Dr. Monkey here's my best attempt
Trigger: Ty4on has the most votes, strong voices are calling for his elimination makes it seems fairly likely he'll end up being gotten
Feeling: Anxious (80%), apathy (20%)
Negative thoughts: The chance of getting scum on D1 is small, he's probably innocent. If he was scum worried about getting caught there would be a lot more urgency rather than admitting he was trying to look good, dipping from the thread and not treating the situation seriously.
Evidence that supports the negative thought: Generally don't get scum D1, it feels like he's largely given up.
Evidence that goes against the negative thought: Scum are human too, they can get demotivated when things aren't going their way. I myself was an example of that in easyallies and have seen it many times before. Ty4on has a series of fishy posts. Just because we don't usually get scum D1 doesn't mean it can't happen.
Alternate thought: Following a series of fishy posts Ty4on was interogated and while
putting up a heavy defense at first seemed to become deflated as time went on, the underlined is NAI. There are good reasons to vote for Ty4on today.