep!

Switch almost topped PS4+XBO combined (though that’s not much of a surprise tbh).
 

Benji

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Oct 25, 2017
8,114
Incredible performance for Switch

Up YoY with a week less of tracking
 

ScopehJ

Member
Oct 25, 2017
1,375
Oh we got numbers that quickly? We didn’t even need to do any weird summoning rituals this time
 

chobel

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Oct 25, 2017
1,493
Looking at the results and my late predictions, looks like this month wouldn't have made it to my top 10 anyway :p.
 

Primethius

Member
Oct 25, 2017
6,116
Great result for the Switch. Smash still doing a lot of work.

PS4 dropped off more than I was expecting. Terrible performance for the Xbox One.
 

Aleh

Member
Oct 27, 2017
4,285
I thought I already posted in this thread, but it was actually the one for predictions for the whole year lol. Oops.
 

Welfare

Member
Oct 26, 2017
1,614
2019
NSW: 284K / 4 = 71,000
PS4: 195K / 4 = 48,750
XB1: 101K / 4 = 25,250

2018
NSW: 275K / 5 = 55,000
PS4: 254K / 5 = 50,800
XB1: 235K / 5 = 47,000
 

Saint-14

Member
Nov 2, 2017
11,367
2019
NSW: 284K / 4 = 71,000
PS4: 195K / 4 = 48,750
XB1: 101K / 4 = 25,250

2018
NSW: 275K / 5 = 55,000
PS4: 254K / 5 = 50,800
XB1: 235K / 5 = 47,000
Cheers, that drop doesn’t seem bad for the PS4 when factoring this year being a week less, pretty good for the Switch and a big drop for Xbox.
 

Welfare

Member
Oct 26, 2017
1,614
And January had a $50 price cut at the end of month.

Sub 30K, ~25K weekly average is not a good sign for XB1 this year. No wonder they have the One X at $399 for 2 months straight.
 

SilverX

Member
Jan 21, 2018
2,588
2019
NSW: 284K / 4 = 71,000
PS4: 195K / 4 = 48,750
XB1: 101K / 4 = 25,250

2018
NSW: 275K / 5 = 55,000
PS4: 254K / 5 = 50,800
XB1: 235K / 5 = 47,000
Thanks, and seeing the comparisons showed that I was right about my assertion about the PS4 and X1.

I said that both PS4 and X1 would decline, but only X1 would see a big enough drop to be declared a "collapse". The PS4 just has more selling power to do healthy sales
 

Joseki

Member
Nov 5, 2017
4,988
How does this compare to last January for all three platforms?
2018

NSW 275K
PS4 254K
XB1 235K

2019

NSW 284k (+3%)
PS4 195k (-23%)
XB1 101k (-57%)

Last January was 5 weeks, this January is 4 weeks.

Weekly averages are

2018

NSW 55k
PS4 51k
XB1 47K

2019
NSW 71k (+29%)
PS4 49k (-4%)
XB1 25K (-47%)



Switch did amazing, PS4 did very well, XB1 was absolutely terrible.



EDIT: ninjed hard, but at least % wasn't in Welfare's post :P